adleyjulian

6 ms·

1.
by adleyjulian 18d ago
They aren't guessing heads or tails, they give odds for each event. It's more like eyeballing a thousand coins to guess how fair they are, and then flipping each one just once. Some are weighted to be 99% heads, others are 10% hea
2.
by adleyjulian 1mo ago
It is precisely in unregulated markets I would want to use a ride shape app else they'd try to scam you on the price. Multiple times I've had drivers attempt to triple the agreed to price, or I'd have to haggle them down befo
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by adleyjulian 1mo ago
I suspect the anxiety of being unable to forget things has an inherent selection bias. You will only stress over the things you can't forget, the things you have forgotten you won't stress over... Generally claims of eidetic memor
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by adleyjulian 1mo ago
FYI in Chinese he/she/it all use the same pronoun "ta" when spoken.
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by adleyjulian 2mo ago
The other issue is that lidar costs came down 99% in the last decade and self-driving took longer than he had said. At $200, you might as well add lidar. At $50,000 vision only made more sense. A trained marksman may be able to hit a clay p
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by adleyjulian 5mo ago
The point of the article is that people are historically bad at predicting when exponential curves plateau, even if they're correct that there will be a plateau. This does *not* imply the inevitability of AGI. It does not imply AGI is
7.
by adleyjulian 5mo ago
1. It's not inevitable. 2. Those that see AI as an existential risk don't generally think it's a guarantee, but if it's say a 5% chance then that's worth addressing/mitigating. 3. That's not what this arti
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by adleyjulian 7mo ago
Your response is myopic. Do you think large health insurers gave a shit about DoD unofficial contracting black lists or even if the DoD would even know who they're contracting with? The impact of this is far more than just DoD procurem
9.
by adleyjulian 7mo ago
Completely false. It's the first time a US company has been designated a supply chain risk. Now the likes of Boeing can't use them. Health companies with Medicare/Tricare contracts don't know and will hold off until it&#
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by adleyjulian 8mo ago
The line of reasoning is more like this: if you make and sell safe-cracking tools then it would not be unreasonable for the government to regulate it so only registered locksmiths could buy it. You don't want people profiting from the
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by adleyjulian 10mo ago
It has been solved. Get rid of all the windmills. Easy.
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by adleyjulian 10mo ago
Reading what you said literally, you're making a strong statement that an AI could never be conscious and further that consciousness depends on free will and that free will is incompatible with determinism and that all of these stateme
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by adleyjulian 10mo ago
At no point did I say LLMs have human intelligence nor that they model human intelligence. I also didn't say that they are the correct path towards it, though the truth is we don't know. The point is that one could similarly be di
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by adleyjulian 10mo ago
The majority of spend is in the last few years of life. A man dying of a stroke during the night at age 50 is much cheaper to the system than the same man living to 90 having fought cancer for 10 years. I'm not advocating against healt
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by adleyjulian 10mo ago
> LLMs get over-analyzed. They’re predictive text models trained to match patterns in their data, statistical algorithms, not brains, not systems with “psychology” in any human sense. Per the predictive processing theory of mind, human b
16.
by adleyjulian 1y ago
RINO republicans don't look like rhinoceros. That the word makes no sense by itself means that you'd have to ask what they meant by it. If the acronym were "DUMB" or "CLOWN" or whatever then I don't think
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
> I would point out that they have faith in transhumanism like Christians have faith in Jesus That's just wrong. Pacemakers are a form of transhumanism, improving the human condition through technology. When you comment on the diffe
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
> He is fulfilling his declared policy objective ...his actions are basically US (majority) people's collective action. Process matters and laws matter. The federal budget is set by congress. If the executive branch is allowed to un
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
You can argue the gesture was unintentional, but to say it "look nothing like the salutes in documentaries, TV shows, and movies" is just a lie. Nothing like it? What would he had to have to have done differently for you to say it
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
Some procedures are considered never medically necessary or only approved with prior authorization. Acupuncture has a CPT code and can be billed; do you think a patients file is required to deny it? Removing a skin tag is considered cosmeti
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
It's a question of what we want to measure. There's a metric that represents how much a claimant sees in unexpected costs due to denied claims vs impact on care from the insurer. A denied prior auth results in no unexpected costs
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
> What? Which ones? Undermined how? There's a long list of conspiracy theories about the vaccines. There are chips in there to track people, they're actually sterilizing people for population control, it's the mark of the
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
1. I don't see how a zoonotic vs lab leak origin should really impact containment efforts. If it had been a lab leak and Chinese officials knew, I don't see how or why they would have been more open to outside help. 2. The first d
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
It's a closed position. You have time to reroute the knight and it's one of the few clear plans besides doubling the rooks on the only half open file. The knight on that outpost was a monster and it ended up winning the game for h
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
Are you saying this is due to not having an interest in the people posting on Mastodon or due to a difficulty in using Mastodon itself?
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
I'm not sure if you're supposed to have an emotional reaction. The delayed reviews combined with the head of business operations leaving, the rumors of missed revenue targets and lower ad quality speaks to financial difficulties.
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by adleyjulian 2y ago
Ground News uses bias ratings from Ad Fontes Media, All Sides, and Media Bias/Fact Check; they rate NPR as Center, Lean Left, and Lean Left respectively. If you consider NPR to be far-far left then what is Jezebel, The Young Turks, Jac
28.
by adleyjulian 2y ago
HBO to Max might be second for me. I associated premium and original content with the name HBO (Game of Thrones for example). I get they're trying to convey that it's not just prestige dramas, but in a world where people have mult
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by adleyjulian 3y ago
Some environmental advocates' rhetoric focused on the lower probability but much higher damage outcomes, e.g. Gore's Inconvenient Truth. Language like "up to 20 feet" etc to focus on the higher range. A doctor could say
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by adleyjulian 3y ago
Financial engineer, software engineer, social engineering... etc are counter examples to requiring physical materials with properties. Even from an etymology standpoint engineer comes from the Latin ingenium meaning clever.

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