csee

13 ms·

121.
by csee 5y ago
So this is basically saying that it's extremely hard to estimate these tail-event probabilities reliably, and therefore conclusions should not be taken as gospel. But we mostly knew that already?
122.
by csee 5y ago
Respect for the logic of MAD is premised on rational leadership. Eventually, one day, that won't be true.
123.
by csee 5y ago
You agree to mutual, simultaneous reductions that are audited by an independent body.
124.
by csee 5y ago
Are the blocks that Russia is implementing avoidable with a VPN?
125.
by csee 5y ago
There's no equivalence here. Russia has assassinated about 50 journalists under Putin and imprisoned/beaten many more. They have a very tight stranglehold on press freedom. But yes, we need to take it extremely seriously in the We
126.
by csee 5y ago
Why would Russia damage it? They can just shut it off voluntarily on their side and use that for leverage.
127.
by csee 5y ago
Are Putin's nuclear threats a deliberate PsyOp to strike fear into the public so as to reduce calls for help/sanctions?
128.
by csee 5y ago
I'd suggest longer than 24 hours if you have the supplies to do so. The radiation will continue to drop off quickly into day 2 and 3.
129.
by csee 5y ago
Any recent update on the correctness of the 'nuclear winter' concept?
130.
by csee 5y ago
Do you think Putin wants to find a negotiated solution right now, or he's still all-in on the outcome?
131.
by csee 5y ago
Do you think Putin wants to find a negotiated solution right now, or he's still all-in on the outcome?
132.
by csee 5y ago
So, suppose that Putin does capture all of eastern Ukraine. How does he plan to announce it to the population? "Surprise! it wasn't actually just LNR/DNS!"?
133.
by csee 5y ago
What about the attempts on Kyiv and shelling of Lviv? Didn't Putin say that he wanted to "denazify" all of Ukraine in his opening declaration, not just LNR/DNS?
134.
by csee 5y ago
But it might be an end game in terms of a false flag to justify such a bombing in Russian propaganda. They can't just outright go for the bombing without such a justification.
135.
by csee 5y ago
I believe they do have air superiority, just not air supremacy.
136.
by csee 5y ago
They are limiting casualities. The bombing of civilians is on purpose, but the purpose is to get negotiating leverage and break will, not to kill as many civilians as possible.
137.
by csee 5y ago
Ukraine are supporting the Azov Battalion out of sheer desperation due to constant Russian aggression. They can't afford to pick and choose who will help them in their defence. The presence of neo-nazis in the general population is act
138.
by csee 5y ago
They were blocking the SWIFT move and refused to allow weapons to pass through their country.
139.
by csee 5y ago
Even if 30% of their missiles fail, 70% still gets through. That's about a thousand nukes.
140.
by csee 5y ago
Why are you assuming Putin is a rational actor. Can we please drop this assumption, his actions over the last week show the opposite.
141.
by csee 5y ago
There was no bluffing here. Can we get over this false idea that Putin is some calm strategist.
142.
by csee 5y ago
What agreement did they sign that they then broke?
143.
by csee 5y ago
Russia doesn't adhere to their agreements. They violated Minsk and Budapest already.
144.
by csee 5y ago
All their other missiles have worked.....
145.
by csee 5y ago
Anyone have estimates on how many people Russia could kill in the worst case situation of a full scale launch? Would it be the extinction of humanity due to the nuclear holocaust that follows?
146.
by csee 5y ago
It's going to be a disaster for Putin, too. A disaster for literally everyone involved.
147.
by csee 5y ago
Not two zeros?
148.
by csee 5y ago
Tucker clips are being broadcasted right now inside Russia as part of their state sponsored propaganda. His description of Ukraine as a US client state and other pro-Putin propaganda is harming Ukrainians.
149.
by csee 5y ago
Why do you use the Putin propaganda euphemism "current operation" and not just call it an invasion or war of aggression.
150.
by csee 5y ago
Well they clearly changed tactics, didn't they. RT is right-leaning propaganda and all his most dangerous stooges (Tucker Carlson, Bannon) are too.

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