5 ms·

Now down to 19%. Starting to stabilize, at 143 forecasters.

• alexose 3y ago
  The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000 https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000
  • Mizza 3y ago
    Some schmo with an instant coffee company. There's no need to surface random people's opinions.
    • nancyhn 3y ago
      Einstein was some schmo working at a patent office...
    • rcpt 3y ago
      But it's tech instant coffee
    • fijiaarone 3y ago
      1000 to 1? Dollars to bitcoins? Shares in their room temperature superconductor monopoly?
    • mrtranscendence 3y ago
      I mean, he has a PhD in physics, at least. He's not just some rando off the street.
      • oefrha 3y ago
        I was a high energy theorist and I even went to the same school as this guy (Princeton). I’ll admit I’m a complete rando when it comes to superconducting materials. PhD in an unrelated subfield means very little. I guess it helps with grokking academic drama.
  • madacol 3y ago
    For context, he is the same guy that went viral yesterday[0] excited with optimism, now saying there are other more possible explanations for the results besides superconductivity [0]: https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684044616528453633 https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684044616528453633
    • mustacheemperor 3y ago
      Just to keep us all up to date, he’s now linked a figure from the recently discovered third paper and returned to breathless excitement.
• fijiaarone 3y ago
  Alright, I’ll give you 10:1 odds.