darawk

43 ms·

481.
by darawk 5y ago
I feel like people are getting outraged at the title. This isn't a keylogger. It's recording keystroke/mouse patterns to create behavioral profiles, not monitor content. It's just to try to heuristically detect whether t
482.
by darawk 5y ago
> 1. I'm thinking of it in terms of two different kinds of knowledge that we're going after when we try to (A) understand a proposition vs (B) make a probabilistic guess at the right answer from among a discrete range of possib
483.
by darawk 5y ago
> To the right, in this context, means more statically typed. While the notion is natural, the sentence is uninformed. When I wrote the article, I hadn't yet read Charles Petzold's excellent Annotated Turing. Although I had he
484.
by darawk 5y ago
1. Yes, that's true. However i'm not sure I see clearly the distinction you're trying to draw here. You could build a neural network that can ask clarifying questions too. You can certainly define an ML model that recognizes
485.
by darawk 5y ago
> I think you might be missing the point. It's not that an utterance/proposition has "only one meaning", but that it is meant to represent only one concept (the speaker's) at the time it's spoken. While this
486.
by darawk 5y ago
This article is....total nonsense. None of the challenges described are impossible to solve with statistical methods. And i'd be willing to bet nearly any amount of money that they will be solved that way, long before they are solved i
487.
by darawk 5y ago
> But dumbness alone is rarely the driving threat: at the head of almost every dumb movement, you will find the stupid in charge. This distinction is such a perfect distillation of something i've struggled to articulate for a long t
488.
by darawk 5y ago
What does this have to do with his post? You seem to be implying that this post is some kind of ham-fisted defense of wealth inequality in cryptocurrency, but that's not what it says at all.
489.
by darawk 5y ago
Not even really that big, though. https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/18/too-much-dark-money-in...
490.
by darawk 5y ago
You could say this about basically all progress anywhere in human history, though. Leonardo Da Vinci's patrons were spending their money on art and research when they could have been feeding their peasants better. The same with Isaac N
491.
by darawk 5y ago
> That's complete bullshit. What's causing the distrust is lobbying by some of the largest industries in the world and major media companies making money hand over fist selling lies This used to be true. In 1995 this was defini
492.
by darawk 5y ago
> Bush v. Gore 2000 down in Florida comes to mind. I think about this one frequently. I think this was actually pretty impactful, and in an interesting way. I suspect that Gore would have put all of his energy into climate change work, a
493.
by darawk 5y ago
I feel like referring to this as 'error' is a mistake. It's not an error, it's a bias. As stated in the article, it can cut both ways, depending on your valence towards the person you're evaluating. Sometimes an act
494.
by darawk 5y ago
> One reason being that then you have a strong financial incentive to "whistleblow" on things that are less clear-cut, making it likely that (a) you'll eventually harm innocent people in the process, and (b) you'll in
495.
by darawk 5y ago
Attempting to self study statistics and econometrics in a serious way. I just finished Casella and Berger's "Statistical Inference". I'm about halfway through Shumway and Stoffer's "Time Series Analysis",
496.
by darawk 5y ago
> Kinda - although CGT is at a much lower rate than employment income, and you can write all sorts of expenses off against it. Ya, definitely. Although Biden's tax proposals may change that. If ProPublica wanted to put out a piece a
497.
by darawk 5y ago
Man I am so glad someone is saying this. This was exactly my reaction to this article. ProPublica normally does relatively good work in my experience, but this piece just basically boiled down to: Did you know that you don't have to pa
498.
by darawk 5y ago
Even if they just rebuilt github, but oriented the UI towards academic publishing and peer review, that would be a potentially valuable product. The integration of the cryptocurrency certainly has the potential to veer off in scammy directi
499.
by darawk 5y ago
This is very cool. I think this area is a very good one to apply crypto to. Research is a decentralized coordination problem, and many of the incentive problems involved with replication and evaluation seem amenable to mechanism design orie
500.
by darawk 5y ago
> If you already have an efficiently functioning consensus system that can answer questions like this, what value does adding a blockchain have? It alters the political topology. I would analogize it to saying "What does social medi
501.
by darawk 5y ago
These people were making predictions like this in 2017 when btc was at 20k. It crashed brutally for a long time, and nothing happened to Tether. I see no reason whatsoever to think that this time is different. This article relies on the sam
502.
by darawk 5y ago
If Tether were not exchanging USDT for dollars it would be impossible to support the market prices on exchanges between Tether and other stablecoins. Kraken also has a real USD/USDT market that is quite liquid. There is no way that the
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by darawk 5y ago
People keep posting these articles, and Tether keeps not collapsing. You can exchange your Tethers 1:1 for dollars right now, and have been able to this entire time.
504.
by darawk 5y ago
Yes, you can.
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by darawk 5y ago
Criticisms like this are so strange to me. Blockchains are socially constructed tools. They aren't meant to be some absolute source of truth that can never be subverted by any social institution. They are meant to be a ledger that only
506.
by darawk 5y ago
This is just the state rate. The current federal rate is 20%, and is about to rise to 43%. So, the full tax rate on capital gains in WA is 27% and going to be 50%.
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by darawk 5y ago
Money is a unit of measure. Any other unit of measure you choose will be fungible with it. Money is simply a way of unifying things we care about and translating them into the same space. In order to compare two actions, you need to normali
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by darawk 5y ago
Ya, I get that. But the point was to demonstrate that the project was vulnerable to this kind of attack - which it was. That's an extremely important finding.
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by darawk 5y ago
> A/B testing on major platforms is much more sophisticated than that[1]. On some it is, and some it isn't. > It's a crucial practice for advertisers and marketing teams that dives deep into researching the psychologica
510.
by darawk 5y ago
Ya, they wasted a bit of their time. That wasn't very nice. But it's hardly the great crime it's being made out to be, and what they did was a huge public service. It's impossible to over-state the importance of linux ke

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