3 ms·
> Sure but procedural complications are actually quite rare, as alluded to in this article. article actually says that perforation (requires emergency surgery
by riku_iki 3y ago
> Sure but procedural complications are actually quite rare, as alluded to in this article.
article actually says that perforation (requires emergency surgery as per article) is between 1 to 100 and 1 to 20000 base on some studies, which sounds very high if it is not mistake.
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- timr 3y agoThe high end of that range is much higher than the baseline rates of colon cancer (also mentioned in the article), which are 90/100,000 in the USA. That's one thing that I wish the author had spent more time on.
- riku_iki 3y ago90/100k cancer rate is likely annual rate, while complication rate is likely per procedure, so you would need to multiply cancer rate by 3 (avg years between procedures) to have reasonable comparison.
- timr 3y agoYou can't just multiply by 3 (it's smaller than that), but yes, you need to adjust both. https://planetcalc.com/7044/ https://planetcalc.com/7044/ (Just to be clear: this is the wrong model. An annual rate of cancer (X%) at a population aggregate does not mean that you have X% independent probability of getting cancer per year. But even assuming that was true, you couldn't just multiply by 3.)
- haldujai 3y ago1 in 100 is old data, 1 to 20000 is not high. The study they cited had 0 in 12000. The real number is closer to 20000, both from more recent literature and personal experience.