abm53

7 ms·

61.
by abm53 4y ago
Agreed, I don’t think it is productive to have conspiratorial mindset where there is a group of insiders who have access to a key piece of information and then engage in Kremlinology to decipher their macroeconomic views. To be sure, Google
62.
by abm53 4y ago
Their “customer retention” process is extremely aggressive, even by most traditional print publications’ standards.
63.
by abm53 4y ago
The government are not buying bonds to prop up the price. The Bank of England are (and the distinction is very important to that market).
64.
by abm53 4y ago
The “old bonds on their book” will decline in value if rates rise. Consequently the ETF will be cheaper by exactly the right amount to keep the income/coupon component of its return in line with buying an equivalent basket of US treasu
65.
by abm53 4y ago
That said, I think the point made by others that your non-tangible assets (education, knowledge, personal network) should be included in your capital when considering your bet size is a valid one. Losing your apartment isn't really an
66.
by abm53 4y ago
Perhaps more realistic is to approximately Kelly-bet your way through life.
67.
by abm53 4y ago
I believe it is "five sigma" which carries this stigma (because many value-at-risk models saw the market moves in 2008 as a 5 sigma event).
68.
by abm53 4y ago
The lack of immediate physical feedback (as opposed to visual feedback, which will lag even in a real plane) to small inputs can make linear response not optimal either. So there is something of a compromise to strike.
69.
by abm53 4y ago
Counterpoint: his recent review of the new Garmin Varia was fairly critical.
70.
by abm53 4y ago
No, SRAM and (to a lesser extent) Campagnolo are two other fierce competitors.
71.
by abm53 4y ago
It is confusing that the ML community have come to use "inference" to mean prediction, whereas statisticians have long used it to refer to training/fitting, or hypothesis testing. I'm not sure when or why this started.
72.
by abm53 5y ago
What about in the limit where the number of rounds tends to infinity?