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People will eventually realize that this is exactly what AI does for most workflows. The propaganda is "synthetic humans", "obsolete mathematicians" and so fort
by glimshe 8d ago
People will eventually realize that this is exactly what AI does for most workflows. The propaganda is "synthetic humans", "obsolete mathematicians" and so forth, but what we will likely see is a fantastic time saver for things we didn't like to do to begin with.
- stasomatic 8d agoIt's not a time saver in that you, as an employee, don't get more time to yourself. You get to work more. Can you walk up to your boss and tell them that you are going to start working 20 hours a week instead of 40? I use these things daily, not against this kind of "AI" at all.
- Melatonic 8d agoYou can if you don't tell them :-D
- sneak 8d agoIf you’re a contractor, sure, same as always. If you’re an employee, you are selling a quantity of your time, not your results. Of course you will have to work the same amount of time. Your issue is with employment as a general concept, wherein the employer reaps any efficiency gains, not the worker.
- freedomben 8d agoYou're not wrong of course, but removing the tedious parts of a job can be really nice. I still work the same hours of course, but now I get to work on things that are more meaningful, more design and architecture oriented, and less about the grind of tedium. I'm sure there are plenty of exceptions out there, so I don't want to generalize, but I do suspect there are a number of people in a similar situation as me.
- stasomatic 8d agoHow can we deal with this mental overload? There are only so many things that I can keep in my head. Your job was to deliver Project X and you did it in half the time. What do you do with the other half? Your job was to deliver X. Now what? Extra vacation time? Just musing.
- RussianCow 7d agoHonestly, I know several devs who do chores around the house or even play video games while AI does the bulk of the heavy lifting. If nobody cares or even realizes, does it matter? (To be clear, they all work remotely.)
- my-huge-pony 7d ago>removing the tedious parts of a job can be really nice Sure. For me AI removes the parts of programming work that I like the most, and "gives" me more time to do thing I consider tedious, like solving human problems, achieving consensus in the team, attending meetings.
- glimshe 8d agoThere's nothing that will save your employment time because any employer will want to maximize what they get from you. This applies to literally any innovation past, present and future. For self-employed people, it allows them to focus on other problems. I know people who would be bankrupt without AI now because development time was crushing their company and they couldn't afford to hire others. Now they can spend more time in marketing and sales. AI will make some business that weren't profitable in the past viable. For people who program for leisure, self-consumption or otherwise don't have a major income pressure, it is objectively a huge time saver.
- stasomatic 8d agoFor people who program for leisure, self-consumption or otherwise don't have a major income pressure, it is objectively a huge time saver. I've had much enjoyment recreating my frequently used utilities on macOS. It's not about saving money, it's costing me more than to keep my subscriptions active, it's more about tailoring things to myself and keeping BPMs up. There's nothing that will save your employment time because any employer will want to maximize what they get from you. This applies to literally any innovation past, present and future. A personal anecdote from 2 decades ago which hunts me till today. I was at a smallish firm in NYC, less than 50 people. I ran the "IT department" which included a couple of devs, DTP folks and one customer support underling who I backed up when needed. We fixed all the printer problems, all the network shares, everything was quiet. I get called into the corner office and am told, "tell the help desk dude to sweep the floors as they are not doing anything". And, I really liked that boss. It's a different mindset.
- meowface 8d agoIf mid-2026 LLMs were the last ones to ever exist, sure.
- pmarreck 8d agoand everything else is still speculation
- nomel 7d agoSure, nobody knows the exact future. But you still plan for what's probably going to happen. I don't know if social security is going to be around when I retire, and all the experts are saying it's probably not going to be. So, I'm planning a retirement without. Similarly, all the experts are saying AI (<- that word is not "LLM") is probably going to improve. I personally think it's irrational to ignore experts.
- pmarreck 7d agoI think that a person (me) who has worked directly with frontier AI for over a year now for many hours a day may have gained some expertise in what this technology is capable of and thus what is dangerous about it, but I wouldn't speculate too hard on what superintelligent AI would or could do because we have not yet seen such a thing nor is there even an established criteria as to what that would look like or how it would be valued and in what capacity (hint: humans are still the final evaluators of what is valuable) The simple fact that I have to write every control scheme in the book to keep the thing on the goal path (and not lapsing into laziness or dishonesty) is itself possibly a safety feature, if you look at it that way
- nomel 5d ago> The simple fact that I have to write every control scheme ... Look three years ago for a reality check of the progress. The LLM you're using now isn't the LLM you'll be using in 5 years. It probably won't even really be the same architecture, just like those from 3 years ago are VERY different than the full systems we use today (harnesses and all). What you're doing was literal science fiction not long ago.