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I still don't get how this works. My world image must be pretty off at this point if this kind of thing is possible. A tanker is big, expensive, and not exactly
by radu_floricica 6mo ago
I still don't get how this works. My world image must be pretty off at this point if this kind of thing is possible. A tanker is big, expensive, and not exactly easy to misplace. And for a nation to be able to send this kind of expeditions it must be both dysfunctional enough to allow this, but competent enough to be able to mount it. And other countries allow it? Why? Again with the "expensive and hard to misplace".
- OutOfHere 6mo ago[flagged]
- mcphage 6mo ago> the US will probably take action against Yemen and Somalia So we’re losing 1 war, and your solution is to start 2 more?
- OutOfHere 6mo ago[flagged]
- afiori 6mo agoNaval blockades are an act of war even according to US own laws.
- vel0city 6mo ago> Firstly, there is no ongoing war with Iran Talk about mischaracterization. The head of the Department of ~~Defense~~War has called it a war many times. The President has called it a war many times. Members of Congress of both parties have called it a war many times. It's a war my dude.
- tokai 6mo agoA ceasefire dictates by definition that a war is on.
- SanjayMehta 6mo agoIt's the neocon version of "you wanna supersize dat?"
- afiori 6mo agoThe US and its allies are likely the biggest sponsor of terrorism and genocide worldwide
- _DeadFred_ 6mo agoMaybe maybe not. But doesn't change what Iran does. The Iranian embassy in the UK just encouraged violence in the UK. Then next day random jews were stabbed.
- toasty228 6mo agoAll you need is a dude with a small boat, an rpg and some kind of short range radio really.
- OutOfHere 6mo agoMany but not all tankers these days do have defensive equipment, e.g. jet sprays, but these probably can't stop too many boats, or if the tanker doesn't have such protection.
- ceejayoz 6mo agoIf I have a hose and the other guy has an RPG I’m probably not starting shit.
- AnimalMuppet 6mo agoIf you have a hose that you can fire from a fairly protected position and the guy with the RPG is completely exposed because he's trying to climb up the side of a tanker, yeah, I might. See, the hijackers can't actually sail the ship. So they can't kill the crew, or at least can't kill very many of them.
- tokai 6mo ago>See, the hijackers can't actually sail the ship Its pretty dumb to assume that. Somali commercial sailors and merchant mariners do exist. Information and simulator software is available also in Somalia.
- bayarearefugee 6mo ago> If you have a hose that you can fire from a fairly protected position and the guy with the RPG is completely exposed because he's trying to climb up the side of a tanker, yeah, I might. In this scenario you are standing on a ship that is full of highly flammable oil. There are more outcomes than just the hijackers gain control of the ship or they leave you alone. If gaining control is no longer an option they could decide "fuck it" and just fire into the side of your hull.
- dgellow 6mo agoFor the « how », you can watch https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Captain_Phillips_(film) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Captain_Phillips_(film) to get an idea of the pirate logistics
- fredoralive 6mo agoOil tankers only have like 20-30 crew on board, you’re not going to need that many men with AK47s to take over. Navies do patrol piracy hotspots like Somalia, freedom of navigation is kinda important to world trade, but they can’t exactly be everywhere at once.
- nradov 6mo agoWhich navies though? The reality is that very few countries still have the expeditionary navies capable of doing that. The US Navy (plus Coast Guard) can do it. A few others like China, Japan, India, and France can do it on a limited basis. The remaining countries can maybe send a token frigate on a temporary basis. That's about it. Even the UK, Russia, and Germany no longer have functioning expeditionary navies.
- SanjayMehta 6mo agoIt's very simple. "Pirates" use small arms and small boats. The US navy uses helicopters and ship mounted canons. Occasionally they double tap "drug smugglers" with missiles. Or sink inadequately armed "enemy" ships with a torpedo, followed by a second one after 19 minutes. The difference is minor between piracy and war crimes: "δυνατὰ δὲ οἱ προύχοντες πράσσουσι καὶ οἱ ἀσθενεῖς ξυγχωροῦσιν"
- echelon_musk 6mo agoTrump was quoted in the last day as saying "We’re like pirates" in reference to the US Navy.
- doodlebugging 6mo agoIt wouldn't be surprising to find that Trump or some Trump-aligned group had contracted Somali pirates to commandeer tankers, guaranteeing them riches that will never be paid. The ships would find their way to friendly refineries where the oil can be laundered into a legitimate stream. Without even including his children, there are so many individuals associating with him who would have the pieces to make something like this happen.
- doodlebugging 6mo ago>"δυνατὰ δὲ οἱ προύχοντες πράσσουσι καὶ οἱ ἀσθενεῖς ξυγχωροῦσιν" That's all Greek to me so I had to translate. The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must. Very appropriate. Thanks.
- SanjayMehta 6mo agoIt's from the Melian Dialogue. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Thucydides-Greek-historian https://www.britannica.com/biography/Thucydides-Greek-histor...
- dmitrygr 6mo agoAll it takes is a world which has convinced itself that it is “time to be tolerant of all and punish none — all misbehavior is not a fault of the actor but instead the world at large is responsible” Start dealing with pirates like they did in the 18th century, and watch how fast it ends. It would only take a few dozen publicly hung pirates to make the point.
- senordevnyc 6mo agoYou know that various navies have conducted operations that have killed many more Somali pirates than that, right? No idea what you’re quoting there, but it’s a bizarre caricature of the world we live in.
- dmitrygr 6mo agoYes, it takes time. It took the British navy decades to rid the seas of most pirates. When a random somalian considers piracy and realizes that the RoI is very negative, hr job will have been accomplished.
- mlyle 6mo agoDid that work in the 18th century? Hanging a few pirates eliminated piracy? It's my understanding it was more about the loss of favorable basing and the reduction in Spanish shipments of treasure that caused the decline. We've killed plenty of would-be pirates recently. Doesn't seem to have ended the problem.
- delichon 6mo ago> Did that work in the 18th century? It did in the early 19th century. Check out the first and second Barbary Wars. They were not permanent solutions but they had lasting effects. The real blow was the French conquest of Algeria after that.
- mlyle 6mo ago1. Doesn't seem like this quite fits under "hanging a few pirates" 2. One of the big problems here is there's no real counterparty to negotiate with/cow like the Algerian Dey. That's not to say that I'm against increased anti-pirate action. I just don't think it's as straightforward as you all say.
- BirAdam 6mo agoMuch of the current state of the world is coasting on things done in prior eras, and this is always the case. A country needn’t be able to build a large boat now to have built one in the past. They can send that boat around the world until someone realizes that the US guarantee of safe water ways too is something it can no longer enforce. The world behaves as if the USA were its older self, but it isn’t. Also, a large navy isn’t very useful when ships that cost more than a billion USD can be disabled by drones that cost less than ten thousand USD. As such, US ship movement in the area is limited by both Yemen and Iran.
- echelon 6mo agoThe world before WWII was chaos. It has never been peaceful to be a human for much of our species' existence. America was the global hegemon. Under the "rules based order", where America safeguarded international trade in exchange for having the US Dollar at the center, we had the largest period of stability the world has seen. Now that everyone wants to displace America, we're pluging back into chaos. America is abdicating its role and turning into an isolationist power. There's going to be an increase in war as countries try to claim territory and resources. Piracy and blockades will come back. Trading alliances and trading blocs will form. The world will turn into a powder keg. This time with nukes. The vacuum left behind as America shuts itself off will create lots of power struggles. There will be a lot of trade disruption to energy, goods, and food inputs. It's also going to be incredibly violent.
- Avicebron 6mo ago> America was the global hegemon. Under the "rules based order", where America safeguarded international trade in exchange for having the US Dollar at the center, we had the largest period of stability the world has seen. > ...America is abdicating its role and turning into an isolationist power. Good thing America is one singular entity with everyone living in it both equally benefiting from it and also responsible for it's current state. What we are seeing is neoliberalism gone rancid and the predictable fallout.
- kjkjadksj 6mo ago
- icegreentea2 6mo agoAs other people have noted, Somali piracy is not "new". It's been happening since the 90s (Somali Civil war and failed international interventions). There were, and still are multinational (basically chartered by the UN) naval task forces operating in the area, to deter and interdict pirates. See CTF-151 (https://combinedmaritimeforces.com/ctf-151-counter-piracy/ https://combinedmaritimeforces.com/ctf-151-counter-piracy/) These types of actions are not perfect, they cannot stop everything, so you still see successful attacks happen. And no one wants to try to intervene in Somalia itself. The world tried that in the 90s and got completely burned. So the answer is that "other countries are not allowing it" in the same way that no country allows murder, and yet it still happens.
- bmitch3020 6mo agoThe response will need to come from the country where the tanker is registered/flagged. Liberia and Panama aren't exactly known for their Navy fleets. Without that, it's up to the ship's commercial owner to resolve, or more likely, their insurance company. The crew are rarely trained and equip to respond to an armed attack. If they have anyone to defend the ship, at most it's a handful of mercenaries hired for the high risk part of the trip.
- wrboyce 6mo agoI have friends who have been those mercenaries, and I think your comment underplays it a bit… they are all ex-SBS and not somebody I’d want to fuck with!
- bmitch3020 6mo agoIn direct combat, you're absolutely right. Most of my point is that they aren't hired to defend most ships if companies do the math and assume the risk isn't worth the cost. The crew that's left are trained to fix the engine, cook some food, and control the auto pilot, not to fire guns. That said, when mercenaries are defending a ship, it's often trying to stop a small runaway boat loaded with explosives. It's a very small moving target they have to hit with little time. Meanwhile the small boat just needs to be pointed somewhere in the direction of the oil tanker.
- kjkjadksj 6mo agoSo you can just steal any ship registered to some nation with little naval presence and no one knows how to handle it? It just becomes the spiderman meme of insurance and corporate and nations pointing at each other and meanwhile you’ve successfully stolen a ship in 2026? Crazy world we live in. The modern age is strange.
- bmitch3020 6mo agoThey know exactly how to handle it, which is why it's such an effective business model. The crew do what they can to avoid being boarded, then get to the safest location possible. Once the ship is captured, it's held for ransom, the insurance company gets their negotiators to minimize the price, they eventually pay the negotiated ransom, and insurance rates go up. If you're expecting someone to prevent piracy, you need to first run the financial cost/benefit analysis. How much would need to be spent on a military operation, and what's the return that would be seen from the country sending their military to rescue a private ship registered to a foreign country, staffed by foreign crew, with cargo destined for a foreign country?
- MithrilTuxedo 6mo agoCoalition navy ships (US, England, France, Germany, etc.) are supposed to protect commercial vessels transiting through the International Recommended Transit Corridor (IRTC). Either this ship left the IRTC or the IRTC isn't being protected. Ships coming through the Gulf of Aden to reach African ports south of it are advised to head east until they were south of India (past the Maldives) before heading south, and then head due west to reach their destination. It's really expensive advice though, and not everyone follows it. I was on the USS Momsen's VBSS team in the Gulf of Aden back in 2010-2012. We showed up with overwhelming force and they knew they'd survive if they didn't fight back. It was relatively safe and boring. We had protection from our reputation. I think the US Navy's reputation has been squandered in the last year and I've worried it would make VBSS a lot more dangerous. Edit: we also didn't hear much from the Houthis while I was there. Things got worse in Yemen after my time. https://www.maritime.dot.gov/msci/2025-012-red-sea-bab-el-mandeb-strait-gulf-aden-arabian-sea-persian-gulf-and-somali-basin https://www.maritime.dot.gov/msci/2025-012-red-sea-bab-el-ma...
- browsingonly 6mo ago> Navy's reputation has been squandered in the last year I don't understand how anything that has occurred in the last year would make a Somali pirate think it's less likely they would be killed if they chose to resist an American boarding party. If anything, they would think it's more likely they'd be killed and that there might be unpredictably severe reprisals against their clan, supporters, etc. What events were you thinking of?
- he0001 6mo agoIt’s generally a evaluation of risk and reward. Guess they are counting on US being busy elsewhere. What I hear, the chain of command is in disarray.
- estimator7292 6mo agoOn the other hand, Somali pirates have attacked fully loaded warships dozens of times, apparently not realizing that small arms and a dinghy can't take down a goddamn battleship