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It seems our difference in opinion comes from our definition of value. I know people point to the current system and infrastructure of stock exchanges, SWIFT,
by RustyConsul 5y ago
It seems our difference in opinion comes from our definition of value.
I know people point to the current system and infrastructure of stock exchanges, SWIFT, the IMF, Central Banks, Retail and Commercial Banks, Internet Banks (Such as Stripe, Paypal, ETC.), Credit Unions, Savings and Loan Associations, Investment Banks and Companies, Brokerage Firms, Insurance Companies as working good enough. But for me... Occams razor hits me hard. Doesn't it seem weird that through this complex system of interactions, we can recreate all of that in Code? If there was no value in it, why did we create all those institutions in the first place?
If we can recreate those in a more humane, democratized, decentralized way, I think it's worth the .001% of the global financial system that it currently is. Even if it's grabbing 5% of the current headlines.
- arcticbull 5y ago> Doesn't it seem weird that through this complex system of interactions, we can recreate all of that in Code? All of these systems are already software. > If there was no value in it, why did we create all those institutions in the first place? Centralization makes them massively more efficient than crypto. If there was a way to make them more efficient that did not involve throwing risk models out the window or regulatory arbitrage, someone could just do that in the traditional economy without crypto. This is a lot like the programmer tendency to want to re-write instead of refactor because to understand a system is way harder than to set out on a quest to build a new one. Although they always end up the same way: at best what you started with. To me this falls squarely under Spolsky's "things you should never do." [1] There hasn't been a single actual competitive business built on top of crypto in fourteen years. That's because they're all hamstrung by the massive inefficiencies they boat-anchor to their solutions. Decentralization and trustlessness and permissionlessness don't matter at all to 99.9% of humans. Attempting to offer these is incredibly inefficient and makes it totally uncompetitive with centralized solutions for every legal use case. I would argue it fails Occam's razor to try and add miners to a monetary system. The simplest, most efficient, most economical solution to moving value around is centralization. If there's a better way to solve any of the given problems with crypto, there's an easy way to optimize it further: get rid of crypto. [1] https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2000/04/06/things-you-should-never-do-part-i/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2000/04/06/things-you-should-...
- tevon 5y agoI completely agree with this; the prior example given for bitcoins value (that it is used in defi for flash loans, etc) is literally deriving its value from moving value around (internal to the crypto ecosystem). Flash loans are used to arbitrage across exchanges, not create any extrinsic value.
- RustyConsul 5y agoYeah! Isn't it fantastic? You solve the double spend problem you have in traditional finance! Due to this emergent phenomena of smart contracts you can have very low slippage between exchanges, high liquidity and high yields. A.K.A Every stock market financiers dream.
- RustyConsul 5y agoDo you think we will forever be organized and segregated by governments? Do you ever think a human being can be a sovereign individual in his own right, without owing fealty, taxes and morality to a government in some future? The current financial system is not all software. When i pay in crypto, i give you my money. When i pay in the current financial system I am giving you every bit of information to rob me blind and hoping you don't take it all. My currency(Value i produce) is not my own and at any moment in time some outside entity can cause rapid inflation, devaluing of my currency or take everything i own straight out of my bank account. My contracts are not upheld by code, but by courts of law. I have to do a credit check to outside entity's to ensure you've got the collateral to extend you a loan. I have to physically go into a bank, have a minimum balance, an address, a phone number in order to even have a bank account. That doesn't sound like all code to me. Also, you're right. POW as a consensus method is flawed. But again, all V3 cryptos have essentially transitioned to delegated proof of stake at this point. Lastly, in a generation of cancel culture gone wild and as an avid reader of history, I'm glad crypto is available to me as the nation-state that we've all known and loved is looking more and more stressed. If you still claim there's absolutely no value in any of it, then me and you have very different definitions of the term. Edit: There are 104 protocols/coins that have over $1B market cap. Value isn't a personal judgement, it's a group one.
- jcranmer 5y ago> Doesn't it seem weird that through this complex system of interactions, we can recreate all of that in Code? If there was no value in it, why did we create all those institutions in the first place? One of the primary reasons for the rise of the complex system of interactions, as you put it, is trust. A lot of financial interactions require dealing with people who might not merely not have your best interests at heart but are literally in diametric opposition to your interests--several financial transactions are inherently zero-sum. So you need mechanisms that give you trust that your counterparty will actually honor their side of the transaction. Code fundamentally does not provide trust--indeed, you might even say it is the antithesis of trust. Even accomplished software developers are frequently unable to write code that works in edge cases or even slightly abnormal operation. For regular users, code is as opaque as if it were written in Linear B. Indeed, to popular sentiment, software is often equated with a learned notion of bugginess--people tolerate the frequent mistakes of their computers far more than we would any other piece of equipment. And the cryptocurrency community takes their misunderstanding of trust to new levels. I mean, we're being told by people like you that we shouldn't trust the government, but instead trust code [that the lay person can't and won't understand] written by people like the owners of Tether--people who have been convicted of stealing people's money and, in the history of their own company, lied about what they were doing. As Matt Levine put it, only in the cryptocurrency industry is "we may be charlatans who will run off with all your money" literally something people feel necessary to put in their risk prospectus.
- jkhdigital 5y agoI've been a big fan of Matt Levine's commentary on crypto--he doesn't get all histrionic and judgmental because he knows (and his regular readers know) that whatever craziness is happening in crypto is basically exactly what happens in traditional finance, just dialed up a notch or two. His column a couple weeks ago about the "main move" in finance (i.e. transmuting an amorphous pile of risk into tranches with radically different riskiness) and how this explains Tether was absolutely brilliant.
- imtringued 5y agoNobody wanted Freicoin.