chaosist

9 ms·

1.
by chaosist 2y ago
I wouldn't go quite so far but I would settle for being able to use Sora before they "solve physics"... I don't even know when I watched the shitty lightbulb head Sora clip but that feels so long ago now and nothing? I j
2.
by chaosist 2y ago
I don't work in tech either and completely agree. These processes aren't cyclical, they are non-ergodic, one off regimes that once we visit a specific regime, we will not return to that regime. As someone who has done quite a bit
3.
by chaosist 2y ago
I use to say please/thank you to gpt4 in 2023 all the time but it was because I was completely anthropomorphizing the model in various ways. I suspect it would be just as easy to write a paper that saying please has absolutely no effec
4.
by chaosist 2y ago
I was semi-retired two years ago and decided to do a LPN program to work part time, do something physical, something that felt like a moral win and good for society. I would have had no problem intellectually getting through the program but
5.
by chaosist 2y ago
Common programming problems will be solved because they can be approached in a probabilistic fashion by the very nature that they are common problems. I would expect harder problems to be much harder. I am a non-software engineer, I work fo
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by chaosist 2y ago
I would have said this a year ago but R is a language for statisticians and not software engineers. It took me forever to understand this. Statistical Rethinking by McElreath is really what finally got me to see the value of R. You can find
7.
by chaosist 2y ago
No, this is the field of complex systems. We already have this field. It is just too new though. We seem to conflate the sciences with the efficient market hypothesis instead of the reality of progressing one funeral at a time. We may even
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by chaosist 2y ago
While I mostly agree, we had state driver licenses almost immediately at the advent of the consumer automobile. I am not sure we could do that today. I think the push would largely to be to ban the automobile completely as too dangerous if
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by chaosist 2y ago
The first part is true. It is ultimately a problem of thermodynamics. The distance runner or cyclist is not obese in your example. There is simply no way to exercise enough if obese to create the caloric deficit needed. This is all really p
10.
by chaosist 2y ago
There is also a problem of "stochastic parrot" being constantly used in a pejorative sense as opposed to a neutral term to keep grounded and skeptical. Of course, it is an overly broad stroke that doesn't quite capture all th
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by chaosist 2y ago
While I find value in LLMs they still overall seem unreasonably not that useful. It might be like trying to train a neural net in 1993 on a 60mhz Pentium. It is the right idea but fundamental parts of the system are so lacking. On the other
12.
by chaosist 2y ago
Agree completely. From a user perspective too, I was a subscriber from the first day of gpt4 until about a month ago. I thought about subscribing for the month to check this out but I am tired of the OpenAI experience. Where is Sora? Where
13.
by chaosist 2y ago
I agree but I have tried many times to intersect two ideas with a LLM that would be novel and the LLM can not do this at all. We shouldn't expect the stochastic parrot to be able to do this though and it is unfair to the stochastic par
14.
by chaosist 2y ago
I have thought a lot about this and I suspect "I don't know" would be devastating to the model. The magic is in the fact that the model can't say "I don't know". The model would have to have arbitrary thre
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by chaosist 2y ago
Frankfurt's use of bullshit is what has always came to my mind also but you make an excellent point. I think we really need a new word for this process because it really is just not comparable to anything previously. Unfortunately, &qu
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by chaosist 2y ago
GDP per capita in China in 1970 was $113 per year. That is not a typo. Talking about slaves in this context in a society that has seen the greatest wealth increase ever in a few generations is completely absurd.
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by chaosist 2y ago
I would imagine Doom and PageRank was the right person finding the right problem to work on at the right time in the right domain. If Page, Carmack and Zuckerberg were all trying to do something in nuclear physics I think they would have be
18.
by chaosist 2y ago
Exactly. I got online in 1995 and the promise was kept by the internet. I have taken so many free classes from Ivy league schools along with all the books, pdfs, tutorials, physical books I would have never found otherwise. What I highly ov
19.
by chaosist 2y ago
A huge issue with film is we went through this with audio 20 years ago. Recording time use to cost a huge amount of money and then DAWs put that in the hands of basically everyone with a PC. We got an infinite amount more of half finished d
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by chaosist 2y ago
I made a private blog that if something seems really valuable, I blog the prompt and output. Private so I don't waste time on the delusion of someone else reading it and everything that comes with that time wise. Beyond that, the previ
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by chaosist 2y ago
The "or" is not correct IMO in the last part. It is very easy to believe things that just happen to increase your own wealth. He says crazy things that he believes, it manipulates investors and as his wealth increases he just beli