ddp26

16 ms·

181.
by ddp26 5y ago
This is true, but in practice a very small problem. People who can control or majorly influence these big outcomes - elections, sports matches, acquisitions, etc. - generally have a much, much larger stake in the outcome itself than any sid
182.
by ddp26 5y ago
I'm not sure this is so clear. Google's first prediction market had 1,463 traders (>10% of the company at the time) and produced >250k predictions (though >50% of those were from trading bots). The market was a surprising
183.
by ddp26 5y ago
Agree, tangible incentives are important. But non-monetary prediction markets still have other benefits over traditional forecasting: (1) Traders only make predictions in markets where they think they will gain; (2) Traders control their ri
184.
by ddp26 5y ago
You'd be surprised how motivated many Googlers are to be on a leaderboard of top traders, even without $!
185.
by ddp26 5y ago
Roughly 4.3M acres burned in 2020 [1]. I've seen estimates that CA has 15M - 20M acres of overgrowth above equilibrium due to fire suppression and a slowdown of old fire prevention techniques. So, in roughly ~5 years, if we continue ha
186.
by ddp26 5y ago
"Everything not forbidden is compulsory." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Totalitarian_principle
187.
by ddp26 6y ago
A big caveat to this study is that, in the reconstructed simulations, once the self-driving car (SDC) deviates from what the human-driven car did, the behavior of all other agents becomes unrealistic. Often in these sims, instead of reactin
188.
by ddp26 6y ago
Does this mean the vaccine has passed FDA Phase 3 trials? What comes next?
189.
by ddp26 6y ago
I'm a pretty serious online chess player. I'm in the top 300 players on lichess in blitz. Anecdotally, cheating is much more common on chess.com than lichess. This may be because chess.com is bigger and more visible. There are als
190.
by ddp26 7y ago
Larry and Sergey, thank you for the incredible gift that you gave the world. You will be deeply missed at Google.
191.
by ddp26 8y ago
Solar can generate heat directly, using Concentrated Solar Power plants: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concentrated_solar_power
192.
by ddp26 11y ago
The gamblers will not come out ahead. The 7% return you mention requires buying and holding.
193.
by ddp26 12y ago
I don't understand. Isn't the point that your example good candidate will prepare for interviews by reviewing those occurrences such that they are vivid, but a bad candidate will be unable to do so regardless of how much they prep
194.
by ddp26 12y ago
The author prefaces the six arguments by saying that "I think some of the arguments below will be completely correct, others correct only in certain senses and situations, and still others intriguing but wrong."
195.
by ddp26 13y ago
That's true - however, Fischer did play the same openings religiously. To prepare for Carlsen, you don't have the luxury of knowing what opening you will face.
196.
by ddp26 13y ago
I don't have an apple device to test this on, but based on the description, this could probably be used to browse/visualize a lot of things other than movies.
197.
Clinkle(clinkle.com)
10 points by ddp26 13y ago|12 comments
198.
by ddp26 13y ago
Actually Keith Schwarz is an introductory CS teacher :-).