aiforecastthway

12 ms·

1.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
A lot of the comments here are talking about startups. But the chart in the article is the forward P/E of the top 10 companies in the S&P. For reference, those 10 companies are: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Meta, Braodcom, Alp
2.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
I do not think I have ever spent more than an hour per visit actually in the room with my GP. I have an annual checkup. For a while there my GP was world class and also a blood relative. 200 patients at one hour per is a bit more than a mon
3.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
> If I can output the same quality at a faster rate of speed, why can't I have that time back to my own life now? We have done a terrible job at allocating the net benefits of globalization. We will (continue to) do a terrible job
4.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
Update: on appeal, the government is sticking to its original argument (see page 15 of the motion). So it appears that on appeal the government continues to believe the path of least resistance does not pass through the 1930 Act argument ab
5.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
In this case, age is not what disqualifies the law. Rather, what renders the law inapplicable to this situation is some combination of: 1. another statute that super-cedes the 1930 statute because it specifically limits Presidential emergen
6.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
> why wouldn't the trump admin use the tariff act of 1930? Probably because they knew it'd be a losing argument. The court that authored this slip opinion would be unlikely to be persuaded by such an argument, for two reasons
7.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
I have never heard the term "Hackathon" used in any context other than a recruiting/sales event targeted at early-career types. Meatspace get-togethers focused on hacking, either for a specific project or for a clique, neve
8.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
> Are you saying that while a company would be responsible (current laws), an employee should not because of free speech?? (proposed law) Absolutely. Circumscribing liability in civil actions is one of the fundamental purposes of comme
9.
by aiforecastthway 1y ago
> It drives me crazy when people make argument like this without pointing to the actual legislation. The first sentence of the article reads "A bill set to be heard by the Judiciary and Jurisprudence Committee at the Texas House i
10.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> t-boned by a lifted F-350. I'm not sure how a Ranger would fair getting t-boned by a lifted F-350... I think the bigger problem for these smaller cars are the (much more numerous) mid-sized SUVs.
11.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Top500 is weird for lots of reasons. It over-indexes on a few peculiar types of workloads and a few peculiar types of users (mostly gov). Historically, those workloads and users were leading indicators of certain types of things. I don&#x27
12.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Car dealership owners are a staple of state legislatures for a reason.
13.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
I'd bet the Tundras get similar in practice. They're rated higher but the turbo is practically always-on in stop and go traffic.
14.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
The Prediction Market industry got out ahead of regulation and effectively chose their own (weak and hands-off) regulator in the CFTC. The requirements involved are not onerous. There are certainly jurisdictions where actual gambling is mor
15.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Polymarket could've easily registered as an exchange at any point in the last 4+ years, and then itself filed the suit that its competitors filed. Instead they chose to just ignore the law. > VC's call it Regulatory Capture T
16.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
1. We do have prediction markets -- Kalshi, IB, and Robinhood all offered binary options contracts on election outcomes this year. 2. A ton of options trading is gambling, and binary options on events particularly so. Doesn't mean it
17.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> would like to point out that there has recently been an interest in HF spectrum for use shaving milliseconds off the ping of high-frequency trading firms, since skipping off the ionosphere on HF bands can be slightly faster than more
18.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> I'm not an emcomm whacker but I think that take is too dismissive. Ham radio was a much more viable for emergency communications before cell phones, Internet, and FRS/GMRS/MURS. Absolutely no disagreement! But I think
19.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
The emergency response use-case feels SUPER contrived to me. I am not aware of any SAR teams in our area using HAM radios, and the only group I know of that does is... so old that they'd mostly be asking for help or needing to relay me
20.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Suppose you're Sam, the CEO of a company that spends a TON on customer service -- both customer/client-facing and internal HR processing and so on. Suppose Sam wants to automate those interactions. Sam probably wants that automati
21.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> Just go to a law library. The closest with a copy of the Federal Appendix is ~2 hrs away from me (or on LN if I pay for a subscription). It should be free and online, because it probably can't be copyrighted and because simplify
22.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
No, I think we agree! Google SWE roles will be automated faster SWE roles in the financial sector :)
23.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> It’s not clear to me why we’re still trying to encode all of human knowledge in a single model, instead of teaching the model how to look for answers from an external source (e.g. RAG). To be fair: we tried a primordial version of th
24.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Boring is the opposite of exciting/dynamic. Not all engineering is boring. Also, boring is not bad. A lot of my career has been spent working to make software boring. To the extent that I've helped contribute to the status quo, wh
25.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> In an older comment I argued against analogies to rationalize this. I think honestly at face value it is possible to evaluate the goodness or badness of the decision. I generally do agree that analogies became anti-useful in this thr
26.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
I decided to go into programming instead of becoming an Engineer because most Engineering jobs seemed systematic and boring. (Software Engineers weren't really a thing at the time.) For most of my career, Software Engineering was a mis
27.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
>> Party A discovers very high probability evidence that Party B is committing crimes within the property ... > This isn't accurate: the hashes were purposefully compared to a specific list. They didn't happen to notic
28.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Not requiring, but certainly pressure. See https://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/09/technology/tech-giants-is... for example. Also all of the heat Apple took over rolling back its perceptual hashing.
29.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
Only in residential properties, typically. There are also states that have no such requirement even on residential rentals. In any case, I think it's a bit of a red herring and that the "regular comings and goings" case is mo
30.
by aiforecastthway 2y ago
> It should not legally matter whether the eyes are meat or machine But it does matter, and, perhaps ironically, it matters in a way that gives you STRONGER ( not weaker) fourth amendment rights. That's the entire TL;DR of the fi

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