hntrader

20 ms·

151.
by hntrader 6y ago
80 percent of your entire portfolio is a lot for that. Note also that option buying is negative expectation on average due to the premium demanded by sellers.
152.
by hntrader 6y ago
Media company XYZ that isn't affiliated with Advance Publications has no added incentive to report favorably on Reddit. Limiting Reddit would still be to their benefit in the same way that limiting FB or Twitter would be.
153.
by hntrader 6y ago
> how to block elements like that TweetDeck
154.
by hntrader 6y ago
Would FFT even be appropriate for nonstationary time series? Wavelets seem more appropriate for such time series (not sure about how peformant they would be though, the R package runs pretty slow even for small datasets)
155.
by hntrader 6y ago
The asterisk is just saying it applies to regular full-time employees.
156.
by hntrader 6y ago
What's an example of one that's cheaper than nuclear?
157.
by hntrader 6y ago
"better visual sense" This example pertains to mean skill level which doesn't seem relevant to the variability hypothesis (which pertains instead to variance of traits/skills/interests). If your point is tha
158.
by hntrader 6y ago
To whoever downvoted this, can you please provide a rationale as to why? As a non-expert, the points here are compelling, so I'd appreciate that dialogue.
159.
by hntrader 6y ago
This could be a consequence of the variability hypothesis[1] interacting with the way grades are distributed. If grades tend to have a lot of negative skewness, that means that it pays to be in a group that has the least number of extreme u
160.
by hntrader 6y ago
It's the new status contest among men in technical circles. Who can self-deprecate, feign uncertainty and fake modesty in the most sophisticated way. Everyone is competing for the "nice guy" designation - or perhaps they&#x27
161.
by hntrader 6y ago
Maybe you should write an article about that, and put it up on HN, given that it's such a common point of contention/misunderstanding.
162.
by hntrader 6y ago
How is cooperation anti-Objectivist? If the cooperation is voluntary and within your self-interest then it isn't incompatible.
163.
by hntrader 6y ago
Well I was talking about tromp's assumption of unbounded money. Of course with finite money the strategy makes no sense.
164.
by hntrader 6y ago
Does it even work then? I know that a Weiner process will visit all points on the real line with probability 1, but house edge is like a drift term which biases the process to go down. I'd be interested to see some results on this. Cle
165.
by hntrader 6y ago
Irrelevant (because the assignment of twins to particular environments is mostly blinded to mutation differences) and pedantic (because the differences are trivial).
166.
by hntrader 6y ago
"mathematical modelling of nature" My point is most real world problems people face (even most problems that data scientists face at work) shouldn't be modelled with formal math. Basic reasoning, tinkering, plotting
167.
by hntrader 6y ago
A common mistake technical people make is to be too theoretical or overcomplicated with their work and decision making, where everything has to be some math model written out in a nicely formatted LaTeX document. Don't fall into that t
168.
by hntrader 6y ago
The worst example of sex in film has to be the sex scene in the Matrix trilogy. Easily the most boring two minutes of the whole thing. They didn't even show it going in so what's the point
169.
by hntrader 6y ago
I don't really care if there's sex in films, but I just find it so extremely boring. I've seen it all before 100 times and it does nothing to advance the story (compared to implying that sex just happened), it's not crea
170.
by hntrader 6y ago
> All children start off as fetuses and inherit things Right, but you said "Children exist in the same environment", which is present-tense. If you said "Children existed in the same environment", then it would&#x
171.
by hntrader 6y ago
If you meant unborn children or fetuses you should've said that, because the most obvious interpretation of your original words is that you meant postnatal children. That is typically how the word "Child" is defined: "A
172.
by hntrader 6y ago
"Children exist in the same environment." Wrong. There are twin studies that establish this. But I get it, you are only pro-science when you happen to agree with the conclusions already.
173.
by hntrader 6y ago
"Any other utility function you use will give you a mathematically incorrect result." Tell that to the drunk gambler who just empirically falsified your fantasy theory.
174.
by hntrader 6y ago
You misunderstand the concept of subjective utility. There's no such thing as a "correct result" because people's preferences (utility) varies by individual. What's "correct" for a risk-seeking gambler is
175.
by hntrader 6y ago
"research ... dead in the water" There's no need for explicit research to establish the fact that people differ in their subjective preferences (utility) pertaining to outcome distributions. The evidence is abundant.
176.
by hntrader 6y ago
I'm talking about the concept of expected utility. If EE does away with that concept , then it is a failed theory on conceptual grounds. Without this concept, tell me how EE is supposed to grapple with: (1) gamblers who take on ne
177.
by hntrader 6y ago
Once again, you are misunderstanding my objection. The math of EE is correct given the axioms from which it is deduced. Nobody anywhere is disputing that. What I'm disputing is whether it is a theory that explains human financial decis
178.
by hntrader 6y ago
"You need to prove this " It's already well established. Lifecycle investing is common practice among pension funds. "You would need to show it wasn't one of those factors" Firstly, I'm not
179.
by hntrader 6y ago
Might not a bullshitter bullshit the bullshit-assessment?
180.
by hntrader 6y ago
> only ... if they significantly outweigh the rest. Or if it causes over-investment into a specific cause (e.g. $100k must go to roads, when the non-profit only wanted to allocate $50k to that), which fungibility of money can't addr

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