3 ms·
> People still really find it hard to internalize exponential improvement. I think people find it harder to not extrapolate initial exponential improvement, as
by slingnow 4y ago
> People still really find it hard to internalize exponential improvement.
I think people find it harder to not extrapolate initial exponential improvement, as evidenced by your comment.
> My immediate thought was always, "Yes, the current version can't, but what about a few weeks or months from now?"
This reasoning explains why every year, full self driving automobiles will be here "next year".
- jimbokun 4y agoWhen do we hit the bend in the S-curve? What's the fundamental limit where it becomes much more difficult to improve these systems without some new break through?