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By that line of reasoning, India's stock market should be the same size as China's, and both China and India should have a stock market that is 4 times bigger t

• ForHackernews 12y ago
  It absolutely will happen. Maybe not in the immediate future, but almost certainly before the end of the century.[0] http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-10-30/china-is-very-very-very-very-big http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-10-30/china-is-ve... [0] Barring some kind of technicality, i.e. stock markets merge such that in the future there is only one "stock market" or something.
• kumarm 12y ago
  India's stock market is 3Trillion (Not very far behind China's).
• a_c_s 12y ago
  As developing economies 'develop' their per-capita GDP approaches that of developed economies. Therefore, as this happens, the size of an economy becomes more proportional to the population size. Therefore over the very long term that absolutely should happen.
  • adventured 12y ago
    Not quite. Your position rests on the premise that China can bring its population up to developed status (something on par with the US, Britain, France, Germany, Japan etc), ditto for India. That is very unlikely to be feasible, given the truly massive manufacturing, consumption, exports, energy, resources, etc. that it would require to boost China's GDP to ~2x the size of the entire rest of the world just to bring their median income up to that of the US.
• seanmcdirmid 12y ago
  > But that is not going to happen. That is not going to happen soon. It could happen in the future, for China at least. India is a poorer country, but both have histories of being industrious and productive, so it really shouldn't be surprising if they ascend again over time.