3 ms·
Wasn't the first patient in France confirmed, post-factum, to have been in November or October 2019? What would be the chances that US people travel to China le
by lrem 5y ago
Wasn't the first patient in France confirmed, post-factum, to have been in November or October 2019? What would be the chances that US people travel to China less than the French?
- orwin 5y ago1/ The first confirmed case in France was late-december, probably infected mid-december. So the first case in France it a least in december. We can try to infere more but this is only speculation. 2/ Well, actually... So we French have a huge Chinese immigrant population, and a lot of Chinese students. Weirdly enough, of those i met and spoke with when i was a student or at my company (including my scrum master right now), none of them came from the coastal cities. I don't know why, maybe because the universities used to be basically free for them until 2018 (and are still pretty cheap, 5k/y i think?). I wouldn't be that surprised if France was the first foreign country infected by SRAS-Cov2. Wouldn't bet on it, but wouldn't be surprised.
- redis_mlc 5y agoWe know corona was in China in Sept. 2019 from the full hospitals in Wuhan depicted in satellite fotos, and outside China around that time from sewage sampling analysis in Europe. Beyond that there aren't a lot of specifics. US health officials are reviewing death certificates, and sometimes re-classifying very early 2020 deaths as corona, but not always consistently. (The San Jose Mercury News recently had an exclusive article on this.) But there hasn't been an explanation of how SF could get corona so early (2019) yet have so few reported deaths from it.