ElProlactin

5 ms·

31.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
The data covers just ~10–20% of global aggregate AI supercomputer performance as of March 2025. And then there's this: https://epoch.ai/data/gpu-clusters-documentation/coverage > The coverage of Chinese co
32.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> I mean it's weird that we all imagine reasons why we're still relevant when we have set fire to the thing that made us indispensable. Very few things in this world are all-or-nothing, and not every purchasing decision is ba
33.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> I only have the nagging question that if it’s so easy, why would the clients not do it by themselves? Plenty of reasons, including: 1. They don't (yet) know how to use AI to accomplish what they need. 2. The ROI is still meaningfu
34.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
A big problem in discussions about Nvidia is that people can't distinguish between: 1. The equity investments Nvidia has made in its customers. 2. The guarantees/backstops it has extended to some of its customers. 3. Vendor financ
35.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> The term you're looking for is transmission channels. MB is turned into M1 through lending. M3 is turned into M1 through collateralisation and demand stimulation, among other effects. "Transmission channels" are how poli
36.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> It's M4. Which turns into M3 through the money markets. Which creates M1 through banks. M3 hasn't been published in the US since 2006 and M4 has never been published publicly in the US. Aggregates don't turn into one ano
37.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
The only thing ridiculous here is thinking that the US government is in control to the level you think it is. Spending $500+ billion/year (and close to a trillion now) on defense for decades and in ~6 months it has depleted stocks of c
38.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> The fact that he would suggest this despite preparing for an IPO is an even stronger signal that it's in good faith -- it will almost certainly delay or reduce the valuation of the IPO. No it won't. This is a call for a &quot
39.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
Being sarcastic isn't going to solve the problem but you're obviously free to believe that the US is still in a position to call all the shots when it's evident to the rest of the world this isn't the case.
40.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> The U.S. Government won't allow that to happen. Like the US government wouldn't allow Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz? Or a bunch of sandal-wearing Islamists to take control over the Red Sea coastline? The US government is
41.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
If they genuinely believe the tech is dangerous, how would it be acting in "good faith" to keep developing it, prepping an IPO, etc.?
42.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
Does this mean I'm going to have to wait for the cure for my colitis?
43.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
> Regardless of whether you think they're right, most everyone at Anthropic is acting in good faith. The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Dario Amodei is a 40-something dude who is obviously very, very intelligent. But in
44.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
Exactly. Low growth is a problem, but the primary reason young people feel so miserable is on the cost of living side of the equation.
45.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
You're conflating the money multiplier and velocity. They aren't the same thing. The multiplier is about banks turning reserves into deposits via lending while "spending the same money more rapidly" is velocity. This doe
46.
by ElProlactin 13d ago
You should educate yourself about accounting. First, under US GAAP rules (ASC 606), you cannot recognize revenue from a vendor-financed sale unless it meets certain criteria, the biggest one of which is: it has to be probable that the buyer
47.
by ElProlactin 14d ago
> ...and they've done a pretty good job of that up until ~this year. Not really. When you look back, seeing how things turned out, history looks different than it almost certainly felt to most people at the time. It took 250-300 yea
48.
by ElProlactin 15d ago
> It's hard to imagine coming back from this. You don't even need to try because it's not happening.
49.
by ElProlactin 15d ago
> ...and our military forces shouldn't be using his incoherent ramblings on Twitter to make snap judgements on the battlefield without checking with their chain of command either. You mean the chain of command that has been purged o
50.
by ElProlactin 15d ago
> ...but they are not related to any of the failures being reported on. If pilots weren't being given enough rest time, as alleged, you don't believe that might affect decision-making in the cockpit?
51.
by ElProlactin 15d ago
Maybe those were taken out so that the plane was capable of carrying more packages.
52.
by ElProlactin 15d ago
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/miami-plane-crash-21-air-safety... > The Amazon Prime Air Boeing 767 cargo plane that crashed off a Miami runway on Sunday, killing five people, was operated by a North Carolina company
53.
by ElProlactin 16d ago
> ...and people would almost always deal with people rather than a robot. Here's the thing: they don't give a rat's you-know-what about what you prefer. And it's not just due to arrogance (maximizing profit) it's
54.
by ElProlactin 16d ago
I know you're joking/being facetious but they don't even need that many electricians for the ongoing maintenance. The major electrical work is front-loaded.
55.
by ElProlactin 16d ago
I thought Florida had been renamed Mar-a-Lago.
56.
by ElProlactin 16d ago
And electricians!
57.
by ElProlactin 16d ago
> Only humans can do some tasks > For instance, AI can’t bathe a patient. Until there are robots. Or the AI gets creative in an attempt to find a solution to this "problem" and orders a fatal dose of morphine for the patient
58.
by ElProlactin 17d ago
Well, I'm a cynical nobody so my predictions aren't worth much, but I suspect we'll get the trillionaires and really dark dystopia (compared to the one we have now) for at least a short time before The End comes.
59.
by ElProlactin 17d ago
You won't need to wear sunglasses because apparently there's a >10% chance there is no future.
60.
by ElProlactin 17d ago
"It is perfectly obvious that the whole world is going to hell. The only possible chance that it might not is that we do not attempt to prevent it from doing so." - Oppenheimer

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