abm53

6 ms·

31.
by abm53 3y ago
In the space of possibilities, the volume occupied by “not quite smart enough to outwit a corporation but smart enough to outwit a government” seems so vanishingly small as to almost be disregarded entirely.
32.
by abm53 3y ago
I think another factor is that they had very limited time. It was clear they needed to pick a side and build momentum quickly. They couldn’t sit back and dwell on it for a few days because then the decision (i.e. the status quo) would have
33.
by abm53 3y ago
I use a Google mesh network and get the same issue, which I assume is related to it using 8.8.8.8 by default.
34.
by abm53 3y ago
There is a third option where he stayed, they managed to find a compromise, and in so doing kept their influence in the space to a large extent.
35.
by abm53 3y ago
You can ask ChatGPT to solve maths problems which are not in its training data, and it will answer an astonishing amount of them correctly. The fact that we have trained it on examples of human-produced maths texts (rather than through inte
36.
by abm53 3y ago
If you are building something that is end-user facing that relies on ChatGPT then that was always a huge and risky bet on the future of OpenAI. In addition, it would likely be some time, possibly years, before it would be ready for producti
37.
by abm53 3y ago
An alternative idea to the regulatory moat thesis is that it serves Big Tech’s interests to have people think it is dangerous because then surely it must also be incredibly valuable (and hence lead to high Big Tech valuations). I think it
38.
by abm53 3y ago
For me the open question is if you decided up-front to only work 3–4 hours, would you be as productive as you are in those 3–4 hours out of an 8 hour day? Highly job and person dependent I suspect.
39.
by abm53 3y ago
Perhaps they are trying to help people get the best out of a tool which they themselves find very useful?
40.
by abm53 3y ago
These models produce correct answers to many problems that require “reasoning” (for any sensible meaning of the word), that are not in their training set.
41.
by abm53 3y ago
I’ve seen enough videos with otherwise high production values to make me suspect there is a valid trade-off to keeping autofocus on.
42.
by abm53 3y ago
Sorry, then yes to answer your actual question, I don’t think that would commonly be called “market timing” (although of course the phrase could be an apt description of that strategy). All the uses of that expression that I see refer to an
43.
by abm53 3y ago
How do you know that you’re currently at a local low/high?
44.
by abm53 3y ago
I enjoy this version, but can’t help feeling that Gary Oldman is miscast and the wardrobe wrong.
45.
by abm53 3y ago
The article is mostly about current conditions, not predictions.
46.
by abm53 3y ago
The problem is that bank lending is the main form of money creation in the economy. If retail banks switched en mass to backing deposits 1-to-1 with Fed reserves then the Fed would quickly take strong action to disincentivise this strongly
47.
by abm53 3y ago
He partly answers this in the article: “because if I didn’t, someone else would”. He states himself that it’s not a convincing argument to some. But it surely carries some weight: in developing nuclear weapons many scientists made the same
48.
by abm53 4y ago
Can you explain what you mean by “assume all their liabilities” in practical terms?
49.
by abm53 4y ago
If that was the market clearing price, then to the extent that rate expectations set the bond price (which of course is debatable) this would have been the consensus view at the time.
50.
by abm53 4y ago
And that cost is taken into account when people value the merits of a particular investment/company. If bonds yield 100% p/a then an investment with even a decent potential payout in 10 years time will be seen as worthless. But on
51.
by abm53 4y ago
The difference is that the bond return is (to first order) riskless and risk has a cost. What is the variance on the VC return (and is $9 a realistic mean of the distribution to begin with?).
52.
by abm53 4y ago
Right, it’s (very roughly speaking) an approximation to an algorithm which maximises the probability of the entire response by factorising the distribution as a sequence of conditional distributions. If the approximation works, and the trai
53.
by abm53 4y ago
I think one of the clear lessons of ChatGPT is that the line between word prediction and intelligence (for some definition) is somewhat blurry.
54.
by abm53 4y ago
Often what you’d like to do has not been asked for exactly before. And almost all programmers need to do something quick in a language or framework they aren’t experts in. ChatGPT can be extremely useful in those cases in my experience.
55.
by abm53 4y ago
On the other hand, transaction networks clearly add massive value, so it’s very likely that net of fees (without which the network may not exist at all) these networks still add value. So it’s more a question of finding the optimal equilibr
56.
by abm53 4y ago
Personally I disagree that it feels empty. The period it examines has a rich set of defining issues (e.g. post-war trauma, feminism, rise of consumerism, generational shifts, automation) with several character arcs that I found compelling a
57.
by abm53 4y ago
David MacKay’s “Information Theory, Pattern Recognition, and Neural Networks” https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLruBu5BI5n4aFpG32iMbdWoRV... I find it more approachable than the book, and taken as a whole I think he makes
58.
by abm53 4y ago
Given some samples of search results we still don't know: - The X matrix (e.g. the page rank score) for each result. - The y vector, i.e the score for each result. Although we can observe the relative ranking in each sample (would be i
59.
by abm53 4y ago
> thought and heuristic patterns I’m not sure these are well-defined enough terms to make this claim.
60.
by abm53 4y ago
Is there a specific reason you think it won’t be Mastodon?

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