dalyons

8 ms·

151.
by dalyons 6mo ago
the last offshore wind auction was 90, and that beat gas at 40% even before the war. https://electrek.co/2026/01/14/uk-offshore-wind-record-aucti... The next one in july should be interesting!
152.
by dalyons 6mo ago
I agree in general, but you may as well be wishing for ponies and unicorns as for change here. Short term economics is the current dominant force. Also consider that if you’re wrong about the progress of clean tech, and it closes the gaps o
153.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Long term storage is a problem. Nightly will be solved soon by batteries. California is well on the way, down to 25% fossil in 2025 from 45% in 2022, due to batteries. And they just keep getting built. Australia is on the same track. If we
154.
by dalyons 6mo ago
I don’t know about the particulars of the EU schemes, but it doesn’t have to be that way. Elsewhere in the world, Australia is saving money due to the rollout of renewables [1]. So is the UK [2] 3. A billion in march alone. 1 https:/&
155.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Are you referring to the debunked idea that solar panels only last 20 years? Because yeah, bunk. https://www.ecoticias.com/en/goodbye-to-the-idea-that-solar-...
156.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Where? In every country in the world? Because the world met something like 85% of the energy growth of 2025 with renewables. All regions of the world are seeing massive and accelerating renewables buildout. All forced by the state? Extraord
157.
by dalyons 6mo ago
I agree storage is a problem. But the concept of “base load” is outdated. As I mentioned in another comment - Because actually “base load” nuclear is terrible in a grid increasingly full of nearly-free variable sources (solar&wind). The
158.
by dalyons 6mo ago
A lot has changed since the 2023 data in your link. Chinas coal use declined in 2025, and is projected to continue to decline in 2026 and into the future [1]. Not share, absolute. Despite overall generation growing by 5%. And it’s all drive
159.
by dalyons 6mo ago
So your answer is use the state to force people to pay more for less competitive energy? There isn’t another choice here.
160.
by dalyons 6mo ago
And yet, even with their buildout the nuclear share of electricity is projected to decline y/y. Because renewables are cheaper. And yes it does show china can build things, but it also highlights the different calculus of a single part
161.
by dalyons 6mo ago
I think it is actually the pro nuke case that often has misconceptions of how a modern grid works, repeating terms like “base load” etc Because actually nuclear is terrible in a grid increasingly full of nearly-free variable sources (solar&
162.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Building _new_ nuclear is not going to make their energy costs cheaper. It is the most expensive form of generation
163.
by dalyons 6mo ago
For better or worse, we live in a highly capitalist world, and most western electricity is an open market. In this construct we only make decisions based on money. The markets won’t do it, because nukes don’t make any capital sense to inves
164.
by dalyons 6mo ago
What’s your field
165.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Interesting. Though their conclusions are pretty weak: > In some cases, spikes in load growth can result in significant, near-term retail price increases. Results from recent capacity auctions in the mid-Atlantic region prove this point,
166.
by dalyons 6mo ago
theres tons of news articles going around about how datacenter installs are causing large local rate spikes. for eg: https://www.consumerreports.org/data-centers/ai-data-centers... > That same Bloomberg analysis fo
167.
by dalyons 6mo ago
absolutely agree with that. However, its not so much the capability, its the cost. In 2026 big projects cost a lot more, whos gunna pay for it? In the 80s we all paid for it, but we roughly all benefited as we got more and more electric cap
168.
by dalyons 6mo ago
I don’t understand how it could have realistically been different. In say 2001 how can you possibly make the case for very expensive grid expansion for future loads that haven’t been invented yet?
169.
by dalyons 6mo ago
you need to update your talking points. China no longer subsidizes their cars produced today to any meaningful level.
170.
by dalyons 6mo ago
only one way to find out!
171.
by dalyons 6mo ago
that is absolutely not the problem. We have more than enough li, subject to cost of extraction. New chemistries dont even need it. you need to update your talking points.
172.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Same as Australia! The rate of proliferation of Chinese EVs (and gas) there is crazy to see. Free market baby! (And before the inevitable “but Chinese subsidies” comment - update your talking points, subsidies no longer happens to any meani
173.
by dalyons 6mo ago
And that will never change?
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by dalyons 6mo ago
So 20 years from now, all the old gas regular people cars have aged out. You’re left with what, 1 or 2% of enthusiasts cars? Seems like success to me, and fairly inevitable
175.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Haha. I meant it as more like… people who say “I don’t pay attention to politics at all it never actually affects me”. Well, that’s true until it suddenly isn’t. You might get away with sticking your head in the sand, you might not, hard to
176.
by dalyons 6mo ago
I’m assuming their job is one at least somewhat in the firing line for AI, otherwise it’s a pointless anecdote. “My friend is a plumber and doesn’t worry about AI” isn’t particularly interesting because of course.
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by dalyons 6mo ago
I feel for you deeply. I’m equally fearful of this for my children, but one small blessing of my kids being very young is at least the ambiguity will probably be over by the time they have to decide. I don’t expect there to be good choices,
178.
by dalyons 6mo ago
They’ll still lose their job to AI, whether they’re paying attention or not.
179.
by dalyons 6mo ago
83 renewable isn’t right, but it’s up to 67% clean in 2025, which is still pretty impressive
180.
by dalyons 6mo ago
Supply costs have surprisingly not that much to do with Californias silly electric rates. They load into the retail rates all kinds of disaster recovery costs, environmental blah blah costs, distribution upgrades, social programs, the list

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