SpicyLemonZest

3 ms·

1.
by SpicyLemonZest 5d ago
Is there such a pattern? I'm not aware of any data pointing towards one, and I know lots of businesses with no monopoly or regulatory moat that have been acquired by private equity firms. I think people just don't care when PE buy
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by SpicyLemonZest 7d ago
What the linked poll asked is "Would you prefer to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports tax increases on wealthy Americans?". I would say yes to that, even though I don't support this specific California tax proposa
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by SpicyLemonZest 9d ago
It’s like asking why we don’t just run all the programs instead of making users decide what to run. There’s an infinite number of problems that could be solved, and the question of which ones are important to solve is a question about us an
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
Is there a retrospective on AlphaFold you’d recommend? Maybe that’s the insight I’m missing, I didn’t realize it had broad identifiable gaps like that.
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
We understand "superhuman coding" to mean very different things, and I think it's a me problem that I can't figure out where you're coming from, because it doesn't sound like our practical experience differs. I
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
I've read Gary Marcus's critique of AI 2027. How do you grapple with the fact that superhuman coding arrived on schedule, despite his skepticism that it would? Doesn't that mean that the other predictions are also more plausi
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
If someone showed you such a path, would you consider changing your mind? You're always going to be able to find a reason that such an explanation doesn't count if you're dedicated to looking for one.
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
Again, you're presenting ideas that I just don't understand where they're coming from. Why would the lab be blameless in such a situation? You and I and METR and the public would all want the frontier labs to face adverse con
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
Even better, Sacks admitted in response to a Pangram check that he has an LLM line edit his posts ( https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2099040321351106807 ). (He claims, bizarrely, that this means Pangram is "bogu
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
What evidence do you have that Dario is a liar? The original comment didn't seem to contain any, just invective. Perhaps there's some subtle reference I missed?
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
The HF and Ruby Gems attacks came from safety testing, where the AI providers attempted to understand what negative consequences could arise if someone subverted their safety protections. Don't you worry that legal consequences would d
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
I just don't understand how you've come to this conclusion. The intended and common sense interpretation of "pacing the frontier" is precisely that we should not release models that are fundamentally dangerous; the front
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by SpicyLemonZest 12d ago
I routinely use AI programs at work that allocate hundreds of dollars worth of cloud resources, even though the only thing I asked them to do is investigate a bug or write a PR. I intentionally don't run powerful AI programs on machine
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
If that’s true, doesn’t that make it even more clear that the frontier labs require government involvement and cannot rely on what David Sacks thinks the government would or would not allow?
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
No, that’s not accurate. An agreement among competitors to not engage in research that would let them outcompete each other is clearly an antitrust issue requiring a government waiver.
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
Enron was doing some bad things in energy markets, but they were profitable bad things and unrelated to the collapse. What brought Enron down was accounting problems, with many of the specific details having clear parallels here. In particu
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
In early 2019 OpenAI released a post titled "Better language models and their implications" ( https://openai.com/index/better-language-models/ ). In this post, they explained that their new GPT-2 model sho
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
You're expected to take it seriously because a number of their previous predictions about where the technology would go have ended up being correct. A lot of problems AI systems are already causing would be in a much better spot had pe
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
I don't understand where everyone insists on hallucinating this idea from, that frontier AI labs want everyone else but not themselves to slow down. They've never said that, they've never said anything like that, not once has
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by SpicyLemonZest 13d ago
Again, we’re not left to speculate, they’re being quite clear. I think you’re struggling to understand what Tao and his cosignatories are saying because you’ve acquired a very specific kind of “AI-pilled” mindset from social media, where ta
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
Agreed. I’m sure there was a time in the early history of computational mathematics where someone with access to more computer time than others went around telling people how easy it is to generate books of trigonometric tables, and other p
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
The more generous interpretation would be that Anthropic thinks they know how to build powerful AI systems in such a way that they will not become doomsday devices at all. They don't claim to be the only people with this knowledge an
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
People are expecting you to consider the possibility that they might believe what they're saying. If you don't start from the premise that they're lying, you'll discover that their behavior is not cutthroat or cynical
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
> No, what you would do is stop your own private development immediately, get in touch with the government by any means necessary, and build a coalition as fast as possible to stop the technology from continuing and put hard regulation (
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
No, Altman and Musk have already said that they agree with Dario this time. As you can see upthread, people have already developed a novel conspiracy theory to account for that, as I'm sure they'll continue doing up to and beyond
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
Kinda? One of the biggest advantages of being small is that, when someone asks where they can find suchandsuch feature, you can build it and point them to it in the same time it would take a larger company to reply “yeah that’s on our roadm
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
I'm not sure what's getting lost in translation here. The answer is quite clear: math textbooks are valued based on their ability to help readers understand mathematical principles, not based on the number or complexity of problem
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
The declaration is about that institutional misalignment. They want to change the norms of the mathematical community, so that producing inscrutable proofs is a low-value activity nobody cares much about rather than a high-value activity th
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
No, you're misunderstanding the perspective. They believe the journey is a learning experience greatly beneficial to the field , and that this experience rather than the headline result is where most of the value lies. They don't
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by SpicyLemonZest 14d ago
The authors of the declaration agree with you that this is how the field works today. They think that fact causes AI use to produce bad results, and they want to reformulate how the field works so that AI use will produce good results inste

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