dougmwne

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271.
by dougmwne 3y ago
Aaactuallly… Our society is build on a foundation of relatively cheap energy. Massive amounts of energy are built into the production of every item of food that reaches your fridge or item that reaches your closet. The unleashing of stored
272.
by dougmwne 3y ago
It’s nothing unless it turns out to be something. I’ll draw an analogy to the LLMs and diffusion models that have lately rocked the computer world. These things are straight up science fiction. I would have said computers would have never b
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by dougmwne 3y ago
My immediate reaction was towering stupidity. But on the other hand, what is there really to protect here? Twitter’s reputation is in the trash bin anyways. And the cutesy branding is going to end up out of step with the toxic conservative
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by dougmwne 3y ago
I would suggest that lots of people don’t think like you or share your values. Lots of people would rather spend the day talking and basking in the attention and respect that comes with their position.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
No age is too early for a crisis. One model I have heard is that we need to reinvent ourselves every 7 to 10 years. I had one crisis of reinvention at 30. Now at 38 I am in another one.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
The US supplies weapons, training, intelligence and logistics to just one side in an active war. Clearly “act of war” is a line they’ve been dancing on for awhile. And I don’t know who did the sabotage, and I don’t know if it was on the sug
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by dougmwne 3y ago
I think a lot of it comes down to political possibility. Lots of EU countries are quite homogeneous and have thousand year old cultures. Importing labor is a harder sell than in the US where everyone is just a few generations removed from i
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by dougmwne 3y ago
A lot of that ability to pull out of recessions is due to a central bank that can lower rates more than other countries without risking inflation. I suspect this is due to the USD’s status as world reserve currency, if we print too much the
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Fancy term, but can you develop an argument to support it?
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Sure, I am aware. And if you let the aristocracy go on for too long eventually they claim divine right. It is possible that some European countries have over corrected though.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Sorry to break it to you, but by the end of the century Canada will be the bread basket of America. Go quietly and pretend like it was your idea and you may even get statehood.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
It was economical to buy the Russian gas delivered by pipeline. The US wanted to sell its more expensive LNG. And it ended up getting its wish after it supported a western aligned Ukraine and while no one wants to claim responsibility for b
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by dougmwne 3y ago
It’s true, but as cold hearted as it is, they didn’t have to let them in. Poland sure decided to pick and choose. The Greeks are not having it either. One day there will be a massive wave of climate refugees rushing out of the uninhabitable
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by dougmwne 3y ago
In the US, the immigrant labor does not stay low skilled for long or was never low skilled in the first place. See: tech company CEOs
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by dougmwne 3y ago
I’d largely agree with that, though I originally meant the secret sauce that gets better results out of immigrants. The effects of empire go far beyond military. The monetary dominance serves as a hidden tax on all other currencies as the U
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Here’s a better comparison. The thing that really hurt the Eurozone was the 2011 - 2013 recession that the US did not experience. Plus there’s a slower growth rate even in the good times. https://freedomandprosperity.org/wp-
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by dougmwne 3y ago
I have the same memory of playing for one minute and getting stuck. I went back to it 25 years later and beat it. Once you get over the reaction-time hump, it’s a glorious and memorable game.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Nope. ChatGPT/Bing have taken over maybe 50% of my internet searches. I find them incredibly helpful for all kinds of things. My best recent use of Bing is while on vacation to Italy, I had it search the internet in Italian for more lo
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by dougmwne 3y ago
This is lots of people who work in nonprofit.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Well we reproduce so it’s really the same difference. The huge limiting factor for getting between stars seems to be the rocket equation. You have to invent magic propulsion to cross the galaxy.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
But to be fair, it’s not like we’ve been able to look very many places. We’ve checked a few of the planets in our own solar system and it could be plausible to detect a civilization within a few light years by radio wave if we were very luc
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by dougmwne 3y ago
I would define short lived as the difference between dying out in a local star cluster or continuing to expand till the heat death of the universe. A long-lived and expansionary civilization will eventually reach us, even if it takes 1k yea
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by dougmwne 3y ago
You just proposed a great filter, short lived civilizations. If civilizations lasted for billions of years or their AGIs did the same, we’d have a lot higher chance of them expanding to fill the galaxy and converting the surface of all 8 pl
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by dougmwne 3y ago
And this is why I suspect AGI superintelligence is impossible. A bio civilization will never reach us. An AGI will reach us rapidly.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Space is much bigger than you are accounting for and the speed of light much slower. If the nearest spacefaring civilization is in the next galaxy over, we will never meet them. It actually seems rather unlikely any spacecraft could ever re
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by dougmwne 3y ago
One that functions as the greatest physics experiment we could never run and has revealed countless laws of the cosmos, yes!
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by dougmwne 3y ago
It seems scientifically implausible that we are alone. I base this on a few things: Life started on Earth almost as soon as the surface was cool enough to support it. The surface seems to have been stable enough for life by 3.8 billion year
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by dougmwne 3y ago
From your description, the solution seems obvious. The factory needs to come to the building site, rather than the other way around. So the opportunity essentially becomes one of providing better tools to builders. This has already happened
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by dougmwne 3y ago
Class and income are extremely important when it comes to marriage. It’s more important for women because they are looking for stability and safety for raising kids. It’s less important for men because they are the ones expected to provide.
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by dougmwne 3y ago
The trend of less education means less marriage is interesting. I think that tells me the root cause is that 25% of 40 year olds are not financially attractive mates. I think this speaks to a broader trend of men not being able to meet the

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