Lewton

26 ms·

271.
by Lewton 7y ago
You do realize there are countries who didn't act in time where the bodies literally are piling up in the streets right?
272.
by Lewton 7y ago
I hope you're not looking at case numbers, because Sweden is so far behind on testing compared to most of europe. Look at the rate of growth for deaths per day (filtering out weekends because obviously swedes refuse to die on weekends)
273.
by Lewton 7y ago
Belgiums population density is much much higher
274.
by Lewton 7y ago
https://www.icelandreview.com/sci-tech/is-icelands-coronavir... It should be obvious, when you have a virus with an infection rate doubling X number of days and it takes X or more days to start showing symptoms, if you
275.
by Lewton 7y ago
> I don't think the measures will be softened before May, but according to the authorities, the ICU capacity will not be overburdened. Stressed to the maximum, yes, but not (or not much) over capacity. Yes, sounds like Germany naile
276.
by Lewton 7y ago
Germany is NOT at a place where the lockdown is too strong. The spread is still growing exponentially and they will run into issues a few weeks from now if it continues at this rate. You can’t keep everything open and then shut everything d
277.
by Lewton 7y ago
> According to some claims up to 70% of corona infections could not result in observable symptoms. This is a ridiculous claim Any place that has done random sampling is reporting a very low asymptomatic rate
278.
by Lewton 7y ago
Found the source https://www.icelandreview.com/sci-tech/is-icelands-coronavir...
279.
by Lewton 7y ago
50% At the time of testing. Not 50% never showing symptoms at all. Most of them eventually developed symptoms
280.
by Lewton 7y ago
Heart failure sure but road traffic related deaths? Really? COVID-19 is not causing a decrease in road traffic deaths, the reaction to COVID-19 is. So, why would that data ever be relevant when talking about the disease?
281.
by Lewton 7y ago
It seems obvious that the US could have handled it so much better and cheaper if they had not kept ignoring the situation in China and then Italy (which made Europe wake up) But even in the situation the US is now, doing something, anything
282.
by Lewton 7y ago
When you're in a situation where the severity of the outcome doubles every 4 days and you do not have clear information about where the curve will break, underreacting will result in extremely bad outcomes much much much more often tha
283.
by Lewton 7y ago
Do you think they’ll have the stomach to continue with the plan once their hospitals are overwhelmed? I’m extremely skeptical they won’t eventually have to lock down harder than Denmark
284.
by Lewton 7y ago
Comparing Denmark vs Sweden, it looks like we're beginning to see the difference in outcome on the death toll and hospitalization rates. Denmarks death toll is stabilizing (or at the very least only growing linearly) and the amount of
285.
by Lewton 7y ago
Those articles do not in anyway describe situations that are close to what we're seeing now in new york, italy, france and spain The flu is still terrible, btw. And I hope this situation will increase the vaccination rates for the flu
286.
by Lewton 7y ago
He's wrong. More people being asymptomatic is not a cause for reacting less strictly, which is the view being promoted. If more people are asymptomatic, that's great news, but it does not impact how severely you should lockdown so
287.
by Lewton 7y ago
> But both sides are irrationally being confident. Being "doomsdayer" does not necessarily mean confidence in the situation. It's more about accepting that overreacting is much more desirable than underreacting when facing
288.
by Lewton 7y ago
The incubation period can be two weeks and time to hospital is also usually a couple of days after symptom onset. So saying it's unlikely seems weird
289.
by Lewton 7y ago
Musk is still actively downplaying the severity of the situation. Recently he's been signal boosting the idea that many more people are infected than we think and therefore the alarmism is unwarranted
290.
by Lewton 7y ago
In the beginning phases of testing in Denmark they found that 9 out of 10 people who showed symptoms had a bad flu or a cold. The past couple of months have been peak flu season
291.
by Lewton 7y ago
> Depending on the statistics used to date there have been between 2,860 and 4,759 deaths from COVID-19 in the United States. This equates to between just 7% and 12% of the annual 40,000 deaths from flu. Uuuh... yes... and half of those
292.
by Lewton 7y ago
That's the point I was trying to make (quite clumsily, I agree). I hope I didn't give the impression that I expected the numbers to prove that we are overreacting. Having a reasonable idea of how many people have been infected wil
293.
by Lewton 7y ago
... Sigh. Ok then the cases in Denmark hasn't stabilized. How in the world does that change my point? (but number of daily deaths have been linear for a week now, I don't know why you'd think that's not stable, but you&#
294.
by Lewton 7y ago
Ok, then let's talk Europe. Denmark has been in a early and disciplined lockdown for 3 weeks. The amount of deaths per day seem to have stabilized. The Hospitals are not overrun When should Denmark end the lockdown? (And if Denmark had
295.
by Lewton 7y ago
You don't KNOW what the reality of the situation is right now without knowing how many people are actually infected
296.
by Lewton 7y ago
Which country are you even talking about? If you think the US is literally doing everything they can, have you looked at what the lockdown in Italy looks like? If you have random sampling from two weeks ago and today, you might find out tha
297.
by Lewton 7y ago
If you had a random sample from two weeks ago and one from today, you think this provides zero information on how to react now?
298.
by Lewton 7y ago
> We actually left the city that Saturday And then you went into strict quarantine for 14 days right?
299.
by Lewton 7y ago
In the past two weeks I've met three people, I imagine Boris might have interacted with 300
300.
by Lewton 7y ago
> not coughing/sneezing then arguably the mask is not doing anything. People cough and sneeze all the time even if they're not sick.....

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