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I'd be interested to see some kind of economic analysis of this program. On its face, the government subsidizing a for-profit company that has a monopoly seems
by cowpig 3y ago
I'd be interested to see some kind of economic analysis of this program.
On its face, the government subsidizing a for-profit company that has a monopoly seems like a terrible idea. Comcast already extracts monopolistic profits and thus captures as much of the economic surplus as possible.
Given that, price caps make a lot more sense to me. That's what has worked for utilities in general. If there's only one producer, they should be negotiating with one consumer.
But maybe I don't see the whole picture. Did the subsidy agreements work as a carrot to entire Comcast to lower its prices for enough residents that it was a net benefit? Are the positive externalities of a connected population worth the cost? Did this program work in some other way than subsidy?
Would love to learn more about this if anyone has good sources
- zbrozek 3y agoIn California we have the CPUC which regulates utilities. Our three biggest utilities charge around 3x the national average for electricity. The largest--PG&E--has also been setting the state on fire and blowing up neighborhoods. It doesn't seem like this model works either.
- Retric 3y agoThe actual implementation matters, when a bridge fails the issue isn’t bridges it’s the design of that specific bridge. As the model works fine in other locations, fixing California’s issues with mismanagement/poor incentives should be the priority not simply giving up.
- hedora 3y agoFor example, for PG&E, the root cause of them blowing up that neighborhood was that the money that was supposed to go to upgrading the gas lines was embezzled and they faked the repair logs for the repairs. Now, we have no idea which lines were repaired and not. Since this started decades ago, they have to dig up and inspect a huge number of lines. Anyway, "mismanagement/poor incentives" is leaving out a lot of details involving graft and corruption, and malicious local governments. For an example of corrupt/malicious local regulators: the Golden Gate Bridge maintenance road they recently built in Marin cost more than the bridge (inflation adjusted) and took longer to plan + build as well.
- bushbaba 3y agoWhat i dont get is that you have a private company which mis managed its assets. Caused harm to the public. And the public bails them out with no equity or upside. Total shame as the CPUC could have demanded the state or rate payers get equity/bonds in the company for the bail out.
- ryandrake 3y agoThe USA basically has one politically viable solution to every problem it faces: “handing money to corporations.” That’s all Congress and States are willing to do. Electric utility graft and corruption? Hand them money. Banking failure? Hand them money. Airplanes falling apart? Hand them money. Health Care incentives misaligned? Hand them money. Poverty? Hand money to corporations that will embezzle most of it. People out of work during COVID? Hand their employers money. Top corporations getting too big and powerful? Believe it or not, hand them money. That’s the only tool in the toolbox. It’s helpful to think of Congress as a gigantic money funnel where our tax dollars go in and they take turns aiming it at their favorite corporations.
- the_optimist 3y agoThe government itself is akin to a perfect corporation: not liable, no accountability, monopoly on taking, monopoly on force. What’s this alternative that corporations that you’re alluding to?
- the_optimist 3y agoSomehow voting reveals this government-is-godlike thinking that a magic superpower is going to bestow greatness upon humanity and achieve all of its hopes and dreams. When we look for a single example of this in all of history, the result is a null set, and in most cases the saviors are monstrous. Nonetheless, somehow this hope persists. See it every time in the votes here.
- paholg 3y agoJesus, in my mind the first thing you do there is arrest a bunch of people and nationalize (or statenize I guess, or whatever the word would be) the company.
- zbrozek 3y agoWhat seems to actually work is increasing market competitiveness. The open access rules that gave us MVNOs appear to have worked great. Texas electric customers have lots of choice and lower costs under similar rules. These broadband subsidies might be too good, or at least too well captured by too few players. They may be a good idea generally, but it looks like it's time to revisit the details.
- Retric 3y agoMVNOs share infrastructure. Nowhere has competitiveness in terms of the actual grid only on the energy production and billing sides. The Texas grid is a massive failure in terms of both cost and reliability. Somewhere between 246 and 702 people were killed in 2021 when operators had already seen similar issues in 2011. Similarly people received bills that more than wiped out any long term savings they had received from hourly rate charging.
- dangus 3y agoIs Texas electric a good example? It seems like a lot of people in Texas were swindled into buying variable rate plans that caused rate spikes resulting in $5,000 electric bills. https://www.businessinsider.com/why-texas-residents-hit-with-soaring-electric-bills-winter-storms-2021-2 https://www.businessinsider.com/why-texas-residents-hit-with... ERCOT is not a model that anyone should strive to emulate. https://99percentinvisible.org/episode/grid-locked/ https://99percentinvisible.org/episode/grid-locked/
- 9659 3y agoNot a swindle. One company offered a plan where all of the electricity was purchased on the spot market. All of it. Spot market purchases of electricity are very cheap. Except when they aren't. Most months my electricity bill was 1/2 of current.
- dangus 3y agoIt’s a swindle because of the marketing of the plans and the exorbitantly high maximum rate caps. Every person who has knocked on my door to sell variable rate plans emphasizes the upside of the deal: why pay more than the current rate? You’re wasting your money on paying for the fixed rate that’s mostly higher than the going rate. Like you said, most of the time you save a good amount of money. The salespeople and marketing pamphlets emphasize that. Do you really believe that the executives at these utilities are ignorant to the fact that most of their customers don’t fully understand the implications? I think they sell the plans specifically because customers don’t understand them. Worse for Texas, their system’s market pricing setup incentivizes power utilities to minimize their overhead capacity. The closer their supply is to demand, the higher the price they can get. But it leaves very little wiggle room for emergency situations (99% Invisible has a good episode about this). Therefore, their grid is more prone to spikes in variable rate pricing than other states. Like financial instruments such as options trading, financial games like this make sense for the wealthy who have a cushion of risk tolerance. I can make more money faster with options trading compared to an index fund! But for the median and below wage earner, sudden bill surprises shouldn’t be something that the government enables for basic necessities like utilities.
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- cowpig 3y agoAre you saying the price capping model doesn't work? If so I don't follow the thought process: you're comparing California (price capped) against the national average (also mostly price capped to some degree)
- zbrozek 3y agoThat's a good criticism. The comparison is more to cellular providers where there's open access to the same underlying infrastructure, and we have consistently good pricing nationwide thanks to competition. The point in referencing national averages is to show that the electric utility model can result in sclerotic and under-performant regions that are impossible to fix.
- gamblor956 3y agoThe BLS actually maintains statistics on this, and while CA does pay higher than average prices, it's less than 2x the national average. Considering the geographic size of the electricity grid in CA, that's not surprising. A bigger grid is more expensive to build and maintain.
- zbrozek 3y agoThe average price paid for a KWh is very different than what a median customer pays for a marginal KWh. There are myriad small utilities that drag down the average price paid for a KWh in CA, but the three big IOUs cover the majority of accounts. And they all use the same transmission network.
- gamblor956 3y agoThe numbers I am citing are based on the biggest utilities, unless you do not consider PG&E to be one of CA's biggest utilities. If we included all CA utilities, CA customers would only pay slightly above the national average.
- zbrozek 3y agoI'm not sure how the US average residential retail number is weighted, but let's take it at face value at $0.1619/KWh. [1] Baseline allocations are very small (around San Francisco--territory T--you get 177 KWh/mo in the summer and 234 KWh/mo in the winter). Marginal consumption is almost guaranteed to be in the second tier. Under the old default E-1 plan, that means your marginal rate is currently $0.5257/KWh. [2] This is in excess of 3x the national retail average. But E-1 isn't the default plan any more. These days that's TOU-C. It's more difficult to come up with clean comparisons with a time-of-use plan. To keep it simple, I'll just average the rates together. The variation across time and season is not huge, so it should be good-enough approximation. Under that plan your marginal rate is around $0.5388/KWh. [3] This is also in excess of 3x the national retail average. What about at the other end of the state? I don't know as much about baselines around San Diego since I don't live there. If we use the same assumptions for SDG&E as we did for PG&E, the marginal KWh there comes out to $0.4833/KWh. [4] This is almost exactly 3x the national average retail rate. And if you're somewhere between these two utilities and on SCE? The same assumptions put you at $0.43/KWh. [5] So you're just barely under 3x the national average. [1] https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.php?t=epmt_5_6_a https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.ph... [2] https://www.pge.com/tariffs/assets/pdf/tariffbook/ELEC_SCHEDS_E-1.pdf https://www.pge.com/tariffs/assets/pdf/tariffbook/ELEC_SCHED... [3] https://www.pge.com/tariffs/assets/pdf/tariffbook/ELEC_SCHEDS_E-TOU-C.pdf https://www.pge.com/tariffs/assets/pdf/tariffbook/ELEC_SCHED... [4] https://www.sdge.com/sites/default/files/regulatory/1-1-24%20Schedule%20DR%20Total%20Rates%20Table.pdf https://www.sdge.com/sites/default/files/regulatory/1-1-24%2... [5] https://www.sce.com/residential/rates/Standard-Residential-Rate-Plan#tab2 https://www.sce.com/residential/rates/Standard-Residential-R...
- hedora 3y agoI'd like to see this as well. I suspect the money would be better spent subsidizing/establishing community-owned ISPs in underserved areas. There are still old telephone co-ops from the early days of the telephone in the US. The one I'm thinking of is extremely rural (population density is < 2 people per square mile), with a median county household income under $25K. They put in fiber to the home years ago, and 1GBit symmetric is well under $100 a month. (They have cheaper plans too.) Similarly, some places have started using companies like this: http://nextlevelnetworks.ca http://nextlevelnetworks.ca You pay them to build out a local fiber network. You just pay the line installation, and then the community owns the network. The minimum project size is about 100 houses because that leads to a $100/month per house bill from the incumbent network's $10,000/month fiber uplink. Concretely, imagine there was a subsidy for any area that doesn't have 1GBit symmetric for under $100 a month. Starting in the poorest communities, use the ACP money to establish a local co-op (per community, creating jobs) that charges 1.1x the cost of the fiber uplink per month, and saves 10% for network expansion / maintenance. The ACP burned through $14.2B since 2021. It costs about $10K to run fiber to a house (it's almost all labor, so in urban areas you have short runs with high cost of living for the workers, and in rural areas you have long unobstructed runs with low cost of living). They could have wired 1.4M low income houses for fiber with that money, and the co-ops could then charge the houses well under $100 per month for connectivity.
- cowpig 3y agoThis thought process makes some sense to me, though I have doubts about the implementation. Is fiber really the best fit for rural areas? What about some kind of wireless solution? Surely that would be more cost-effective?
- hedora 3y agoWireless could also work, but it requires line of sight, and you have to put it on a roof / poll, which isn't always feasible. Another subtle problem with rural wireless is that you have to point to a well-connected area, so the cheapest way to service houses that are on the side of the hill facing away from town is often either fiber or putting the tower in orbit. Otherwise, you'd need to run a fiber trunk line to the middle of nowhere to support the ISP side of the wireless link. Fiber has the property that you can run it in parallel to existing power lines, so any house with power already has an existing right of way to piggyback on (owned by the wrong person, but imminent domain exists). Also, you can choose to trench the fiber or run it on telephone polls. If I were running things, I'd look into strategically deploying fiber-to-the-home to areas with good line of sight to poorly connected areas, and then use a hub and spoke network topology where the spokes are directional wireless and some of the homes are hubs. That creates a second order problem though: You need backup power at the hubs or parts of the network will go down when the electricity goes out. Long term, it's probably cheaper to maintain a network of buried fiber than it is to maintain the electricity infrastructure needed to keep the towers online.
- jdksmdbtbdnmsm 3y ago>price caps make a lot more sense to me. Will never happen. Comcast has the power, not the politicians. As Marx showed us 150 years ago, a state under capitalism tends to become a capitalist state.
- rtkwe 3y agoThe idea on paper I think was to encourage building out the infrastructure to areas that would not otherwise be profitable enough to build to by increasing the number of available customers in a poor neighborhood. Personally I think it's a tough spot. Infrastructure projects like ISP connections are best done once to a residence like power or water/sewer which is usually a city or heavily regulated natural monopoly. Ideally you could have the city run fiber to residences in the metro area and companies could compete for the service across those wires if we wanted to cling to markets like some places do with various billing providers for electrical power.
- coryrc 3y agoHow about we just stop subsidizing rural living and force big city liberals to allow more housing?
- gnicholas 3y agoPrice caps could make sense, but in my experience the more important missing piece is a requirement that a lower tier be offered. Comcast keeps upping their lowest tier, and raising the price concomitantly. I started out at 12Mbps and am now at 80. I don’t remotely need 80, and would love to pay half of my current rate for half of my current speed. I’d even pay 2/3 of my cost for 1/3 of my speed. But Comcast does not offer a tier below 80/10 in my area.
- kulshan 3y agoThe program had/has many ISP participants, my small local fiber company participates ATT and Comcast just streamlined the application for their customers with applications on their sites, otherwise you apply with the government's ACP site which takes about an extra month longer to be approved. If approved it provides a $30 month credit to the ISP. There's a huge need for subsidizing the internet for low income elderly/rural folks though. That's the intent. I work in digital equity and inclusion so tons of my learners/clients utilized the ACP. These are not middle class folks utilizing a loophole. I'm skeptical of these loophole claims as I know many who were denied for being ever so slightly over the poverty level. So sure, on one hand giving more dollars to Comcast seems terrible, but that's like not wanting a school lunch free program because it's going to benefit Sysco or Aramark. There is a real need for helping low income access the internet.