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The risks are not hypothetical - https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/romania-president-election-first-round-georgescu-russia-b2660188.html https://w
by redleader55 2y ago
The risks are not hypothetical - https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/romania-president-election-first-round-georgescu-russia-b2660188.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/romania-pres....
TikTok was used to push an unknown, unlikable character to almost win the presidential elections in Romania, who shares a lot of border with both Ukraine, the Black Sea and Danube.
- whatshisface 2y agoWas it used by China, by the candidate, or by romainians? The national security arguments about speech on tiktok always avoid this question. See also: is China suddenly a center of human rights activism, or was it Americans who got upset about Israeli treatment of civilians?
- alwa 2y agoThe allegation [0] is that a Russian influence campaign used TikTok as at least one of its platforms, to major effect. The subtext is that TikTok was at the very least complicit, in that, at a minimum, it tolerated what I believe Facebook calls “coordinated inauthentic behavior.” If you think of TikTok as an instrument of the Chinese state, this could look consistent with the phenomenon Anne Applebaum has been talking about lately: a pattern of loose alliances-of-convenience between autocratic nations in service of specific disruptive missions [1]. A less spooky reading might be that Chinese norms don’t align with American ones as far as proactively stopping this kind of thing—that they just don’t care about this kind of Russian caper on the other side of the world. They sure do think carefully about their domestic information environment, though; and they’re probably the best in the world at policing mass thinking when they feel like it. Where are the lines between mere negligence, complicity, and active participation? That seems a little more delicate than a couple news cycles’ work. The Europeans have asked TikTok to preserve records to find out. I suspect the light and fire seems to be around whether a nation wants any tool like this to just be lying around, ready to disrupt the nation’s politics at a moment’s notice. Social media may be new in the scheme of things, but in the years since the UN studied Facebook’s genocides [2], governments have at least tried to get a handle on the kinds of monitoring and moderation tools and tactics that can help counter this kind of campaign (some with more deference than others to authentic speech). As far as I’ve heard, the allegation had never been that Chinese government villains cackled and rubbed their hands together and said “today we take Romania!” Rather, it’s that the tools are powerful enough that we don’t want to leave them lying around unchecked—especially since, at least from the perspective of American and European policy professionals, Chinese thinking doesn’t really recognize a distinction between commercial and national security interests. Others may have better sourcing than I do for this specific instance, but I think it’s fair to point to Western thinking about China’s Military-Civil Fusion policy [3] to think about dual-use idea-disseminating technologies like TikTok. [0] https://www.rferl.org/a/romania-russia-election-interference-tiktok/33227010.html https://www.rferl.org/a/romania-russia-election-interference... [1] e.g., https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2024/06/china-russia-republican-party-relations/678271/ https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2024/06/china-r... and https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/07/russia-china-nato-axis-resistance/678831/?utm_source=chatgpt.com https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/07/russia-chi... [2] https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebook-genocide.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebo... , https://www.ohchr.org/en/hr-bodies/hrc/myanmar-ffm/reportofthe-myanmar-ffm https://www.ohchr.org/en/hr-bodies/hrc/myanmar-ffm/reportoft... , https://iimm.un.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Hate-Speech-Report_EN.pdf https://iimm.un.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Hate-Speech-R... [PDF, large] [3] https://www.fpri.org/article/2023/12/chinas-military-civil-fusion-strategy-a-blueprint-for-technological-superiority/ https://www.fpri.org/article/2023/12/chinas-military-civil-f...
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- tivert 2y ago> See also: is China suddenly a center of human rights activism, China is, when it serves their primary interest of deflecting criticism from the operation of their very extensive totalitarian/authoritarian system. IIRC, they put out "human rights" reports all the time to that end that do stuff like criticize American prison conditions. > or was it Americans who got upset about Israeli treatment of civilians? It's worth noting that TikTok could (and probably would) be used by the PRC in very subtle ways, that would be missed in a distinction of "is it Chinese people speaking or is it Americans." I think the influence mechanism would almost certainly consist of giving artificial boosts to American voices that unwittingly serve PRC goals, e.g. anti-war activists if China invades Taiwan. They could even strongly condemn China as a warmonger, but their elevation would still serve Chinese goals if they spread the message that the US should stay out. And given that the PRC has access to all the TikTok data (I believe no claims the could not access it), they can probably very effectively figure out exactly the voices to elevate that would do their job effectively.
- whatshisface 2y agoI know that's the conspiracy theory, but shouldn't we be asking for evidence?
- tivert 2y ago> I know that's the conspiracy theory, but shouldn't we be asking for evidence? No. This is about using reason to anticipate and prevent problems, not dumbly waiting around until the actualized problem stares you in the face and it's too late to do anything about it. But if you want evidence, all that is needed is the evidence that China and the US are adversaries.
- wyldberry 2y agoAt best this comment implies there's actual an actual smoking gun related to what functionally are nation-state capability and operations to influence populations external to their own, specifically related to TikTok/ByteDance. If you have an AP government level understanding of how China and the USA work, then you can probably understand that this is an intersection of: government laws, great power competition, and wealth seeking behaviors. When you control the algorithm, everyone downstream of it is at the mercy of the power structures and incentives of your top level leadership [0]. Consider the following: 1.) How Chinese companies interact with the CCP: they are 100% subservient with a CCP party member who can pull the CEO in at anytime and assign them tasks related to studying Xi thought and other party material, as well as demand the company do anything for the state. 2.) What great power competition looks like including economic warfare (tariffs, massive state subsidies to protect national defense, influence operations for allies, securing raw materials, reducing reliance on rivals, etc). 3.) How espionage in general works in support of political aims, and especially how each nation uses it to further their goals. For China, it's always been about vacuuming up as much data as possible, and then later on finding use cases for it. The disruption side of their practices are successful if they make chaos in an adversary that forces them to spend time on dealing with that instead of confronting them. Each nation acts in their own interest and are absolutely ruthless here in a way the average person rarely can comprehend. 4.) The free pass given to China related to tech and social media industries. American Social Media is banned in China[1]. Why do you think that is? There are many reports/cases of American intel/military use cases of social media to influence outcomes worldwide[2]. China wasn't going to allow this. But we are supposed to allow them access to us? We know this is the case because we would do the same in their position[3]. There's a reason it's banned in India[4]. 5.) We know China influences the Douyin algorithm[5] locally to promote behaviors the government perceives as healthy or important to state interests. This often manifests in pushing more STEM related content and suppressing the ragebait content that flourishes in other nations[6]. Even if the leadership of Bytedance were 100% on board with not pushing CCP interests to the USA and world, there's no mechanism of protection or redress from them. The CCP can, and will, disappear high profile people at will with no repercussion, and replace you with someone who will listen. Any smart nation who wants to protect the minds of their citizens would do well to extremely regulate social media in their country. In your case for "Americans upset over Israeli treatment of civilians". Assuming that the American outrage is 100% organic on it's own: It is in the best interest of China to amplify that outrage and make it seem stronger than it is for a variety of reasons: A. This will have knock on effects for policy makers and their aides who are hyper-tuned in because if their constituents want something, voting for that is how B. Anything that disrupts American foreign policy and allies is an asset at weakening the grip the dollar has on international markets C. Israel is an extremely talented producer of technical people. If the relationship between the USA and Israel sours, then suddenly a pathway opens for China to get access to the incredible tech that Israel develops for various US programs. (This is also ignoring their incredibly advanced spyware capabilities in their private sector, which is morally repugnant, but it does exist). [0] - https://arxiv.org/pdf/2209.07663 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2209.07663 [1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_websites_blocked_in_mainland_China https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_websites_blocked_in_ma... [2] - https://web.archive.org/web/20160410083943/http://www.redditblog.com/2013/05/get-ready-for-global-reddit-meetup-day.html?m=1 https://web.archive.org/web/20160410083943/http://www.reddit... (look at the most addicted cities) [3] - https://theintercept.com/2022/12/20/twitter-dod-us-military-accounts/ https://theintercept.com/2022/12/20/twitter-dod-us-military-... [4] - https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-bytedance-ban-china-india-376f32d78861e14e65ec4bc78e808a0d https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-bytedance-ban-china-india-... [5] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0j0xzuh-6rY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0j0xzuh-6rY [6] - https://networkcontagion.us/reports/the-ccps-digital-charm-offensive/ https://networkcontagion.us/reports/the-ccps-digital-charm-o... [7] - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jul/25/the-growing-list-of-chinese-elites-who-disappear-but-later-resurface-subdued https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jul/25/the-growing-li...
- lukan 2y ago"or was it Americans who got upset about Israeli treatment of civilians?" Nobody in the open knows, that is the problem. But also russian millitary bloggers are outraged by the IDF. Simply because it is war in the information sphere, not that they care about the people there. Just like China don't give a damn about them - but they can and do use it to weaken the self declared western moral leadership.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- whatshisface 2y agoIs there really any question that Americans have reacted negatively to Israeli war tactics? I think there is also a comment from an actual Romanian somewhere in this threat observing that their fellow citizens are legitimately frustrated with the two major parties.
- lukan 2y ago"Is there really any question that Americans have reacted negatively to Israeli war tactics?" No, but is there a question that china still might try to influence and leverage it?
- whatshisface 2y agoThe international marketplace of ideas may pose some risk of allowing the American system of government to fufill its potential as a representative democracy, but the officials in Washington face no hazard greater than that. :-)
- lukan 2y ago"The international marketplace of ideas " Market place implies transparent exchange of ideas. But if the TikTok algorithm is political biased, it is not a honest exchange of ideas anymore. (same goes for X's or FB, or whatever). But personally I am cool with not using those services.
- lancesells 2y agoI don't have an answer to this, but why if the algorithm can manipulate people, regardless of who directed it, why are we ok with the algorithmic content of all the platforms? I'm not much of a social media user but a lot of the argument here is the algorithm can feed propoganda that people will succumb to. Why is it ok then for Youtube to feed violence and awful behavior to people (probably to lots of kids) in the US if it's able to influence people? Is the thought that Meta and Google (both without ethics or morals) are just trying to get us to buy shit we don't need, but Tiktok is trying to get us to agree (or not agree) with their stance on x?
- cogman10 2y ago> why are we ok with the algorithmic content of all the platforms? What's the alternative? Even HN has "algorithmic content" the algorithm is based on voting and time.
- ImJamal 2y agoWhile still algorithmic, a strictly chronological timeline is not really manipulatable, at least not in the same way
- Nasrudith 2y agoSpamming is the trivial way to manipulate chronological feeds. It is so bad that they need active moderation or ranking to prevent a board from going into a state of absolute uselessness.
- ImJamal 2y agoI haven't used Facebook in 15 years, but I don't recall spam being a problem. I saw my friend's posts and replies by people who are friends with my friend. That model may not work with all social media, but as far as I remember it worked for Facebook.
- 2y ago
- glenstein 2y ago>Was it used by China, by the candidate, or by romainians? I think the allegation, implied rather than stated in this case, is that it is not predominantly any of those, but that it is predominantly the Russian state. Which would serve as an example that it's able to be mobilized, even weaponized, at the behest of state actors. China would not necessarily be culpable under this interpretation of this particular example, but it illustrates that they could exercise that same mechanism.
- Yeul 2y agoThe alternatives to TikTok are American companies led by Trumpists. Europe is surrounded by barbarians.
- codedokode 2y ago> to push an unknown, unlikable character to almost win How does it work? You simply give some money to TikTok and the whole country runs to vote for an unknown, unlikable candidate? It must have superpowers.
- chris_va 2y agohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mere-exposure_effect#cite_note-bornstein_2004-25 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mere-exposure_effect#cite_note... ... the same power as all media is sufficient
- sebastianz 2y agoThe allegations and current trial (and what looks like an upcoming European Commission investigation) seem to show that someone purchased illegal electoral ads (i.e. they were not declared as such, and financed though unclear means, by unclear parties). TikTok was required to comply with electoral law and check/enforce all this stuff but did not respond until after the elections, and apparently did not enforce these electoral laws, while pocketing all the illegal ad money.
- pphysch 2y agoPeople using new forms of media to break political status quos is a tale as old as time. This is a classic crackdown on democracy by a flailing elite, complete with the usual scapegoats.
- markus_zhang 2y agoAFAIK Romania is still a democracy. So maybe don't blame on something/someone else when the establishment doesn't take care of the people. Same with Trump. I don't agree with many of his policies but hey, did the establishment take care of the people?
- zen928 2y agoThat's strange, I don't see anywhere where they're mentioning anything about questioning the legitimacy of democracy in any country from their post. Want to quote directly what statement you think you're replying to here? Or do you think your statement isn't a goalpost shift?
- markus_zhang 2y ago> TikTok was used to push an unknown, unlikable character to almost win the presidential elections in Romania I interpreted it as questioning the democratic process. I could be wrong.
- lupusreal 2y ago> "an unknown, unlikable character to almost win the presidential elections" Nobody goes there anymore, it's too crowded.
- mjfl 2y agoThank you for point that out. What is the parent comment talking about?
- ronnier 2y agoTikTok is why Trump won his 2nd term. TikTok did not moderate away his content or moderate away pro Trump content like the other socials and Reddit. TikTok's viewership is massive and pro trump content was getting millions of views and likes and positive comments. Reddit will moderate that content away. TikTok has diminished Reddit's influence on politics.
- sethammons 2y agoAll of my TikTok feed was how poorly his turnout was, how silly his rallies were, and how dangerous it would be to elect him. Had I not also had my head outside my phone, I would have been flabbergasted by his win. So is that promoting Trump? Or is it double reversi and trying to make people more confident to not need to vote, while also telling them to go vote? It gets confusing.
- bttrpll 2y agoBut for people who were undecided/somewhat pro-Trump, it was MAGA nation nonstop. Similar to the alt-right pipeline Google supports via Youtube. It is scary.
- tetnis 2y agosuper scared right now.
- csomar 2y agoTikTok gives you what you want to see. The blue hysteria is because they can't control it the way they did with Facebook.
- properpopper 2y agoNot sure that we can use Reddit as a good example, Reddit's "Popular" page was full of anti-Trump mockery while praising Biden no matter what initially and then they switched to praising Kamala, this example is not healthy if you was looking for unbiased information about candidates.
- clueless 2y agoThe Romanian candidate doesn't believe in covid, because " you can't see it"!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j3a9oSuydBs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j3a9oSuydBs
- 8note 2y agofacebook was also used to do that in the US back in 2016, but it did not get banned from any western country as a result
- chii 2y agowhataboutism.
- epolanski 2y agoI don't believe those claims at all. 1) it's a very well known fact that 70% or so of the electorate can't be moved from their positions, even if their party said they were gonna harm them people will still not vote the other ones, thus any real advertisement or anything is gonna only impact a few % of people 2) extremism is on the rise everywhere in the world, from Germany to US, from South Africa to South America. Narratives have made centrist governments, especially those coming from larger coalitions made weak (often for good reasons) 3) we have had multiple scientists (stats, sociologists) look at these allegations of interference and no single data seems to demonstrate that political discourse on TikTok is any different than other media platforms. In fact, if anything, it seems way less controversial than other US based ones. 4) The average European finds supporting Ukraine not only a lost cause nowadays, but gives part of the blame to the west
- aguaviva 2y agoThe average European finds supporting Ukraine not only a lost cause nowadays, So what's an "average European"? You and your friends? A recent poll from Germany, for example, found solid (>60 percent) support for both sanctions against Russia, and military support for Ukraine: https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1312216/umfrage/umfrage-deutsche-ukraine-politik/ https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1312216/umfra... They would also prefer a diplomatic solution, but that doesn't mean they think "Ukraine is a lost cause".
- epolanski 2y ago> More than half of Romanians believe that Ukraine should be pressured to negotiate peace with Russia, while less than 20% think that Ukraine should continue to receive military support, according to a survey conducted in several European countries by YouGov and Datapraxis. In Italy, where I live only 55% of the polled people support sending money to Ukraine, and only 33% support sending weapons. The only Europeans I know that are very pro helping Ukraine, like where it's an exception to be sceptical are Poles. https://www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicazione/due-anni-di-guerra-in-ucraina-cosa-pensano-gli-italiani-164345 https://www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicazione/due-anni-di-guerr... https://www.romania-insider.com/romanians-ukraine-negotiate-peace-russia-survey-february-2024 https://www.romania-insider.com/romanians-ukraine-negotiate-... The average European believes that Ukraine cannot win the war (meaning getting back their 1991 territories), but that's also a reality and the opinion shared by analysts, and is honestly tired of it. This war is extremely expensive on Europe and with no realistic prospects of Ukraine going anywhere it's hard to be a die hard supporter for Zelenskis official line. In any case what happened in Romania is a tragedy. A court canceling a democratic election because one candidate allegedly got financial support from Russia (something that many parties currently ruling in Europe like Italy did too by the way) is a very disturbing fact. This should've been handled, if true, weeks ago. Not after the candidate got so many votes.