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My prediction is that it was a random home invasion robbery committed by someone with multiple previous felonies who had no idea that the person living in the h
by JuniperMesos 10mo ago
My prediction is that it was a random home invasion robbery committed by someone with multiple previous felonies who had no idea that the person living in the house they were trying to rob was a MIT professor.
But I have no more information than anyone else does, I'm making a low-confidence educated guess, and at some point in the near future it's very likely that the professionals whose job it is to investigate serious crimes will have a better idea of what actually happened than anyone posting in this thread.
- mothballed 10mo agoIt's a reasonable guess, but 8:30p seems like a dumb time for a home robbery. Usually they're committed during the day when people are at work, and if not that then deep in the night for maximum cover. 8:30 is almost like the ideal time if you actually want someone to be there and answer the door at an hour where it wouldn't cause enough alarm for them to answer the door with a weapon.
- wat10000 10mo agoWhen it comes to small-scale crime like this, the smartest thing is typically not to do it at all. So the people who do it will generally not be very smart.
- Supermancho 10mo agoIndeed, 8:30p is no different from 2p or 10a for the act. It's most likely a matter of happenstance. It happened to be the warmest time of the day (even though it was evening). Maybe the thinking was someone was home to help them find the valuables, maybe not. > 8:30p seems like a dumb time for a home robbery. The assertion that there is some optimization for some specific imagined motivation, is literal fantasy.
- foobarian 10mo agoIn this day and age who robs homes any more? You'd be liable to get paid to take a bunch of junk away instead
- randycupertino 10mo agoWhen BART (Bay Area Rapid Transit) came to Pleasanton CA my fox-news brainwashed racist aunt and uncle and their neighbors where legitimately convinced black people from Oakland were going to come take BART out from Oakland and steal their TVs. And this was back in the day of the giant bulky heavy-backed rear-projection TVs. I was like... first of all they drive cars now and second of all who is going to take BART to come rob you and third of all who would want to carry this stupid heavy thing!! And if they were going to take your 150lb TV they would need a truck and a dolly, not take public transit to do so. Pleasanton remained safe and bland despite allowing evil public transit.
- 1-more 10mo ago> who would want to carry this stupid heavy thing BART service started in Pleasanton in 1997. In 1992 or 1993 I had a glass CRT TV stolen during a burglary at our house in exurban Connecticut. There's no reason to claim that TV theft is some myth. It was a crime that did in fact happen.
- olyjohn 10mo agoUmmm... Something tells me they didn't take the train to come steal your TV.
- 1-more 10mo agothe did not, no. That's why I did not address that part of the comment, only the part claiming that no miscreant would want to carry a heavy TV.
- randycupertino 10mo ago
- Eisenstein 10mo ago> small-scale crime like this You mean murder?
- wat10000 10mo ago[flagged]
- cykros 10mo ago[flagged]
- watwut 10mo agoI would point out that when it comes to these, right, far right and fascists win the numbers. And right now, it is far right who is having genocidal rhetorics.
- nec4b 10mo agoWhich far right or fascist ruler came close to what Stalin, Mao or Pol Pot did in terms of numbers?
- IAmBroom 10mo agoWhich of those three that you named are killing people "right now"?
- baggy_trough 10mo agoThankfully they are all dead, but not before killing high tens of millions. What "far right" ruler is killing millions right now?
- mothballed 10mo agoI might catch some flack for calling Putin right wing, but he's definitely further right than any of the major killing events I can think of that have happened in modern times. He's certainly way further right than Hitler, who took control of the capital and the means of production and relegated capitalists to basically being token pieces who produced what and when the Nazis order largely at the price Nazis ordered on behalf of the "German people" in a totally "non-socialist" socialist party that just happened to practice the core tenants of socialism when it came to economics.
- deleted 10mo ago[deleted]
- screye 10mo agoUnlikely. He was killed in the foyer [1] of his building in an exceedingly safe city (Brookline, MA). In a neighborhood with mixed SFHs and condos, it makes little sense to target a condo. Makes even less sense for someone to break in, but to shoot the victim outside, in the foyer. [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmbmBNre5SQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmbmBNre5SQ
- SoftTalker 10mo agoAgree. Most killings are not random, but committed by someone the victim knows.
- dmoy 10mo agoYea even in the US where there's a rather lot of home invasions (~million/yr), even amongst the ones where the occupier is injured-or-worse (~250k/yr), very very few of them are fatal (<500/yr).
- socketcluster 10mo agoOther possibility; a disgruntled investor who poured millions into dead-end fusion research and now wishes they had invested in AI research instead? Blames the professor for persuading them to invest in fusion. It's a tough one to find a motive for...
- deleted 10mo ago[deleted]
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- cmckn 10mo agoThis basically never happens, about 100 people die a year in the US during a “burglary gone wrong”. People think it’s common, though; it’s the go-to cover story in almost any Dateline episode.
- TiredOfLife 10mo agoThat's 100 times more than I thought.
- karlgkk 10mo agoThe us has a population of about 340,000,100. Notice where the 1 is.
- roncesvalles 10mo agoTangential but I think that's a terrible way of making your point because intuitively we don't look at digits of a numbers and think log scale. That looks more like 1/3 instead of 0.000029%.
- deleted 10mo ago[deleted]
- BobbyJo 10mo agoYou thought only one person a year died during break ins gone wrong? Vending machines kill more than that.
- TiredOfLife 10mo ago[flagged]
- wewtyflakes 10mo agoThis logic does not follow from or to "That's 100 times more than I thought." You can be both horrified at something and also understand that it is thing that happens.
- seanmcdirmid 10mo agoIt could be a disgruntled grad student? That is shockingly not unheard of in academia.
- Hobadee 10mo agoIf we are doing random predictions based on scant evidence, mine is a professional hit. Neighbor said he heard 3 shots. If it was a "pop pop...pop", that's 2 in the body, 1 in the head. Professional assassin.
- mocha_nate 10mo agoMy prediction: time traveler. Guy goes back in time to prevent an unspeakable tragedy that happened in the future. The simplest solution to alter the course of human history was this attack. We'll never find the killer because as soon as his work was completed, he vaporized into the ether as his timeline was culled.
- pclmulqdq 10mo agoI would assume that the most likely options for for "rich person shot in home" are: * Drug dealer * Cheating on spouse and someone got jealous * Suicide
- IAmBroom 10mo ago* Drug-addled family member with a history of violence.
- master_crab 10mo agoIt’s someone he knew. Either a family member or jilted lover. That’s what it always ends up being.