bumby

52 ms·

811.
by bumby 2y ago
Years ago, I came across SURE: Series of Unsurprising Results in Economics with the goal of publishing good, but statistically insignificant, research. https://blogs.canterbury.ac.nz/surejournal/
812.
by bumby 2y ago
Ammonia tends to outperform water, but it's toxic. I believe it was used in some of the first refrigeration applications (and I think Einstein had a patent related to one).
813.
by bumby 2y ago
Of course. IP is a shorthand for these types of forums/discussion, although it is also used in court.
814.
by bumby 2y ago
> Should that be infringing? That’s the big question I was alluding to. Does the prompt provide sufficient novelty to avoid claims of copyright? Or is it too derivative? I don’t have a strong opinion but can see both sides and suspect e
815.
by bumby 2y ago
> nobody is forced to respect it I was afraid the discussion would go this route. Yes, copyright is a convention. It’s subject to change. However, IP protections are written into the US Constitution and the bar to change it is relativel
816.
by bumby 2y ago
AFAIK copyright laws do not make such a distinction. The most common exemption is fair use, but it requires the addition of some new creative aspect. Whether or not LLMs are creative or derivative may be an area that the courts are forced t
817.
by bumby 2y ago
This is strange logic that ignores the idea of copyright. Just because I allow you to view my work for free does not mean I relinquish copyright protection. If I write a song that I perform for free, it doesn’t give you license to record an
818.
by bumby 2y ago
There is already a mandate that publicly funded research will be open access going forward (in the US). There are loopholes though, that I exist will be used just because it’s cheaper and quicker to do so. There’s also plenty of research pu
819.
by bumby 2y ago
That’s still value though. It was illegal in the plot of Superman 3, I don’t see why it would be ignored here. Jaron Lannier has proposed a micro financing approach where the data owners are paid for their contributions to the data that is
820.
by bumby 2y ago
I think the counter argument is that it works provide a pathway for “ordinary” people to monetize IP. Copyrights exist as soon as a creative work is made, it’s an entirely different IP tool than, say, a patent that has a more arduous proces
821.
by bumby 2y ago
> given the context I assumed that claims of scientific fraud would involve evidence. The other commenter did provide some evidence (albeit anectodal) of obvious fraud. In the context of non-replicable studies, it can be as high as 2&#x
822.
by bumby 2y ago
From your comment that I originally responded to: > examples tend to illustrate how relatively rare it is Given the fraud and replicability issues that have been shown to exist even within the most reputable institutions and journals, I
823.
by bumby 2y ago
> All this tells me is that you don’t like scientists I think you’re extrapolating too much. Again, you’re making a strong claim based on limited evidence which is the hallmark of bad reasoning. I work in research and publish/refer
824.
by bumby 2y ago
Could you elaborate or be more specific? Given how long BL existed, I’m not sure I can pin down what rates you’re talking about
825.
by bumby 2y ago
Somewhat less cynical view, but maybe corporations were allowed to be more long term focused in the past?
826.
by bumby 2y ago
> more general answer is that everyone doing science is working incredibly hard to find the answers to hard questions. I think this is too romantic of a view. Yes, some (or even many) are working hard to answer hard questions. Others ar
827.
by bumby 2y ago
It reads like most of your issue is with my phrasing, which was deliberate to soften the comment so it doesn’t come across as accusatory. > I’m not even sure how you would answer the question. It should probably be answered in the same
828.
by bumby 2y ago
Do we have good data to the contrary, though? Is there evidence that most science is good? The replicability crisis has certainly given some evidence that much of published research could be classified as 'not good' in some domain
829.
by bumby 2y ago
> Confidence in higher education doing what? Related, but longitidunal studies have indicated that people's stated goal of college has changed quite a bit over time. 40 years ago it was much more common to see the answer of "t
830.
by bumby 2y ago
I tend to think the rise in unemployment in tech is a regression to the mean. We’ve just gotten lulled into think the best of times is the norm.
831.
by bumby 2y ago
> Making people unemployed is a key goal Considering one of the main goals of the central bank is to maximize employment, this perspective might be extending into unfounded conspiracy territory.
832.
by bumby 2y ago
Can you explain further? I assumed you were talking about COVID, but the decline in jobs lags a few years behind so I'm not sure I'm tracking your point.
833.
by bumby 2y ago
A couple reasons: - A shockwave is going at the speed of sound and the bullet is likely going faster than the speed of sound - Some "air effects" may linger or occur at slower speeds. The pressure wave can cause humidity to conden
834.
by bumby 2y ago
> this is a fine and widely used assumption Modeling (and possibly economics, especially) is rife with simplifying assumptions that break down in practice. You can find many economists who think modeling individuals as rational agents i
835.
by bumby 2y ago
> it is safe to assume 99% of strategies out there yield normally distributed returns. I don’t know that I agree. If the market as a whole doesn’t have normally distributed risk, it implies even the simplest strategy of buying SPY and h
836.
by bumby 2y ago
> assume nothing more than a normally distributed random variable But look at something like systemic risk: it’s not necessarily normally distributed. The S&P returns skew left. I’m sure there are other risk metrics that break this
837.
by bumby 2y ago
There’s an interesting corollary to this. There’s some evidence that low-volatility strategies can outperform, at least when not using leverage. My working theory is that it is due to an overconfidence bias. People who actively trade assume
838.
by bumby 2y ago
I wonder what kind of effect that analysis would have on the launch decision. Here's how I would expect it to go: Engineer : The logistic regression model shows there is a 99.96% chance of failure at 31deg Manager : How good is the m
839.
by bumby 2y ago
> Their testing and certifying are definitely not very expensive If you're referring to the 737-Max, that's a different animal because: 1) it's a different division than their aerospace and 2) it was taking advantage of a
840.
by bumby 2y ago
> The proof point is how spacex I think this ignores some of history. The most glaring example is the strut failure that lost a launch. It is common practice in aerospace to test material coupons for structural specs for critical parts.

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