jmoak3

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by jmoak3 3y ago
I lived in the Mission for 1.5 years and a random dude carrying some sort of radio antenna plucked all of the parts off of my roommate's street parked car that he could yank off. Another day a drug deal went wrong and two guys exchange
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by jmoak3 3y ago
Personal theory: Many Americans are achieving a level of wealth and income relative to their demands that allows them to block out experiences and people they find fault with, or avoid some of the stress of interacting with others. This has
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by jmoak3 3y ago
The supply of engineers has also massively increased compared to the supply of high paying tech jobs. Your salary is capped by what you produce for your employer but your salary is determined by how hard it is to replace you. In the Bay wit
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The Vanishing Irish (1997)(historyireland.com)
2 points by jmoak3 3y ago|1 comments
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by jmoak3 3y ago
Found this to be an interesting case study of history with all of the discussion around lower birth rates. Not directly applicable, but interesting. The part that piqued my interest: >By 1911 there were in Ireland about half as many peop
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by jmoak3 3y ago
The amount you make for your employer is the “cap” you can be paid. What you are actually paid is based on the difficulty in replacing you. If you want higher wages then find a way to make more tech companies.
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by jmoak3 3y ago
Upvoted because I see your point, although I think you’re being too harsh. I don’t have kids, but surely you see the design flaw at play here: I’d want to give my future kid a phone so I may connect with them at will, but at the same time a
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by jmoak3 3y ago
I've been thinking more about my post above, and I've come to two conclusions: 1. Don't post late at night. 2. I have no idea how society could integrate with a sufficiently complicated synthetic intelligence. What would pers
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by jmoak3 3y ago
I'm a mid-level engineer working from Kentucky - trying to learn and grow remotely because after living in SF and other large west coast cities, I don't see how anyone builds much of a life there before they're 35 anyway. I a
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by jmoak3 3y ago
>once their function is in Houston, why not Honduras? I agree, and it's something that I'd like to get ahead of if it's the world we're approaching. In a world where high-skill-non-managerial jobs can be outsourced ea
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by jmoak3 3y ago
https://www.zumper.com/rent-research/cleveland-oh https://www.zumper.com/rent-research/cincinnati-oh I really like zumper for digestible rent data over time for a given city
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by jmoak3 3y ago
I’ve been thinking about that as well actually, for so much of human history the thread has been “how can we get others to do the work FOR us”. As we approach general problem solving AI, people are envisioning a utopia underpinned by “AI sl
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by jmoak3 4y ago
In a car dependent society such as our America, how do we expect a humongous and rapidly aging demographic to handle their loss of motor skills? By simply staying inside and becoming entirely dependent on kids they never had? They’ll be out
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by jmoak3 4y ago
This was the central point of the bladerunner movies, perfectly and succinctly captured in the recent movie when one character asks: “Is that dog real” “I dunno ask him” “Woof”
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by jmoak3 4y ago
I cut out eating people years ago
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by jmoak3 4y ago
The more AI develops the less omnipotent I feel about human level intelligence. Not once had I ever considered anything could exist as intelligent as a person. I’m not saying GPT4 is there, but to say nothing equal or greater than us will e
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by jmoak3 4y ago
For sure - but when do we start asking it? Not to be too dramatic, but you and I agree we can simulate the same computation a small bundle of neurons can accomplish to a high degree of confidence, right? If we can simulate a metric butt ton
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by jmoak3 4y ago
This will be a bipartisan movement, that oversight plan is led by Elizabeth Warren and Rick Scott. EDIT: Would be fun to see Rand Paul crusading for the Fed in defense of spending cuts.
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by jmoak3 4y ago
Yes. We’ve written too many checks that we can’t possibly hope to cash. If the fed gets in the way of the fiscal policy makers and their spending, they will obliterate it - it only exists because of a law passed by congress anyway. Here’s a
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by jmoak3 4y ago
Internationally aging populations are a systemic source of inflation in the cost of producing goods. I recommend Manoj Pradhan & Charles Goodhart’s, “The Great Demographic Reversal” (2019) for more on the topic. Covid occurring since th
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by jmoak3 4y ago
These days even pouring a driveway can cost in the tens of thousands of dollars. Constructing a house is rather expensive, here’s just a random link from google: https://www.ramseysolutions.com/real-estate/how-much-does
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by jmoak3 4y ago
I’ve always wondered if in my lifetime exponential growth of economic and technological developments would hit a velocity where one or both expands faster than I can even process the changes. At this point all I have to offer is “strap the
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by jmoak3 4y ago
Definitely the demographics: https://www.populationpyramid.net/united-states-of-america/2... I would hate to be fighting to join academia right now in a world where there's a solid chance the student body is shrin
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by jmoak3 4y ago
I agree that I can see it from here, but remember when nukes were invented people said “that’s it they’re going to make a bomb big enough to knock everything out in one go and anyone could make one, and that’ll be it” As far as I can tell i
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by jmoak3 4y ago
For example: I can't punch a bear to death but give me and the other humans some time and we'll find a way to eradicate every single one of them.
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by jmoak3 4y ago
8% or so of all humans who have ever lived are alive today due to exponential growth. Roughly 100b humans are estimated to have ever lived and 8b are here right now. So actually the odds are quite high in my opinion
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by jmoak3 4y ago
Absolutely. Inflation is systemic - aging populations pay more to compete for limited labor and services, and every country is aging at the same time. To truly keep prices within 2% YoY, they'd have to raise rates so high that the asse
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by jmoak3 4y ago
This is summed up nicely. To add, simply take a look at the % of USA federal spending that goes to Medicare and Social Security, which are benefits for the over 65 population. It's 1/3rd. 1/3rd of Americans are also over the
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by jmoak3 4y ago
No.
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by jmoak3 4y ago
In a nutshell, it’s hard to design and build new kinds of solar panels when the scientists have to take mom to the doctor 3x a week Now imagine those scientists manage to have 3 kids a piece - what do you think is getting put on the back bu

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