cjbprime

69 ms·

811.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Catching a virus normally provides you immunity for some time frame from three months up to years or forever. We aren't expecting reinfection (yet) because we're expecting immunity, but might be wrong.
812.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Agree with the Oura recommendation, and there's a separate reason to be interested in Oura -- it records body temperature, which might be useful in predicting infection. Here's a project my spouse is working on to see whether it&#
813.
by cjbprime 7y ago
I don't think you're missing anything, except maybe just that closed-source is the default on macOS and Windows so the marginal loss of safety from one more closed-source privileged app isn't so high there. For the moment may
814.
by cjbprime 7y ago
I guess it's closed-source. That probably means I can't use it. Are there any plans to open-source at least the client?
815.
by cjbprime 7y ago
The user does, they're expected to decrypt for the ministry of health upon receiving a diagnosis.
816.
by cjbprime 7y ago
The Singapore model encrypts it until someone is diagnosed. So the leak is of the thing you would tell a contact tracer anyway..
817.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Everyone. E.g. France: https://www.livescience.com/ibuprofen-coronavirus-symptoms.h...
818.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Singapore's doing contact tracing without any location data, and with contact between devices encrypted until needed for a contact disclosure. Seems like a better approach to me: https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news&#x2F
819.
by cjbprime 7y ago
You can do contact tracing without location surveillance: https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news/asia-pacific/singapore-g...
820.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Really sick of marketers acting like their "I write viral Medium posts!" experience is an epidemiological qualification.
821.
by cjbprime 7y ago
There have apparently been good effects related to pollution and therefore climate change. Like you say, these effects don't counter the immense human suffering happening.
822.
by cjbprime 7y ago
I think you've confused Aaron Swartz with Greg Maxwell. https://www.techdirt.com/articles/20110912/10132515906/jstor...
823.
by cjbprime 7y ago
If your new job is in an affected county as you said, then this order appears to require the new company not to allow you to enter its offices.
824.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Asking where your home is and which grocery store you're going to would be an effective way to find out.
825.
by cjbprime 7y ago
You are probably baking in assumptions like "people who need critical hospital care but do not have COVID-19 can still receive it", which are deeply under question right now given the number of expected hospitalizations from the v
826.
by cjbprime 7y ago
True enough! The 4% would still overwhelm any country's health system. E.g. US has around 300,000 available hospital beds, and 4% of population is 13M, 43x higher.
827.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Note that, even if true, this doesn't mean it can't destroy a country's healthcare system. At least 10% of cases appear to require hospitalization for pneumonia. No country has enough hospital beds for 10% of its population.
828.
by cjbprime 7y ago
I can't load the Docs page, but the author of this post was criticized for being a non-expert and making many statistical mistakes. Here's a model from a viral dynamics researcher: https://alhill.shinyapps.io/COVID
829.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Those sound like long-term interventions. The main thing you can do to help the health care system is to act as if you are infected right now , even if you feel fine, and stay home to avoid potentially infecting others. You could also orde
830.
by cjbprime 7y ago
That doesn't seem like it could be a worst-case scenario, because it doesn't appear to be attributing any deaths to the complete meltdown of hospital infrastructure that it suggests would be happening in this scenario. (There are
831.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Your country (whichever one it is) doesn't have enough ICU beds for 10% of people over 70 -- it probably has orders of magnitude fewer available beds -- and note that people who don't die can still end up in hospital for weeks and
832.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Sure. All this stuff is background noise compared to the large uses like Netflix and BitTorrent etc.
833.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Or I suppose it could even have happened due to an upstream change in some open source geo library. That would also explain them seeming to be unaware.
834.
by cjbprime 7y ago
How many spare ventilators do they have?
835.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Also keep in mind that we need ICU beds (ventilators) in particular for this, and that they have some base rate of utilization unrelated to COVID-19 that isn't easily moved.
836.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Yes. Both Italy and the US are below average. South Korea and Japan, currently taking extremely drastic measures like mass-closing schools, have around 5x as many beds as either. I'm in the US, but if you think that makes me think the
837.
by cjbprime 7y ago
https://www.givewell.org/charities/top-charities
838.
by cjbprime 7y ago
Italy also has the second-oldest population in the world, after Japan. And a below average number of hospital beds available per capita.
839.
by cjbprime 7y ago
In what sense in this a prediction? The challenge of estimating faces from DNA is one that researchers have already been competing and publishing papers on for years: https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/08
840.
by cjbprime 7y ago
What? No way. Please give a citation. The mortality rate of COVID-19 is estimated at 5x-25x flu (0.7%-3.8% death rate) in all datasets I've seen. (Which of course means that getting coronavirus is 5x-25x more likely to kill you then ge

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