edouard-harris

12 ms·

91.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
You're right. I'll edit the parent to soften the assertion, though I do consider it to be virtually certain. In terms of evidence: the simplest argument is probably that humans appear to consistently obey the laws of physics, and
92.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
Given that all human behavior can (very likely) be reduced to mathematical equations too, I'm not sure this is a convincing reductio. It certainly doesn't seem obvious that a rule like this could be consistently applied if, for ex
93.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
> YC will always advise going for a high-growth, high-risk strategy I agree that this is indeed YC's bias, but it's incorrect that they will always advise founders in this direction. That claim is inconsistent both with my dire
94.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
The advice on Bookface certainly isn't scientifically based in the strict sense of having been compiled through double-blinded, controlled studies. But the writer and publisher of this content (the YC team) has both 1) intimate access
95.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
"AI is whatever hasn't been done yet." -- Douglas Hofstadter See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_effect
96.
∞-Former: Infinite Memory Transformer(arxiv.org)
3 points by edouard-harris 5y ago|0 comments
97.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
I agree that's a legitimate third possibility, but I don't see it as likely compared to the others. Pivoting is extraordinarily hard when you have 100+ employees and a very visible public commitment to your mission. Given that OAI
98.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
AI safety researcher here. I've interacted with several folks at OpenAI, DeepMind, and other such groups, but have no affiliation with any of them. While I'm not privy to OpenAI's internal motivations, it's worth keeping
99.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
> Is rationing ... bad? Economics 101 often fails to convey the crucial fact about rationing: under any rationing system that isn't a pure random lottery, the only effect of rationing a good is to change the currency in which that
100.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
> Google also pays Apple 7 billion annually^ to be its default SE. It's actually between $8-12 billion now. [1] > Yahoo & MSFT's experience as 2nd place in that market was working very hard and earning $0 profits. This i
101.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
Once can be very sympathetic to the experiences of Amazon drivers — and to be clear, the peeing-in-a-bottle story does appear to refer to a real incident — while still recognizing the enormous improvements in the working conditions of the
102.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
There's a key difference: if you build a building to resist termite damage, the termites don't retreat, plan their next attack, and come back with drills and wood saws to try again. Hackers are better modeled as intelligent advers
103.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
YC has always tended to encourage finding a cofounder, but they've been funding solo teams since at least Dropbox in S07. Given that multi-founder teams still represent 90% of the startups they fund, I could understand calling this
104.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
> There is a big BUG in marketing economics that we do not have a price for external Junk/Waste. This is called a negative externality, and it's been understood by economists for about a century. See https://en.wikip
105.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
I agree terms like "value capture" or "wealth extraction" would probably be more descriptive. But note that I only mentioned "things like theft" in the gp, so I think we're really talking about the same
106.
by edouard-harris 5y ago
> there are far more rich people than we are lead to believe This is almost certainly true — apart from oligarchs, dictators, and crypto billionaires, it's broadly understood that "500 richest" lists also miss a fair numbe
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by edouard-harris 5y ago
I think the grandparent means banning such payments might remove the incentives to hack in the first place , since a hacker can't expect to make any ransom revenue from a company that obeys such a ban.
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by edouard-harris 5y ago
You're absolutely right! Edited the gp from "strictly dominate" to "are probably even with". My memory of the piece was playing tricks on me. That was a serious error, thanks for catching it. My best guess based on
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by edouard-harris 5y ago
Fully automated engines are now probably even with centaur teams. See, for example, this great write-up: https://www.gwern.net/Notes#advanced-chess-obituary
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by edouard-harris 5y ago
Keep in mind that if Twitter took a cut of tips, that would automatically trigger the App Store's 30% in-app payment tax for any user who tips on their iPhone. (According to App Store rules, if an in-app payment goes 100% to the creato
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
> People get rich now from companies because multiples have been artificially pushed higher by low interest rates. No — this is not correct. In reality, multiples are driven by the company's growth rate, minus the prevailing interes
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
> This is America Note that the author of the post is based in London, UK: https://www.stephendiehl.com/
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
One of the funniest consequences of this law is that (under the new equilibrium) a significant portion of the world may end up getting its news about Australia from media outlets that are not based in Australia. This could prove to be a
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
> Did your company reduce mortality? From the parent: > This work has greatly increased accuracy in diagnosis, saving lives.
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
> I wonder if there's a way to marry "efficient market hypothesis" with "reflexivity on the edges" somehow. The key to this synthesis is that there is sometimes genuine, fundamental value to be had in creating a
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
OpenAI isn't publicly traded, but the terms of Microsoft's investment in them give MSFT exposure to their upside. For a retail investor, buying MSFT is probably the best way to bet on this kind of outcome.
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
This is true, except that the "selling commodity at a loss" and "legal exemptions" examples both presuppose that you already have product-market fit for the commodity you're selling or the thing you're gettin
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
I'm a native-born Canadian, married to a woman who was born in Bangladesh. I'm blown away by how much this list reads like an exact point-for-point description of why she moved here. (Except for the part about the $5 wine.)
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
> Why does it feel like no other software company has these sort of branding issues? Google's internal incentive structure strongly favors shipping — at least, it did back in the day, and I believe that's still true now to a gr
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by edouard-harris 6y ago
Clinical trials like this are subject to an enormous number of regulatory and statistical controls, particularly if they're in the public spotlight as much as this one is. It's unlikely the true effectiveness of the vaccine will b

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