disgruntledphd2

4 ms·

31.
by disgruntledphd2 15d ago
> If there was an actual spark, it was the 2016 election as this was the first time when all the disinformation, professional troll farms and Russian influence truly came into play on a world changing scale. I'll never forget how in
32.
by disgruntledphd2 15d ago
> This was the desired effect though Honestly, I think you're giving far too much credit to the current US government.
33.
by disgruntledphd2 15d ago
> In a world where the Russo-Ukrainian conflict doesn't happen she was fine. The German (so not just her) position on the post financial crisis reforms were wildly misguided, and her taking in of Syrian immigrants also didn't e
34.
by disgruntledphd2 15d ago
> And it doesn't help most of our economies are all export economies, The worst part of all this is that becoming more export focused was pushed heavily by Germany during the euro crisis, and now its causing more problems. Honestly,
35.
by disgruntledphd2 15d ago
Wasn't this during the period where they had a bunch of bugs around caching and the models were making loads of weird decisions? I honestly feel like basically nobody knows anything about these models, it's all just vibes (and I
36.
by disgruntledphd2 16d ago
It's worth noting that Cochrane reviews are normally the minimal effect sizes you'll see, as they pull in every study and hate self reported measures. Don't get me wrong, they're my first port of call (mostly for the fun
37.
by disgruntledphd2 16d ago
The reason that algorithmic feeds were introduced was essentially that Zynga and various heavy posters were killing Facebook (but mostly Zynga). Back near the dawn of time, FB's feed was chronological, and that meant that Every.Single.
38.
by disgruntledphd2 16d ago
> (though I'm just starting to try WSL and so far it is looking good) WSL is really nice, as is Windows Terminal. I particularly love its fonts (but that's probably just me).
39.
by disgruntledphd2 17d ago
> I feel like the evidence standard has to be extremely high if you're claiming that tens of millions of people are going to die in the next few years with the goal of blocking a program from being defunded. I mean, this is basicall
40.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
You probably shouldn't believe leaks when a company has a financial incentive to appear profitable (particularly when attempting to IPO).
41.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> The point is that the model is already immensely profitable. There is no fundamental reason why AI isn't profitable. It already is. We'll see I suppose. Until the audited financial statements are released, no-one who doesn&#x
42.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> Kimi K2 Thinking was apparently build by just 80 people and not more funding. But they're not competing (offically at least) for GPUs and they have much, much cheaper electricity (which makes pre-training more affordable).
43.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> They're pushing hard to do Euro bonds precisely for things like this. I really, really wish that this was true, but basically no-one is pushing for euro bonds (even though they'd be a great idea).
44.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> It’s a different culture with different rules Nah, it's more that there's no Capital Markets Union, so there's just ~30 smaller pots of money scattered across each country.
45.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> those are estimates, not data. I am asking about actual data. For example, mortality reports, piles of bodies, etc. I think that this is an unrealistic ask, right now. Over the next 5-10 years enough time will have passed such that we
46.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> As for the article, this is modelling, not data (both the retrospective and the predictive). There is no direct causation being shown. You simply cannot make a claim like "X million people will die because USAID was terminated&quo
47.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
If you're getting colds that often (and you're not immuno-compromised) then it might be worth getting checked out. I was getting sick constantly, and it turned out I had chronic sinusitis, and surgery made it much much better. (Ju
48.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
This comic was made a loooooonnnnnnggggg time ago (back when I worked at Facebook). It was actually a great place to work then, but that company no longer exists in any meaningful sense.
49.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> You guys will define "winning" so narrowly that if the Middle East continues to be volatile, that means the US must've lost. The type of victory that the US achieved in WW2 is an atypically high standard for "victor
50.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> I don't really see the value of regulation requiring a certain preference, given that there are tradeoffs. Reducing the amount of manufacturing for phones, and thus reducing the impact of the species on the environment is an extre
51.
by disgruntledphd2 18d ago
> We didn’t need to see resignations because they were fired when the numbers weren’t good, in his opinion, previously.[1] I mean no disrespect, but I have been following this story, as I am very interested in the quality of official sta
52.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
The only thing that makes sense to me is that lots of people want an actual right wing government, not one who's just in coalition with the left. That's the only explanation that makes sense to me, without calling lots of people N
53.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
Yeah, it's survey based and some employers don't hit the first few deadlines. Last month got revised to being positive, at the same time that this month was being released.
54.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
Not really. We'd see a lot of resignations if the numbers were being fudged. Statisticians, as a rule, take a dim view of falsifying data.
55.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
> Soon you'll end up regulating all phones to be modular. That would be great, obviously there would be tradeoffs (not as thin, potentially less waterproof) but that seems like the right direction to go in.
56.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
> We won in Iraq 2 as well, Only if you ignore the rise of ISIS and various militias, along with the collapse of Iraqi society (mind you, the sanctions had done a pretty good job of wrecking that before GW2 anyway).
57.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
> Of course there are exceptions like Excel but that is rarely more than a small portion of the workforce. Excel is still a huge (ginormous) moat, particularly as MS have built basically all of their data tools into it. Unless someone cr
58.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
> against Saddam in the Gulf War I really hope you're referring to GW1, rather than 2. And yeah, if you weren't a Kurd who believed GW Bush, then that was a pretty effective war from the US (and global) perspective.
59.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
Not always, specifically not for the most recent war (gulf war 3).
60.
by disgruntledphd2 19d ago
> Amazon ran for, what? 20 year with no profit. Profit is a weird metric, in that one can defer necessary expenditure to show increases in it, while having negative profit was a good signal for Amazon as they invested all that money. The

More ›