estearum

17 ms·

391.
by estearum 3mo ago
Vienna? World famous for publicly-funded housing construction? Try this one: "Create a simple analysis approximating how much higher rents would be in Vienna if not for the aggressive public subsidization of supply" In any case, V
392.
by estearum 3mo ago
I had the same intuition as you but I looked it up in light of GP's comment and it actually seems not so clear that's how it works. Apparently the physiological effects of prescription ADHD meds will tend to still be ~same intensi
393.
by estearum 3mo ago
The equilibrium for new housing construction will always be "just enough to keep it expensive by local standards [i.e. by local wages]." That's especially true with rising labor, material, and capital costs. It was actually t
394.
by estearum 3mo ago
Nope. Rents cannot (at meaningful scale) exceed local productivity, or else there will be widespread vacancies and landlords will reduce their rents. Rents cannot (at meaningful scale) fall below local productivity, or else landlords will s
395.
by estearum 3mo ago
No, homeless people are not everywhere. Homelessness is created by high rents. High rents are created by high local productivity. The people who are productive enough to make it over the rent-bar are housed, and their marginal productivity
396.
by estearum 3mo ago
Hey buddy, you're up against people who've only "learned about EA" as a third- or fourth-hand vibecloud around FTX. Don't bring any of that firsthand knowledge here. You're also not allowed to reference any of
397.
by estearum 3mo ago
Imagine thinking that EA could actually cause people to concentrate more wealth than they would've otherwise lmao
398.
by estearum 3mo ago
> the so-called philosophy espouses maximizing income, so that one can later allocate that wealth efficiently No it doesn't. This is a thing that some EAs believe, but is definitely not a "core precept."
399.
by estearum 3mo ago
Not sure what you're even replying to. You're the only one who made an unsubstantiated claim, saying the only people who are worried about risks are ignorant and don't understand the technology. This is so trivially disproven
400.
by estearum 3mo ago
> This is because there are side effects such that GLP-1 meds have not been shown to produce a net positive benefit-to-risk ratio for people who are only mildly overweight. Importantly, this is different from "GLP-1 meds have been s
401.
by estearum 3mo ago
No but like... why is it a concern? Money? The health problems that GLPs produce help people avoid are way more costly than the drugs will ever be. Especially now that the market is so competitive and will only get moreso.
402.
by estearum 3mo ago
Exercise basically doesn't do anything for your weight. Have you reduced your calorie consumption?
403.
by estearum 3mo ago
Same reason you shouldn't try to build skills or acquire unique relevant experience as part of your job search: if everybody does it, the net effect will be zero.
404.
by estearum 3mo ago
Do you have the same concerns about water or food? Why does it matter that it stops benefitting you if you stop taking it?
405.
by estearum 3mo ago
Ah yes and surely the people leading the labs and research teams who are also worried about catastrophe just don't understand the technology? Oh wait wait, no, I bet it's that they're conflicted. And the previous pioneers of
406.
by estearum 3mo ago
This is not even remotely vague compared to what's currently governing us lmao. Surely you can point out specific elements of vagueness, instead of just imagining a counterfactual future and saying "See told you so!"? Void-fo
407.
by estearum 3mo ago
Can you say concretely why HuggingFace is lying about being successfully hacked? Is the claim that the benefit to HuggingFace of "ooo wow someone else's proprietary AI is so good" is greater than the downside of "Hugging
408.
by estearum 3mo ago
Not really that hard: https://legiscan.com/CA/text/SB53/id/3271094
409.
by estearum 3mo ago
But you're still assuming it's the same AI in both cases instead of one that's gradually becoming more capable. We will create AI capable of "helping humans to protect their cities from an increasingly hostile atmosphere
410.
by estearum 3mo ago
That's like asking whether it's more efficient to transmit Internet over telephone lines versus fiber optic ones. There's a path dependency to all things. Sure if the SSE knew upfront its ultimate end state was as such, but i
411.
by estearum 3mo ago
I don't think anyone was suggesting this was a successful project or even a project that earnestly pursued its stated objectives, thus the scare-quotes around the slogan.
412.
by estearum 3mo ago
> use AI all day to successfully solve diverse technical challenges in codespace > each generation of AI clearly more capable than the last > next-generation AI allegedly solves a particularly hard technical challenge in codespace,
413.
by estearum 3mo ago
"Close by" is not actually nearly as close as the [rocket]booster boosters would have you believe. Space is really, really big. Why go through the hassle when you have a phenomenal planet right here? I like your theory on psychosi
414.
by estearum 3mo ago
That doesn't mean it's not a real deterrent. In fact you can read all from politicians and judges across the red/blue spectrum about how they're being coerced and threatened by MAGA. I suspect those threats are a lot mor
415.
by estearum 3mo ago
Just to add onto the strange observations to encourage more people to go: - I saw a child start laughing uncontrollably at 99.9% and then go completely silent and literally fall over at 100% - A grown woman began sobbing Occurred to me that
416.
by estearum 3mo ago
1. Try to travel to totality if you can 2. Don't let your partial experience this week check off the "see an eclipse" box and then not try to see totality – totality is an absolute must-see event
417.
by estearum 3mo ago
+1 to the sibling comments. I'd hardly even step outside my door to see 99.9%, but would travel continents for 100%. In fact I had a flight booked to Spain to see this one which I unfortunately won't be able to make anymore. It is
418.
by estearum 3mo ago
Man yeah... that's some heartbreaking stuff. I was (oddly) relieved to see that these horrible experiments actually did lead to improvements in how humans raised their young. > Physical contact with infants was considered harmful to
419.
by estearum 3mo ago
To respond to your edit: The first document is a report on the economic upside of further investment + regulation on climate. It has nothing to do with downside risk of inaction. To the extent it mentions "whether things will get bette
420.
by estearum 3mo ago
Hard to respond to two assumptions stacked upon each other. First that my 40%+ figure was referring to IT (which should be self-evidently a category error), then that you were correcting that number down to 1.9 million.

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