caddemon

73 ms·

571.
by caddemon 5y ago
It seems like the investigation didn't harp on it much, but honestly I think the biggest issue is the repeated warnings the patient might have been suicidal. I was helping out with data analysis for a psychiatry study that didn't
572.
by caddemon 5y ago
Unless I'm missing something they only use a single 5 year window to look at the 2020 peak. I meant if you slide the window back over the past 50 years, what other peaks show up and how much larger are they then the other years in thei
573.
by caddemon 5y ago
Based on what they knew, or what they should have known? I never said they were idiots, but Asian countries already had data on mask use during SARS. I also don't think they were lying about what they thought at the time, moreso they w
574.
by caddemon 5y ago
Assuming it's not just noise, could be that technology developed or cultural norms changed because of the pandemic saved some lives down the line. Also, weren't deaths in the first year of life much more common back then? Maybe th
575.
by caddemon 5y ago
50 years ago was 1970. I agree that just comparing last year's death rate directly to rates from the past 50 years would be a bad analysis, but I think this is some hyperbole too.
576.
by caddemon 5y ago
In a vacuum it would give you more of a sense about how much of an outlier this year was. But obviously enough other things have changed over the last 50 years that the numbers would stop being comparable. Perhaps looking at a 5 year slidin
577.
by caddemon 5y ago
I'm not sure it's really a good comparison to pick a subset of European countries and compare them to the whole US. Some countries seem to have handled it better than others, which we could definitely learn from, but I don't
578.
by caddemon 5y ago
Germany was one of the countries that I remember handling it pretty well in the early days though. Italy, Spain, Belgium, and to some extent UK and France were the ones towards the top of the Worldometers per capita deaths IIRC. What I wond
579.
by caddemon 6y ago
I mean that's definitely true, but I'm not even sure what political camp should be angered by this particular discussion. It's decidedly pro-mask, although I guess if warped it could be read as excusing anti-masker behavior.
580.
by caddemon 6y ago
That's literally exactly the problem when experts mislead the public. Particularly if it was intentional to save mask supplies or prevent other stupid behavior, that completely erodes trust and it becomes a game of "what is the ex
581.
by caddemon 6y ago
Can you point to any countries that encouraged mask use where that ended up being the general sentiment? It's not like encouraging mask use means restrictions on shopping, dining, etc. wouldn't also exist. Besides, you could make
582.
by caddemon 6y ago
They also at one point early on said that wearing a mask if you have COVID can prevent you from spreading it, it just won't protect you from getting it at all. This was simultaneous with the recommendation that laymen not wear masks, b
583.
by caddemon 6y ago
My understanding is that it is not atypical for SARS though? I thought that was the main reason Asia was big on masks, which should have suggested that we ought to at least consider masks. My guess is it was some combination of uncertainty
584.
by caddemon 6y ago
That doesn't mean that misleading the public about the effectiveness of masks in the early pandemic was the right way to go about it. The CDC came out and said that masks wouldn't protect the wearer. I also saw blog posts from peo
585.
by caddemon 6y ago
We have 2 other vaccines that do not present this risk. It seems pretty likely the issue affects mostly younger women, so I don't see the problem with encouraging that demographic to get a different vaccine if they have reservations ab
586.
by caddemon 6y ago
The link above states 3 women so far have died from J&J and 7 more remain hospitalized. If you do demographic-specific division and compare that to the likelihood that same demographic would die from COVID, it seems unclear to me that y
587.
by caddemon 6y ago
I mean definitely late season games between bad teams are exhibition matches, and sometimes even outright tank battles. But I'm not sure how you can claim that winning the whole league doesn't mean anything? The NFL is already pre
588.
by caddemon 6y ago
Why all the time? Can't we identify conditions where flu is most likely to spread and encourage mask wearing specifically in those situations? When things are back to normal I will probably still wear my mask on the subway for example,
589.
by caddemon 6y ago
I don't necessarily see a problem with this on an n of 1 scale. Strongly held priors are not going to be updated by a single piece of research, and for the most part I don't feel they should be. Single studies in biology these day
590.
by caddemon 6y ago
Maybe it's a field specific thing, or maybe one of the other authors pretended to be you, but I am surprised something could be published with your name on the author list without you knowing about it. Every paper I've ever been l
591.
by caddemon 6y ago
I agree, but also it's an onomatopoeia, the sound the frogs make actually is "Co-Kee". IIRC the indigenous people in Puerto Rico are the ones that named them a long time ago, but the spelling might have been influenced by the
592.
by caddemon 6y ago
I agree with you but also Puerto Rico is technically in the US. I think anyone that has vacationed there will recognize the word (especially with the frog logo), since they are pretty hard to miss and there is a ton of Coqui memorabilia sol
593.
by caddemon 6y ago
Nothing to do with the tech, but I love your name! I'm just a tourist in Puerto Rico but I've been a number of times and it always warms my heart to hear the Coqui frogs at night. I even play the recordings at home sometimes if I&
594.
by caddemon 6y ago
If I'm reading the source used by that link correctly though, the 1 million number comes from taking total number vaccinated as the denominator. My understanding was if you are a young woman, the estimate is closer to 1 in 100K. If you
595.
by caddemon 6y ago
The scientific consensus on issues like this as they emerge evolves rapidly though. And I think "degree of uncertainty" is something that is lost on educated lay people when they try to keep up to date with the science. Just look
596.
by caddemon 6y ago
Also it's more like 1 in 100K for women with AZ. Still very unlikely so I don't understand the need for people to under state it by 10x.
597.
by caddemon 6y ago
Pfizer has been distributed to many young people in other countries though and no such issue has popped up. Not saying it's outside the realm of possibility, but I think it's increasingly unlikely. Plus it'd be no surprise to
598.
by caddemon 6y ago
For AZ the evidence is pretty strong the clots are a real side effect. It is indeed rare, but it mostly effects young people, who are extremely unlikely to die from COVID. I don't understand discontinuing entirely, but given the vaccin
599.
by caddemon 6y ago
It goes beyond "radicalizing" potential anti-vaxxers IMO, because at this point it's become like its own religion, where every vaccine must be equally good and questioning a vaccine is somehow outrageous. US agencies are the
600.
by caddemon 6y ago
They might also add additional guidelines for who is eligible for J&J. A bunch of countries have set a minimum age for AZ vaccine, I could see something similar happening here with J&J. Perhaps excluding women under 50 for example.

More ›