disgruntledphd2

3 ms·

1.
by disgruntledphd2 5d ago
> The EU has become ever more dependent on the US in the past few years, notably on energy and AI. Energy yes, particularly since the Iran war started. AI, not really. Like most Europeans are using US models, but the switching costs are
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by disgruntledphd2 6d ago
I was amused to see DeepSeek using it recently, as I didn't realize it was installed on my machine (macos with brew). Ruby is much, much prettier for similar purposes though, and so that's what I'll learn if I ever need to do
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by disgruntledphd2 7d ago
Many of them went rogue because of poor security controls on the part of one company who was a subcontractor for many of the labs.
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by disgruntledphd2 7d ago
Yeah, it's funny. Both of the recent models from the big us labs require you to ask what does this mean before they'll rewrite in simpler language. Provenance this, gated that. It almost sounds like smart stuff, but then you dig d
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
Rao's piece is much, much better. You should submit it as a top-level link!
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
> a sufficiently powerful AI We don't have this kind of AI, and (as of right now), unless humans link the AIs we do have up to a bunch of killer robots (i.e. drones) then this is vanishingly unlikely. Like, any scenario where AI kil
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
> this effort was for the sake of passing a test for no clear gain It's actually even worse, because the people building the graders at OpenAI were a bunch of clowns who didn't even implement the correct grader. But yeah, large
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
> I'd say it's mostly feeling a loss of control, which they couldn't place and our politicians were not open enough about explaining that this loss of control of the population was caused by.... the politicians themselves.
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
They do not, as they're aiming for full replacement rather than augmentation of human users. Personally, I think this is a bad idea, but someone's gotta build the Machine God I guess.
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
> But there's a lot of re-inforcement learning afterwards. That just shifts the distribution of tokens produced. Ultimately they are still just next token predictors. Like, even "reasoning" models basically work by generat
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by disgruntledphd2 8d ago
> Silicon Valley can do ad networks extraordinarily easily. This is just not true, building an effective advertising platform costs significant amounts of money, time and people. Remember that you need to hire a sales force for this, and
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by disgruntledphd2 9d ago
So, their property sector essentially collapsed from 2019-21, vaporising much of the wealth possessed by many Chinese people (who were often buying expensive flats of the plans). As a result of this many local government pushed money into c
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by disgruntledphd2 9d ago
> We were 10 years from paying off the national debt when Clinton left office. 10 years! To be fair, if the US government had continued paying off the debt, the only way the (global) books would've balanced would've been for th
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by disgruntledphd2 9d ago
> leading to World Depression II This is very, very unlikely. The US would probably suffer more, given how much AI related expenditure there is. The EZ mostly wouldn't notice, and China is already basically in a depression that it
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by disgruntledphd2 9d ago
> You really end up needing a super majority. Assuming you're talking about the Senate filibuster, then this can be changed or removed by simple majority vote. It's not in the Constitution, just a rule that the Senate adopted.
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by disgruntledphd2 9d ago
> Oh of course, but data sciency ML type people aren't [supposed to be] tasked with of operating and securing the infra, that would make it even worse. But AI collapses the need for expertise, right? So the DS people can now do secu
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by disgruntledphd2 10d ago
For converting unstructured data into (more) structured data, they're phenomenal. Yes, they are expensive, but flexibility has a lot of value.
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by disgruntledphd2 10d ago
> Even the largest, most trusted companies in the world get regularly hacked Yes, they do. Fundamentally this is because they don't spend enough money on security (like basically everybody else). Some form of personal liability for
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by disgruntledphd2 10d ago
> I know that the people working there aren't idiots so the most likely explanation is that the incredibly weak security was intentional because its inevitable breach would make for great marketing. It's more likely to be diffe
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by disgruntledphd2 11d ago
Yeah, because I was told that it was mostly trilobites, around the same time (mid late 80s).
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by disgruntledphd2 11d ago
> At least Europe has better weather and social services. Europe is not a country, these vary wildly across members of the EU/UK/Europe more broadly. As an Irish person, I'd love if the weather and social services were b
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by disgruntledphd2 11d ago
> Manufacturing offshoring started in late 90s Speaking as an Irish person who grew up in the 80's, this isn't true as there were loads of US companies manufacturing in Ireland back then. There were even clothes manufacturers
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by disgruntledphd2 12d ago
Much, much worse for the EU, probably about the same for China (based on their actions so far).
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by disgruntledphd2 12d ago
This is the bitter lesson that the labs may have to learn for themselves. Like, even with AGI, without corresponding enhancements in robotics, the machines basically _can't_ take over. Intelligence is not all you need (you also need ha
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by disgruntledphd2 13d ago
The labs have raised far, far more money than any of the hyperscalers ever did, with no sign of a route to monopoly profits.
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by disgruntledphd2 14d ago
Yeah, we should give a limited copyright waiver for pre training, given that the model is released as open weight and allow labs to compete with RL on that basis.
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by disgruntledphd2 14d ago
Yeah, it's generally the harness around the model that makes it useful.
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by disgruntledphd2 14d ago
Presumably they used intent to treat though, so 73 pp data were analysed.
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by disgruntledphd2 14d ago
Hey, I supported it too! I actually thought it was her best decision. It hasn't worked out politically, though. Again, I'm aware, I just wish different decisions had been made.
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by disgruntledphd2 14d ago
Even Bibi has been screwed by this war, because it hasn't made Israel safer, and he's got an election coming up.

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