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If you've been with HN for awhile, or you search the archives, similar topics to "Is the AI booming turning into an AI bubble" kept popping up long before CHatG
by seanmcdirmid 1y ago
If you've been with HN for awhile, or you search the archives, similar topics to "Is the AI booming turning into an AI bubble" kept popping up long before CHatGPT came out. And this was DNNs, and it was same people (e.g. Hinton and his students) who were at the forefront of that also. And no, their previous projects didn't go bust.
- marcosdumay 1y agoWell, ok, good point. There has been people claiming that "their work will stop scaling any time now" for some 12 years. (To be fair, it can't scale forever and seems to have stopped scaling by now.) That is a hype bubble. I maintain that it's not the bubble the article and everybody is talking about. People are talking about the billions (but the plural doesn't do it justice) running around looking for a return. A lot of their earlier projects weren't even supposed to make a profit.
- seanmcdirmid 1y ago> There has been people claiming that "their work will stop scaling any time now" for some 12 years. (To be fair, it can't scale forever and seems to have stopped scaling by now.) Their work kept scaling, they just branched out into generative AI to keep going. Now, eventually they won't be able to scale up or branch out anymore, and I guess your bet is that this will happen before AGI is reached?