anovikov

4 ms·

1.
by anovikov 6d ago
"A sufficiently smart person will always find a way to overfit any model to get to result they want".
2.
by anovikov 6d ago
An old Soviet joke asked: when Communism [meaning: 'classless and stateless'] arrives, will there be money? Chinese dogmatics believe there won't be, Yugoslav revisionists state that there will; but we Soviet Bolsheviks, appr
3.
by anovikov 8d ago
Explainable, they suffer from depopulation so culture adjusts to make it as easy as possible for people to have children. Still doesn't help.
4.
by anovikov 9d ago
I mean, it's rather absurd to claim that "a net exporter country loses out because of increase in price of the commodity in question".
5.
by anovikov 9d ago
It absolutely does because balance of payments = exchange rate, and average Joe is poor and consumes disproportional part of imported goods vs the rich.
6.
by anovikov 9d ago
But unlike in the old days, US wins from higher prices. Even consumers wins (because they make more money on average, and their imported goods are cheaper because balance of payments shifts in US favour because of oil exports). Voters are f
7.
by anovikov 10d ago
Thing is, if there is a worldwide shortage, US wins . To the benefit of those on the political left, an oil shortage shows itself almost exclusively in poor countries (because they actually don't have money to pay), and these tend to
8.
by anovikov 10d ago
In US oil exports were banned till 2016 did you know?
9.
by anovikov 11d ago
But for the US, there's no question like that. It produces a lot lot more than it consumes anyway. There can't be a shortage. Yes US produces mostly light crude and production of refined products requires also inputs of heavy one,
10.
by anovikov 11d ago
There is a dumb ass simple explanation: in about the same time it took to build rockets that took people to the Moon, we figured out that there was nothing to do there for humans. Or anywhere in the Solar System for that matter. I mean unti
11.
by anovikov 11d ago
Well this is natural, terrorism in Europe is almost entirely Russia-originating (and have always been, see drop to nearly zero after 1991 when Russia lost the capability).
12.
by anovikov 14d ago
I wonder what happens to China when this factor disappears. China workforce peaked in 2016, and city workforce will peak in the next few years. With the economy still growing, acute labor shortage is less than 10 years away.
13.
by anovikov 15d ago
"1920s style crisis of overproduction with Chinese characteristics"
14.
by anovikov 17d ago
This is a total joke. This kind of numbers are a drop in the bucket vs what's needed. US needs to install at least 10x as much simply to cover daily fluctuations in demand.
15.
by anovikov 17d ago
Thing is, what can they realistically do? Any work that does not involve a social component is on the way out. All work that remains will be more like "service" than like "work" the way we see it today ("service&quo
16.
by anovikov 21d ago
Indeed, where the hell Cyprus is? Or you think it is too Russified to trust anymore? Perhaps you have a point.
17.
by anovikov 21d ago
Problem is, public thinks that the government is corrupt but it doesn't impact their voting choices. Public is OK with corruption. If you look at many deeply corrupt countries, corruption is beneficial for majority of population there
18.
by anovikov 27d ago
Simple solution is: - Rely on manned platforms and JDAMs, they work perfectly, cheap, and abundant. It was demonstrated that US pilots can fly anywhere in Iran including nuclear sites and center of Tehran with very little risk and let that
19.
by anovikov 27d ago
Someone who supports Palestine should not be surprised finding themselves on the receiving end of every legal trouble. It's perplexing how are they still allowed at all.
20.
by anovikov 28d ago
Ships will carry interceptors, they are cheap, they are currently made for like 2-3K apiece. They can't handle jet-powered Shaheds, but those are a lot more expensive and won't be available in quantities nearly as big. And interce
21.
by anovikov 28d ago
A movement that openly supports "Palestine" and gets surprise when they get sanctioned.
22.
by anovikov 28d ago
Well, it doesn't require EU's approval by definition. Because it means just unilaterally handing out EU a lot of cash.
23.
by anovikov 28d ago
It's hard to imagine how anything like this can legally exist anywhere within legal reach of Western system. Indeed liberty has gone too far.
24.
by anovikov 28d ago
Shaheds are not at all a problem. Yours truly is one of perhaps hundreds of entities who work on them and in Ukraine, it is a solved problem - virtually none of them ever gets through (question now is how to fight them cheaper and while let
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by anovikov 28d ago
Well, only way to stop Iran from having a nuclear weapon is denying them electricity. Trump can do it easily but it literally means "ending civilisation" (knock out all thermal plants and monitor with infrared sensors to ensure th
26.
by anovikov 29d ago
I seriously dislike this prevailing dichotomy between black and white view on AI. Most likely it will be something in between: some unemployment, more scams, more capital concentration, more idiocy in politics and division, some cool stuff
27.
by anovikov 29d ago
How can Iran war escalate? Is there anything in which Iran is still relevant at all? At this point we can just forget of it. Of course, pipelines around Hormuz need to be finished but they are being quickly built right now. Surely cheap mas
28.
by anovikov 1mo ago
German plant to produce them is about to come online in weeks and reach full production in a year so there's no reason to worry.
29.
by anovikov 1mo ago
These are reasonable prices for a place much cheaper than SFO. This is what people pay in Eastern Europe. 2500 CZK for a set - around $120 - won't be at all surprising or perceived as high in Prague, for instance. It can go up to 8000
30.
by anovikov 1mo ago
The way it is displayed in press is a literate evocation of the ancient "scientist rapes reporter" meme.

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