dougmwne

14 ms·

121.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I believe the point being made is that the rate of innovation over time would turn asymptotic as the acceleration increased, creating a point in time of infinite progress. On one side would be human history as we know and on the other, ever
122.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I’ll add another inconvenient truth that I’ve realized. You can copy every law and policy that’s working so well in some other (Scandinavian) place and have it still fail horribly. That’s because it was never the laws that were working, but
123.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I think this list misses the biggest reason of them all. Europe is very culturally different from the US. There is no European dream and Europeans do not, as a rule, desire to move beyond their station in life. The culture is obsessed with
124.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Offering to pay GPT also seems to improve results.
125.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Why is Google still in this business?
126.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Paired with the other article on the front page about transparent wood, I’m assuming it will be log structures from genetically modified trees that provide passive heating and cooling, air filtration, adaptive transparency and artificial li
127.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Subtract 5614 from 28104. Divide the result by 65. Then multiply by 3. GPT-4 is giving me a close answer, but not correct. 1035.6 instead of 1038.
128.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Assuming you are for real…Please ask some math questions. Try to determine if there are high school level calculation problems that GPT-4 gets wrong that Q* can solve.
129.
by dougmwne 3y ago
10 submissions is rather arbitrary. Why not just do 1 billion submissions? AI magic!
130.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I was fooled. The model release announcement said it could accept video and audio multi-modal input. I understood that there was a lot of editing and cutting, but I really believed I was looking at an example of video and audio input. I wa
131.
by dougmwne 3y ago
The Gemini benchmarks appear to be heavily gamed. They seem to be carefully presented and use different prompting techniques to show Gemini beating GPT-4. Since no one can actually use Gemini Ultra to confirm, I think it’s safe to assume th
132.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I don’t think we can declare a plateau just based on this. Actually, given that we have nothing but benchmarks and cherry picked examples, I would not be so quick to believe GPT-4V has been bested. PALM-2 was generally useless and plagued b
133.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I take the opposite lesson from this. These ports look practically the same to someone who’s never used them. It’s terrible user experience. IT failed to properly train the user or provide them with useable equipment. This is not revenge o
134.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I remember being surprised that there was wireless phone charging built into so many products so early.
135.
by dougmwne 3y ago
From the hilarious reddit replies, Al was making close to minimum wage at the time based on numbers from the show and realistic estimates of what 30% of a single minimum wage income could afford in south side Chicago. Seems that we have big
136.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I think only New York calls it the Subway? Most cities seem to have their own nickname or just call it the Metro.
137.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I actually find it rather impressive how accessible public transit can be. It’s quite common to see people with poor or no eyesight and wheelchair users. Also common to see older folks carrying their shopping in a little pushcart. Cities ca
138.
by dougmwne 3y ago
That is unfair to Microsoft, which has been an almost impossibly nimble megacorp under Nadella. Afraid that the US is in far worse shape.
139.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Not long at all. Presumably you could write the method on the back of a napkin to lead another top AI researcher to the same result. That’s why trying to sit on breakthroughs is the worst option and making sure they are widely distributed a
140.
by dougmwne 3y ago
No, I didn’t say to change the names, I said to keep the axioms and change the whole context so the problem was no longer directly related to the training set.
141.
by dougmwne 3y ago
A pickpocket, a criminal , and a banker are standing in the lobby and need to ride the elevator to reach the One World Trade Center observation deck. It’s too far to take the stairs and the helicopter pad is closed for repairs. The elevato
142.
by dougmwne 3y ago
You have still formulated the problem in a way that it is easily recognized from the training set and the answer tells you that directly. Write down the logical axioms using variables, then create a brand new situation that says nothing abo
143.
by dougmwne 3y ago
It says right up front that it recognized the problem formulation from its training set. You need to change the context and formulation enough that it’s no longer able to parrot back the “classic solution” and actually has to do its own log
144.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Because I did stump it, not claim to. Used GPT-4 near when it was released, fed it variations on the problem for about an hour. I found it to be a fascinating exercise because it was teaching be the difference between knowledge (training se
145.
by dougmwne 3y ago
This makes some sense to me. My experience with GPT is that it is capable of straightforward logical inference, but not more inspired thinking. It lacks the ability for a “eureka moment”. All complex inference it appears to have is a result
146.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Well they won’t now that MS and Sam are back in charge. Seems like it’ll be safe to build on their APIs again.
147.
by dougmwne 3y ago
I think everyone is missing the point. Sam Altman seems to be a reasonably effective leader (and certainly flawed and a bit sociopathic), but ultimately unimportant and replaceable. This was not about Sam, this was about the strategic direc
148.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Azure seems like the safest place. MS has full rights to run GPT models independently. The OpenAI APIs are absolutely in question. The board is fully rogue and they could make literally any decision, including shutting off public access. Th
149.
by dougmwne 3y ago
And so the scramble for the carcass begins. MSFT will need to move quickly to avoid having their new division poached.
150.
by dougmwne 3y ago
That certainly seems to be the scenario and explains his willingness to go scorched earth. I wonder what the motivations of the other 2 board members are. Could they just be burn it down AI Doomers?

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