glofish

39 ms·

391.
by glofish 7y ago
this is a fallacy because it equates the chances for something working to that of not working. We all know how complex process tend to turn out. If someone claims to write a brand new e-commerce website that serves the entire United States
392.
by glofish 7y ago
not putting people on ventilators actually improved their chances, having people face down, or rotating them regularly improves their chances, and of course the myriad other important medical decisions that are made hospitalization rates ar
393.
by glofish 7y ago
That the ventillators are not useful is stated in the top post. That our progress is slowed down because of the measures is also obvious and evident. The whole world is slowed down, why would you think research is not? As for contact tracin
394.
by glofish 7y ago
most likely not, considering the agressive testing of contacts, the first person you would test are the family members, yet only 3% of cases are for people under 18
395.
by glofish 7y ago
what you are doing is a classic fallacy, you take an absurd example and equate my opinion to that. What's 5G got to do with it? Neither SARS or MERS are even remotely similar to COVID-19. The mechanisms are different, the spread is dif
396.
by glofish 7y ago
Kids don't get infected - is that due to contact tracing? Epidemiologists are just as confused here as anyone else. They have never seen anything like this disease, there is no data, there is no evidence to anything claimed here. You c
397.
by glofish 7y ago
the ventilator hysteria is just of the examples of the irrational fear and irrational hope that people seem to get caught up in. The next such fallacy is that of testing and contact tracing. As if that were a solution to anything at all ...
398.
by glofish 7y ago
I don't agree with the content. The whole premise is to mischaracterize what an MVP is supposed to be. The figure they have there where they compare a half car with no wheels (MVP) to the scooter (SLC) is quite telling. That half car w
399.
by glofish 7y ago
everything is an opinion and estimate at this point - the transmission rates in the population with respect of their way of living, the sensibility to infection of different ages, races etc I salute Sweden for not giving in to the lockdown
400.
by glofish 7y ago
they do not seem to have even started human trials only mouse based experiments - so how would it be within reach? the article is surprisingly convoluted and feels a little suspect ends with a call for 100 million CHF funding.
401.
by glofish 7y ago
all the evidence points to an extremely strong age dependency on both infection likelihood, and most importantly on the severity of cases. Nothing is ever 100% but if the rest of the population had the same characteristics as the youth ther
402.
by glofish 7y ago
A surviorship bias at its finest. There are so many aspects of this disease we don't understand, trumpeting various accomplishments on incomplete data helps no one. It is a small, isolated island nation, neither the measures taken nor
403.
by glofish 7y ago
I found the post to be lengthy, lacking focus and specificity. More compelling case could be made in a fraction of its length. Hardly worth reading. The tedious timeline, tweeting hashes as if that meant anything other than: "do you se
404.
by glofish 7y ago
it is and we do.
405.
by glofish 7y ago
As of April 17, in the age group of 15-24, 13 deaths were attributable to COVID-19, 37 to influenza. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/ If you are a college student the risk of dying of alcohol
406.
by glofish 7y ago
none of these diseases are anything like this, no person under 18 has died of the disease in Italy, 3% or less of cases in population under 20 etc. many people don't show symptoms but are quite infectious etc which disease is like that
407.
by glofish 7y ago
perhaps a little bit premature advice college students are not at risk to begin with - I'd recommend waiting closer to mid summer it might be the best time to attend college, fewer people enrolled, getting more attention from educators
408.
by glofish 7y ago
yes, I do think that there is nothing wrong with fitting the data and asking questions suggesting that only an "expert" can possibly fit the data correctly is the wrong conclusion
409.
by glofish 7y ago
no, I really don't think so. no epidemiologist actually has seen anything like what we are seeing today, they are not all that well prepared. this disease defies the models, youth is unaffected etc. If they were prepared well then they
410.
by glofish 7y ago
If you read the paper it turns out there is no actual evidence for the Air Conditioning route other than "the airflow direction" As a matter of fact "air conditioning" is not even involved, the same airflow could be jus
411.
by glofish 7y ago
right or wrong, he'll be proven so relatively shortly, after all the rate will either rise exponentially as the alarmist say, or stays the same and slowly drops as he claims
412.
by glofish 7y ago
the whole point of the argument is that it does not matter what you do everyone will end up in the same situation
413.
by glofish 7y ago
FWIW I am hoping that there are maximal number of invisibly sick people that never notice it, that is the best outcome you could have (other than nobody being sick of course) if you knew someone is unaffected getting exposed is not such a b
414.
by glofish 7y ago
not sure what you are getting at, having 10x more infections yet the situation is still manageable is actually pretty good news
415.
by glofish 7y ago
This is massively informative. If anything pregnant women take a lot more precautions than other people. They are most likely under representing the overall infection rate.
416.
by glofish 7y ago
also while this may sound insensitive 0.1% of the population is not the same as X percent of old and sick people it is not like the virus takes down everyone equally. The overwhelming majority of those affected are both old and fairly sick
417.
by glofish 7y ago
it is not such a great analogy though, considering that we have killed and exterminated most of the wolves, crocs, lions, hippos etc
418.
by glofish 7y ago
these death rates come from published research if anything the death rates over across all age groups are even lower - this is a very common observation as initially most non-symptomatic are missed. there is a very strong age dependence wit
419.
by glofish 7y ago
if the US has 33K deaths and the death rate is 0.6% then the US must have at least 5 million cases. If the death rate is lower (most likely around 0.3%) then it means 10 million infections. Also a good news actually.
420.
by glofish 7y ago
I find this to be good even excellent news. It is quite possible the virus is not nearly as dangerous and lethal as people fear. If the young have nothing to worry about the prospects are pretty good. The best way to reach herd immunity is

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