4 ms·

David Silver of DeepMind raises $1B to build AI that learns without human data

gbnwl 6mo ago
Not the first to notice this I'm sure but it feels like there's an insane amount of pressure pushing capital towards anything with a hint of AI legitimacy. It's as if asset owners across the planet have come to a consensus that the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess), but this intense systemic pressure squeezes insane amounts of money toward litearlly any AI shaped outlet that opens up. It's just starting to feel like "scared and desperate" money more than "smart money".
- iqp 6mo ago
  > the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess) Housing, healthcare, and food production all spring to mind as industries that matter waaaay more than AI! (≧ᗜ≦)
  - FuckButtons 6mo ago
    Not if all human labor becomes surplus to requirements.
  - subscribed 6mo ago
    My bet is on ultra greedy trying to find the cure for death. They need best models for that.
  - tim333 6mo ago
    Have AI robots provide those?
  - johntash 6mo ago
    Matter more to who though? Probably not the people making most of the profits :)
- ktallett 6mo ago
  Is it not a case of many funders don't want to risk missing out on the next big thing? And a loss of a few billion now is better than the loss of many billions down the line and control of the future?
  - gbnwl 6mo ago
    Of course the motivation makes sense on the surface. What I'm getting at is that the supply of capital vs the supply of potential "control of the future" plays feels incredibly imbalanced. Money seems to be so desperate to move into AI it's lost all prudence (the particular people and company mentioned in the OP nonwithstanding, maybe they do deserve 1B). "not wanting to risk missing out" is essentially just FOMO right? "Smart" money has feels more like FOMO money these days. We literally have shoe companies savying they're going to pivot to AI and having their market cap increase in multiples as reward.
    - ktallett 6mo ago
      I don't think Silicon Valley has been smart money for a decade plus. Quantum Computing is becoming the exact same with academic and government funding. With a lot of cash being spent on long shots or no hopers.
- rglover 6mo ago
  Mass mimetic movements typically fail to sustain long-term. The tech isn't going away, but a lot of the people betting their next move on it will.
7777777phil 6mo ago
AlphaZero worked because chess and Go have terminal rewards and positions you can prove are right or wrong. General intelligence has neither, and the leap from self-play in a well-defined game to self-play in arbitrary environments is the hard part Silver isn't really demoing. Sara Hooker's stuff on scaling laws lines up here (1) (1) https://philippdubach.com/posts/the-most-expensive-assumption-in-ai/ https://philippdubach.com/posts/the-most-expensive-assumptio...
- naveen99 6mo ago
  Math, physics, markets, computation…
Schlagbohrer 6mo ago
"pre-money valuation" I don't know what that means but it makes me roll my eyes so hard it hurts
- jvwww 6mo ago
  Post-Money = Pre-Money + Investment So pre-money in this case is their valuation even before they've received any investment.
Schlagbohrer 6mo ago
Geoffrey Hinton said that the breakthrough the AlphaGo team had was getting it to play against itself and improve in that means, since it could then go beyond the human training data it had learned on. He said that an equivalent form of self-training for generalized information would let a superintelligence take off (this is from my memory, not an exact quote). The TechCrunch article doesn't specify how/what kind of data a recursive general AI could use to achieve such a thing. If it is possible that's exciting. Seems like a real philosophical question to answer- How could a general AI self-train?
- colonelpopcorn 6mo ago
  You'd probably have to embody it.
  - dwd 6mo ago
    Or simulate embodiment. Human learning relies on movement. We learn as we navigate the world and interact with objects as noted by Jeff Hawkins in "A Thousand Brains". It may be an AI will also require this ability, either via simulation or a robotic interface. Will an AI then also lose its train of thought when it walks through a doorway and context (reference frame) switches?
- physicsm4n 6mo ago
  [dead]
- andsoitis 6mo ago
  > If it is possible that's exciting. Would it be exciting though? I mean it would certainly excite some things, but I don’t know that it would be something to rejoice.
  - bko 6mo ago
    Why wouldn't it be exciting? It would learn through logic and reason as opposed to our faulty human artifacts. And it wouldn't be limited to what we currently know. A good test would be if it could rediscover mathematics or relativity.
Lapsa 6mo ago
scam
weregiraffe 6mo ago
Unless they have alien data, this is bullshit.
cainxinth 6mo ago
>It is unclear how, when, or how much the venture will make, but this clearly hasn’t hindered fundraising. Sorta sums up the whole industry.

gbnwl 6mo ago

Not the first to notice this I'm sure but it feels like there's an insane amount of pressure pushing capital towards anything with a hint of AI legitimacy. It's as if asset owners across the planet have come to a consensus that the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess), but this intense systemic pressure squeezes insane amounts of money toward litearlly any AI shaped outlet that opens up. It's just starting to feel like "scared and desperate" money more than "smart money".

iqp 6mo ago
> the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess) Housing, healthcare, and food production all spring to mind as industries that matter waaaay more than AI! (≧ᗜ≦)
- FuckButtons 6mo ago
  Not if all human labor becomes surplus to requirements.
- subscribed 6mo ago
  My bet is on ultra greedy trying to find the cure for death. They need best models for that.
- tim333 6mo ago
  Have AI robots provide those?
- johntash 6mo ago
  Matter more to who though? Probably not the people making most of the profits :)
ktallett 6mo ago
Is it not a case of many funders don't want to risk missing out on the next big thing? And a loss of a few billion now is better than the loss of many billions down the line and control of the future?
- gbnwl 6mo ago
  Of course the motivation makes sense on the surface. What I'm getting at is that the supply of capital vs the supply of potential "control of the future" plays feels incredibly imbalanced. Money seems to be so desperate to move into AI it's lost all prudence (the particular people and company mentioned in the OP nonwithstanding, maybe they do deserve 1B). "not wanting to risk missing out" is essentially just FOMO right? "Smart" money has feels more like FOMO money these days. We literally have shoe companies savying they're going to pivot to AI and having their market cap increase in multiples as reward.
  - ktallett 6mo ago
    I don't think Silicon Valley has been smart money for a decade plus. Quantum Computing is becoming the exact same with academic and government funding. With a lot of cash being spent on long shots or no hopers.
rglover 6mo ago
Mass mimetic movements typically fail to sustain long-term. The tech isn't going away, but a lot of the people betting their next move on it will.

7777777phil 6mo ago

AlphaZero worked because chess and Go have terminal rewards and positions you can prove are right or wrong. General intelligence has neither, and the leap from self-play in a well-defined game to self-play in arbitrary environments is the hard part Silver isn't really demoing. Sara Hooker's stuff on scaling laws lines up here (1) (1) https://philippdubach.com/posts/the-most-expensive-assumption-in-ai/ https://philippdubach.com/posts/the-most-expensive-assumptio...

naveen99 6mo ago
Math, physics, markets, computation…

Schlagbohrer 6mo ago

"pre-money valuation" I don't know what that means but it makes me roll my eyes so hard it hurts

jvwww 6mo ago
Post-Money = Pre-Money + Investment So pre-money in this case is their valuation even before they've received any investment.

Schlagbohrer 6mo ago

Geoffrey Hinton said that the breakthrough the AlphaGo team had was getting it to play against itself and improve in that means, since it could then go beyond the human training data it had learned on. He said that an equivalent form of self-training for generalized information would let a superintelligence take off (this is from my memory, not an exact quote). The TechCrunch article doesn't specify how/what kind of data a recursive general AI could use to achieve such a thing. If it is possible that's exciting. Seems like a real philosophical question to answer- How could a general AI self-train?

colonelpopcorn 6mo ago
You'd probably have to embody it.
- dwd 6mo ago
  Or simulate embodiment. Human learning relies on movement. We learn as we navigate the world and interact with objects as noted by Jeff Hawkins in "A Thousand Brains". It may be an AI will also require this ability, either via simulation or a robotic interface. Will an AI then also lose its train of thought when it walks through a doorway and context (reference frame) switches?
physicsm4n 6mo ago
[dead]
andsoitis 6mo ago
> If it is possible that's exciting. Would it be exciting though? I mean it would certainly excite some things, but I don’t know that it would be something to rejoice.
- bko 6mo ago
  Why wouldn't it be exciting? It would learn through logic and reason as opposed to our faulty human artifacts. And it wouldn't be limited to what we currently know. A good test would be if it could rediscover mathematics or relativity.

Lapsa 6mo ago

scam

weregiraffe 6mo ago

Unless they have alien data, this is bullshit.

cainxinth 6mo ago

>It is unclear how, when, or how much the venture will make, but this clearly hasn’t hindered fundraising. Sorta sums up the whole industry.