3 ms·
> bottom 10% to top 10% of LSAT in <1 generation? +100 pts on SAT reading, writing, math? Top 1% In GRE Reading? People still really find it hard to internaliz
by jimbokun 4y ago
> bottom 10% to top 10% of LSAT in <1 generation? +100 pts on SAT reading, writing, math? Top 1% In GRE Reading?
People still really find it hard to internalize exponential improvement.
So many evaluations of LLMs were saying things like "Don't worry, your job is safe, it still can't do X and Y."
My immediate thought was always, "Yes, the current version can't, but what about a few weeks or months from now?"
- snozolli 4y agoI'm also noticing a lot of comments that boil down to "but it's not smarter than the smartest human". What about the bottom 80% of society, in terms of intelligence or knowledge?
- slingnow 4y ago> People still really find it hard to internalize exponential improvement. I think people find it harder to not extrapolate initial exponential improvement, as evidenced by your comment. > My immediate thought was always, "Yes, the current version can't, but what about a few weeks or months from now?" This reasoning explains why every year, full self driving automobiles will be here "next year".
- jimbokun 4y agoWhen do we hit the bend in the S-curve? What's the fundamental limit where it becomes much more difficult to improve these systems without some new break through?