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baybal2
searching PlanetScale…
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271.
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by
baybal2
5y ago
https://www.reddit.com/r/submarines/comments/4qvi9l/hottub_s... Remember, such luxuries are for missileers only. An average Russian barrack may not have constant electricity, heating, and Running water e
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baybal2
5y ago
Don't think so. 60% of Russian big name military assets on the paper are stuck in Ukraine, and Belarus. Stuck in the mud, forests, without food, fuel, and comms. Russia is already mobilising its reserves from all the way back as Vladiv
273.
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by
baybal2
5y ago
I have no idea, except that money is not spared on missile troops, and they are kept well fed at all times to ensure their loyalty. If you seen videos of Soviet missile submarines with Jacuzzi, this is about that. So far one thing is univer
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baybal2
5y ago
Russia has around 1000 warhead maximum possible first launch capacity in the most optimistic scenario. If Russia saves submarine second strike, it will be 800. If Russia will chose to hold off land-based second strike, it goes to 550. If Ru
275.
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baybal2
5y ago
By mid cold war, RAND calculated that it will take 20 years for the US to reach full reconstruction to pre-war level in an even of a Total Nuclear War
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baybal2
5y ago
The plans for the war were drafted likely in 2021, and maps printed in Jan 2022. https://old.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/t55fov/anonymous_c...
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Anonymous confirm that the invasion was approved on 18th January
(old.reddit.com)
13 points
by
baybal2
5y ago
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0 comments
278.
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baybal2
5y ago
Reciting the Russian proverb — "if the enemy is mad at us, then we are doing everything right"
279.
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by
baybal2
5y ago
The ratio of military advantage Russia has over Ukraine is comparable to what NATO has over Russia — 8:1
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baybal2
5y ago
The easiest direction to attack Moscow is from the south. Woods West of Moscow were intentionally left untouched for centuries to be a deathtrap for potential invasion.
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baybal2
5y ago
There are very few real think tanks left. A typical Western "military analyst" these days often comes with a law degree, MBA, or even a financial guy, sometimes with few years of service, or a stint in Westpoint, clinging for a cl
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by
baybal2
5y ago
I myself rang the bell as well, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30453790 This is what happens when politicians go straight deny military professionals eminence over military strategy just to make a point.
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baybal2
5y ago
Decades of the West spoonfeeding dictators, and other "our bastards" after the collapse of USSR came back to roost. The War on Error has made the West completely oblivious to the number of very big elephants in the room while poli
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baybal2
5y ago
Germany had to be brain drained 3 times, and then destroyed as a nation, and rebuilt to force it to become "normal." I see rationality in what you say in principle, but the window of opportunity for applying that method was lost i
285.
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by
baybal2
5y ago
This is why I keep telling about the idea of "enforcing freedom." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defensive_democracy Sometimes you have to force people to be free. There are people who will, bizarrely, fight
286.
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by
baybal2
5y ago
I am a non-white citizen of Russia through a rather bizarre family history. My parents changed my, and their names, and surname to Slavic sounding for reasons you can understand. Out of many, lower risk of being drafted (being non-white, an
287.
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by
baybal2
5y ago
If you go to the code, you will see it being deliberately set by data coming through AJAX. Whomever did this...
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baybal2
5y ago
> I've heard reverence from all sides on the brilliance of Henry Kissinger, and am curious, what damage has he inflicted on Western politicians brains? Have you seen his "brilliance" yourself? No, and these people didn
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baybal2
5y ago
It's all up to you https://www.google.com/maps/place/Anlandestation+Nord+Stream...
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baybal2
5y ago
> negotiated two of the bloodiest conflicts in post-WWII theater: Vietnam War & the Yom Kippur War. 1. The South folded in the first place because he persuaded Nixon to lose the war 2. Egyptians expected Nixon to be weak on Israel (a
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baybal2
5y ago
The sheer amount of damage Henry Kissinger inflicted on the sane functioning of Western politicians brains is staggering. He is not a sagacious "strategic thinker," but a real world Grima Wormtongue, and should be treated as such.
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baybal2
5y ago
Absolutely, we had so far 3 generations of pacifist politicians in the West who spoon fed dictators, instead strangling them. And the result is on every TV channel now. No matter what your defence posture is, how many weapons you have, how
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baybal2
5y ago
Planespotters reports
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Ukrainian pilots arrive in Poland to pick up donated fighter jets
(politico.com)
11 points
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baybal2
5y ago
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3 comments
295.
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baybal2
5y ago
Explanation: the real reason is NATO radars providing complete situational awareness to Ukrainian side, and Russian side can't do anything about that without shooting at NATO radar planes flying in NATO airspace.
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Russia 'Likely' to Default on Debts
(reuters.com)
106 points
by
baybal2
5y ago
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133 comments
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baybal2
5y ago
Prior to all of events in Ukraine, I actually been to the museum of strategic nuclear forces like 20 years ago. Guides there were actual ex-officers. The launch sequence was very simple, but the procedure to "turning the missile on&quo
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baybal2
5y ago
Russia actually had much harder time to maintain its arsenal than Ukraine because most of USSR's nuclear industry was in Ukraine.
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baybal2
5y ago
I find the whole corpus of Western military writing on USSR, and later as "generally unreliable." Just too much of fiction writers working in these think tanks to pump grants, and research funding. Even today, go and lookup a numb
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baybal2
5y ago
> It's good to remember Ukraine never possessed operational control of them [0], Ukraine had full control, and an operational arsenal for a few years. There was no such thing as a PAL on Soviet nuclear weapons. Ukraine had a fully f
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