ArkyBeagle

10 ms·

61.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
The ability of the human mind to find patterns where there are none is exactly the thing Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky wrote about...
62.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
All I can say is what I have heard from Micheal Lewis via various media - writings, interviews, forum discussion via video - and that is almost certainly untrue. The best way I can describe it is that Amos was very devoted to a process. The
63.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
I am hardly rich, but I qualify for TSA Pre. I can buy a toll tag to use on toll roads. It is all moving downmarket. It is not the same as being rich enough for general aviation transportation, but if I wanted to get a pilot's license,
64.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
1) Taxes-as-transfer-payments rarely work like we intend. These are not lossless transforms, the rule-sets are complex and somebody has to run it. Actual efficiency estimates are very hard to come by. This being said, actual transfer progra
65.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
China's come off of very harsh legal constraints on childbearing.
66.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
If people shopped for food like they hire engineers, they'd starve to death. I have to wonder if there's not some "corporate anorexia" thing that shares pathology with food disorders.
67.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Last job I had, we were doing quite well but market conditions changed. They effectively now have a 0.00% software presence. It just isn't possible, given the basic makeup of the company, for there to be anything other than very basic
68.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
But the driver for building roads is frequently that roads enable an upgrade in zoning for land that fronts on those roads. More modern roadways are quite distant and independent of even the usual retail/restaurant establishments. You
69.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
He's an extremely explainable phenomenon. Scott Adams has explained it multiple times. I'm just pointing out that the standard party mechanism was not even used in this case. I am sure there is a better term than "hijacked&qu
70.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
The dose is still the poison.
71.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Terrorism works.
72.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Arnold Kling is up to three axes. It's not a bad model.
73.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
The post-9/11 response was overwhelmingly bi-partisan. And both parties have increased the size of government.
74.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
What we've seen in the past is the gentle swing of the pendulum. For a bizarre set of reasons, both parties are weakening rapidly. Effectively, Trump hijacked the Republican Party. That does not sound like a strong mechanism to me.
75.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
As I recall, the Rockefellers ( both Jr. and Sr. ) at least took pains to be seen as part of the solution rather than part of the problem.
76.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Or - "trust" became a curse word used by critics of that sort of business practice at the time. The world was all-new-and-all, and this was the base layer for legal strictures to follow. It's still all rather incoherent, as a
77.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
It is all only technically illegal once you invoke legal work done well after the fact. It was all done under a Terminator-style relentless focus on reducing the end cost to consumers.
78.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
1) A subset of the language had to be developed to describe Rockefeller. This subset translates poorly into present-day English. The language used had its own rules. 2) "Anti trust" changed in meaning over time. 3) "Monopsomy
79.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
What should be seen is what is. Trying to make narrative out of it becomes futile at some level of detail.
80.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
It's just difficult, and making the wrong mistake can create problems. Suppose we say transparency is a value. Well, it's extremely easy to have too much transparency. Suppose it is collaboration. Then you can easily run into cost
81.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
I appreciate the feedback. It does come off as grumpy reading it again. It's really weariness. I did mean it, more or less, in a corporate context. I do believe that values are sort of inscrutable and very hard to wrestle with. And I f
82.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
I believe that that is a positive - don't get me wrong. And values in technology are easier to come by than general values.
83.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Values are sort of like the natural numbers. The other stuff in culture - that is subconscious, is related to dominance/status/ability to set priority is like the real numbers. There's an overwhelming disparity in quantity. a
84.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
"Fit" is more or less a pantload. Now, if you are, say, a C shop you probably don't want some Smalltalk guy moaning 7 hours a day about how crude the environment is, but that's not what's meant here, is it? If the n
85.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
As soon as somebody invokes "values" , I know we're done. They're mostly irrelevant. They're mostly post-hoc rationalizations. They are just-so stories. They are given the role of axioms in supposed geometries of go
86.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Arguments for a plebiscite - a full-democracy - were pretty much shot down in the Federalist Papers and haven't been entertained seriously since.
87.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
The United States isn't a democracy. It's a Republic. A lot of the apparent jingoism was first WWII propaganda, then cold War propaganda. Prior to that, Americans simply considered the rest of the world to be mostly irredeemably c
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by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Don't look back.
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by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Romanticism in general has had an interesting relationship with Nature, which accounts for a lot of the 19th century ( and some of the 20th century ) points on the first list. It should be fairly easy to see that with the aid of mass media,
90.
by ArkyBeagle 10y ago
Oh, absolutely. But they were unusual. Often kind of grumpy and a bit misanthropic. Burns' films do seem to file out a few heroes ( meaning there seem fewer even than they were ) but there were not that many other people, especially in

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