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The article proves itself a little bit pointless by closing with this without any elaboration: > Although fatality estimates are important for understanding th
by jfoster 6y ago
The article proves itself a little bit pointless by closing with this without any elaboration:
> Although fatality estimates are important for understanding the risk of viral spread to people in different age groups, they don’t tell the full story of the toll COVID-19 takes, says Kilpatrick. “There is a fascination with death, but COVID-19 appears to cause a substantial amount of long-term illness,” he adds.
I've been very surprised by how little attention the media gives to the damage that covid does to people, but here's a few articles:
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/jul/13/heart-scans-of-covid-19-patients-show-range-of-abnormalities https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/jul/13/heart-scans-...
https://www.smh.com.au/national/seizures-and-battered-heart-how-covid-19-scarred-a-healthy-sydney-doctor-20200802-p55hqj.html https://www.smh.com.au/national/seizures-and-battered-heart-...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2020/08/17/covid-19-can-cause-heart-damageeven-if-you-are-asymptomatic/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2020/08/17/covid-...
It makes me wonder what's going to happen in a few years from now in the countries that haven't controlled covid well. Will there be a huge demand for new types of medical treatments to help covid survivors?
- tyfon 6y agoI had something with symptoms similar to corona in March but there was not enough tests to get me prioritised (40 year old healthy male, 22.5 BMI). It wasn't too bad but it lasted three weeks and I still have periodic shortness of breath and fatigue and my doctor has no clue what to do. I hope it's not permanent. Death is definitely not the only bad outcome.
- burtonator 6y agoThis is one of the reasons I've been so careful and paranoid. It's a new disease and yes, some people recover with no issues but we just don't know what's going to happen. I'm 44 now and one thing I've learned the hard way is that injuries DO NOT reverse themselves. You recover 90% but the remaining 10% is just lost forever.
- chasd00 6y agoreminds me of the meme human body: i can produce a fully functioning human being in 9 months, complete with a skeleton, brain, digestive track, the whole 9 yards! person: great, when will my ankle start feeling better? human body: a full year and it will never be the same
- treeman79 6y agoWe toss out electronics these days because it’s easier to replace than repair. Unfortunately our bodies follow this same principle. From nature stand point. Have kids in late teens, by mid 30s the cycle is already starting again. Repairing body beyond 30s is a luxury. I’ve lived in areas where girls are all on 4th kid by 24. Men’s ages all over the place Moved to “nicer” areas where 35-45 is first kid for woman. The man is at least 10 years older. We have good friends in each side Very different perspectives in each group.
- cperciva 6y agoMoved to “nicer” areas where 35-45 is first kid for woman. The man is at least 10 years older. Men aren't having kids until they're 45-55 then? That seems extreme -- how do they find the energy to deal with young kids at that age?
- treeman79 6y agoThe men work non stop. Woman are all stay at home.
- cperciva 6y agoI don't know if I'd say 9 months gets you a fully functioning human being.
- samatman 6y agoThey can scream, eat, and poop, what else can you really ask for.
- Tasboo 6y agoSimilar situation. I'm in my early 30s. I had symptoms for 3-4 weeks (coughing, mild fever, covid toes) starting in early April, but I didn't qualify for testing because I hadn't had any contact with anyone that was known to be infected. Since then I've had many random bouts of fatigue and I've had random severe digestive issues as well that have yet to be explained. I have had several tests done and have monitored my eating and resting habits, but nothing has been able to explain either of them. I was able to get a nasal swab test done in June when community wide testing finally opened up in my area, but it came out negative. The whole thing has been so frustrating to deal with because I don't know and may not ever know if this was for sure Covid related.
- scarface74 6y agoNot Covid related, but something happened to me around 2012. Pre-2012,I was a part time fitness instructor and runner with slight exercised induced asthma but it was controllable. I went into the hospital for a week for severe asthma, has coughing spells for a year and my lungs haven’t been right since. It’s not as bad and I can do some level of resistance exercise, but I never fully recovered. I’m paranoid about getting Covid. I know how terrifying it is not to be able to breathe and how irritating it is not to be able to do slight strenuous day to day activities without giving out of breathe for a couple of years afterward.
- altgeek 6y agoGet an MD with environmental medicine credentials to test you for mold exposure (quick googling comes up with https://selfhack.com/blog/c4a/ https://selfhack.com/blog/c4a/) I was exposed twice to high mold spore environment; it was an enclosed space on a neglected boat. I still feel it two years later.
- corpMaverick 6y agoYou made me wonder if Oral antifungal drugs may be effective. Like the ones used for toe nail fungus.
- notabee 6y agoI can relate to this story. Went through something similar, though with different symptoms. Just never recovered completely after an illness, even after years. No definite or discernable cause. There seem to be lots of triggers for latent autoimmune issues and other inflammatory problems. I think that there are also lots of things like novel species-hopping viruses that randomly get a few people but never become contagious enough to turn into pandemics. It's not like doctors have or use tests to identify most viruses, unless it's the flu or a pandemic. The one silver lining to Covid is that perhaps more research will go into these "long haul" illnesses that result from viral infections or other traumas.
- ahelwer 6y agoIf you're in the USA, Red Cross is giving free coronavirus antibody tests when you go donate blood so they can get more convalescent plasma donors. I was very mildly ill a couple weeks back (wasn't worth getting tested at the time with 6-10 days turnaround) so I've scheduled my appointment to donate blood this Tuesday. Supposedly blood antibody levels drop to undetectable levels a couple of months after infection though (note: we still have T cells for long term immunity) so this might not be useful for you.
- tyfon 6y agoI'm in Norway, but I guess I could just get an antibody test. Not sure if it would benefit me though. Could do it just for curiosity perhaps :)
- ahelwer 6y agoAt least it'll give you some info about whether you're likely to make it when a really bad pandemic comes along. I thought I was being fairly careful - extremely diligent with masks, surgical-prep-style handwashing, disinfecting my phone, working entirely from home, leaving my apartment about once every two days for groceries or to go to a climbing gym (limited pre-registration required, masks mandatory, socially distanced, hand sanitizer everywhere, obviously this one was still a bit of a risk). So I guess we'll see whether or not my precautions were sufficient.
- tacocataco 6y agoDoes the person getting the blood have to pay for it?
- ahelwer 6y agoWell, Red Cross sells the blood to hospitals to recoup costs (not for profit) and from there it enters the regular for-profit American healthcare system. So I guess they do, yes.
- Pfhreak 6y agoThis is the most grim thing I've read in a while. Get your free test, the price is only a pound of blood and an hour of your time. In Seattle, at least, you can just go get a free test in a drive thru with almost 0 hassle and no cost. This is the way it should be -- as accessible as possible and free. Otherwise you'll have infected folks skipping testing.
- oxymoran 6y agoNot saying this is true in your case, but hypochondria is much more prevalent than we give due. Myself included. Anxiety plays tricks on the brain causing people to actually experience all kinds of symptoms that would otherwise not exist. And we are drowning in anxiety these days. Are these long term covid cases showing objective complaints? Are the lungs still damaged when imaged? Or are we relying on subjective complaints? I know there have been a few documented cases of myocarditis which is clearly objective in nature, but that’s all I have seen.
- tyfon 6y agoYeah I'm not ruling out the "placebo" either! But I can feel a distinct difference and the shortness of breath always comes with the fatigue. It's too early to have any proper long term studies, but I think SARS gave lung damage to quite a few of the patients that lasted a long time [1]. [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41413-020-0084-5 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41413-020-0084-5
- samatman 6y agoIt's a valid question, if a bit callous. One of my mutuals on Twitter is a highly active young woman, who does things like spend time in Thailand to train Muay Thai. She's been doing what she can to recover, but it's been slow going. Covid long-haulers are a real thing, that much I'm convinced of. How prevalent it is, is an open question.
- sjg007 6y agoYou probably had covid so see if you can get a antibody test but don't rule it out if you test negative. You can weigh the likelihood of this based on prevalence in your local community and if you know anyone who had covid and how your social distancing was in March. Also get a pulse oximeter and ask your doctor for one of those lung function devices aka an incentive spirometer (you breathe into them). Get a normal pulse ox when you feel ok and when you have shortness of breath, take your pulse ox again. There is also evidence of chronic fatigue syndrome caused by covid.
- nradov 6y agoThere is some evidence to support respiratory muscle training to improve lung function. https://www.powerbreathe.com/ https://www.powerbreathe.com/
- vmception 6y agoPeople talk about it, they just get effectively censored on consensus based websites like this because even the data-driven crowd is full of people that will cry “fearmongering!!” Specifically because the data doesn’t exist yet so they have a coping mechanism shunning all discussion of possibilities
- boringusername 6y agoThat’s a really complicated way to say you have no evidence.
- vmception 6y agoResources have to be allocated to determine evidence after collections of anecdotes. That's how data is collected to have a data-driven conclusion.
- benjaminwootton 6y agoNot sure if it’s the circles I move in, but it seems that the people questioning whether “the cure is worse than the disease” are the ones who are being silenced. The media coverage and social media narrative is very doom laden and fearful, so there are no shortage of places to discuss that. Whilst the people highlighting the 99.9% survival rate unless you are very old or sick and questioning whether nuking your economy is worth it have a very socially unacceptable view. It’s been a strange and isolating experience for me to hold a minority socially unacceptable view throughout this whole thing. I feel for minority groups much more nowadays having experienced it.
- somewhereoutth 6y agoThere is no parallel whatsoever between belonging to a minority group and having a minority opinion.
- rootusrootus 6y agoAs someone who predominantly self-identifies as progressive, on the rare occasion that I've found myself in a minority position I have been amazed at how vicious the condemnation and ridicule is. It has helped temper my own reaction when talking with other people who don't share my ideals.
- noch 6y ago> how little attention the media gives to the damage that covid does to people https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/08/long-haulers-covid-19-recognition-support-groups-symptoms/615382/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/08/long-haul... https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/06/covid-19-coronavirus-longterm-symptoms-months/612679/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/06/covid-19-... https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19positive/ https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19positive/
- eanzenberg 6y agoAll the articles I’ve read on this use anecdotal evidence. I haven’t seen much in any peer reviewed sense. From a scientific sense, what we’re looking for is something like “Covid causes a 50% increase in the occurrence of asthma.” It can be a rough estimate. In fact, given the omission across the scientific world and given the vast amounts of data, my estimate is there are no or mild after effects of covid. 25-50% of people in certain areas have gotten covid. A comparison to baseline is required. Having covid one day and developing seizures the next does not determine causation, as your prior is baseline.
- NationalPark 6y agoThere are no gold-standard longitudinal studies on the impact of COVID because it's only been around for a year or so. There is a substantial amount of preliminary research on so-called "long haulers" and on indicators left behind in asymptomatic patients such as heart and lung damage. I'm not sure what omissions you're talking about, or where you're looking for this stuff and not finding it. I recommend listening to the podcast This Week In Virology which is run by infectious disease experts (including some dual PhD MDs) and covers the bleeding edge of the research. A lot of people are out there doing their best to gather and synthesize the limited data we have right now.
- eanzenberg 6y agoSo, the IFR was estimated back with the princess cruise to something like 0.5-0.8%. That’s pretty damn accurate for an article out in April? If there were serious effects of Covid we’d have heard about it with multiple articles from the science community. All there is now is conjecture, opinion and anecdotes.
- notabee 6y agoFatality is a binary measure for which early numbers are easy to get. You catch the illness and you either survive or don't, with some fatalities at a delay. (Diamond Princess did have some people that took months to perish afterwards) Other effects require long periods of observation, and more granular measures of degree of impact. That research is ongoing now, and you seem to be deliberately wanting to misunderstand the nature of the problem.
- dalore 6y agoI'm a bit confused, I'm hearing lots about long term consequences, but then I hear that most cases are asymptomatic. Can someone who is asymptomatic have really have long term consequences? If so, wouldn't they have symptoms?
- throwaway5752 6y agoJust search for asymptomatic covid cardiomyopathy
- dr_dshiv 6y agoAlso, it can be hard to tell when covid19 severity occurs as a result of undiagnosed preexisting heart conditions, versus causing heart conditions
- throwaway5752 6y agoYes, but it is similat to the long term side effects from sars-cov-1, is in alignment with the pathology of moderate and severe cases, is in alignmnent with the type multi-organ damage observed... It might be hard to specifically tell for one person, but it seems very likely to me, speaking as a layman (and I believe there are academic papers that support it).
- rch 6y agoI've been interpreting the situation as: -- most cases are asymptomatic. -- some asymptomatic cases have e.g. detectable heart and lung problems. -- some people have long term consequences. ...these points are not mutually exclusive.
- dr_dshiv 6y agoSure would be nice to have prevalence data on these!
- necrotic_comp 6y ago"asymptomatic" in the Covid context means "no external symptoms". One of the quirks of this disease is that it does damage to the lungs and reduces oxygenation without any obvious external signs (see the reports from doctors of people texting when their blood oxygen levels were otherwise extraordinarily low) and there are now reports of people having lung damage when they otherwise did not present as sick. So yes, it appears that it is possible to have long term damage even if it didn't seem that you were sick at first.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoAny serious infection causes long-lasting damage. Even with bog-standard viral pneumonia, many people take 3-6 months to fully recover, and some people never feel as healthy as they did before. It's good to acknowledge that the harm of the disease goes beyond just people who die to it, but the media doesn't pay a huge amount of attention because it's not covid-specific.
- mikem170 6y agoCovid doesn't seem to be different that the flu in this regard. Any disease that has a fever component will leave some with long lasting problems. Any disease that infects the lungs will do the same. There has been nothing indicating that covid is unique in this regard. For example, here's a paper going over heart inflamation and the flu, going over data gathered in the last 100 years [0]. > During the Sheffield, England influenza epidemic from 1972 to 1973, the cases of 50 consecutive patients who were initially diagnosed as mild cases and were treated on an outpatient basis were followed. Transient electrocardiogram (ECG) changes were seen in 18 patients, and long-lasting changes were seen in 5 patients. [0] http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.685.8394&rep=rep1&type=pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.685...
- snowwrestler 6y agoWe really need to stop comparing it to the flu. The way this novel coronavirus infects the body is different from influenza, and the symptoms of COVID-19 are different. We don't fully understand COVID-19 but those conclusions are very well supported by what we do know. Sure, flu and COVID-19 can both have long-term effects on the body. But that's true of many disparate diseases. What matters for long-term care are the details that are specific to each disease. At this point bringing up the flu in discussions of COVID-19 is basically a form of "what-aboutism".
- jjcon 6y ago> Woosh You missed the entire point of their post - you shouldn’t believe something without evidence and there is no evidence COVID is special wrt long term complications.
- snowwrestler 6y ago> The lungs from patients with Covid-19 also showed distinctive vascular features, consisting of severe endothelial injury associated with the presence of intracellular virus and disrupted cell membranes. Histologic analysis of pulmonary vessels in patients with Covid-19 showed widespread thrombosis with microangiopathy. Alveolar capillary microthrombi were 9 times as prevalent in patients with Covid-19 as in patients with influenza (P<0.001). In lungs from patients with Covid-19, the amount of new vessel growth — predominantly through a mechanism of intussusceptive angiogenesis — was 2.7 times as high as that in the lungs from patients with influenza (P<0.001). https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2015432 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2015432 This is a study of the lungs of people who died. Obviously more study is needed, but it's not unreasonable to infer that people who survive COVID-19 would experience symptoms that most flu patients do not. > there is no evidence COVID is special wrt long term complications. Since this coronavirus is novel, and COVID-19 is a new disease, of course there are not long-term studies yet. The lack of long-term data does not provide any support for (or against) the idea that its long-term impact is similar to the flu. So we have to look at what we do know so far, which is that it is different from the flu in many ways.
- wk_end 6y ago> https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2020/08/17/covid-19-can-cause-heart-damageeven-if-you-are-asymptomatic/#454cae506cef https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2020/08/17/covid-... The study this references turned out to be based on bogus data and bad statistics. The original authors since amended their data and don't back down from their conclusions, but they seem a bit unjustified (IMO, and the opinion of their critics). Here's the tweetstorm (sorry) from the professor that initially called this out [1], the acknowledgement of the errors [2], and the tweetstorm (again, sorry) from that professor again pointing out that the corrected data shows "Covid survivors DO have thingies in their T1. But it is JUST AS COMMON in people with similar risk factors who have NOT had Covid. In other words, yes there are those funny thingies in the scan, but it is NOTHING TO DO WITH HAVING HAD COVID. It is because of the background risk factors" [3]. Here's a news article summing this all up nicely, if you prefer [4]. [1] https://twitter.com/ProfDFrancis/status/1288246926392070145?s=20 https://twitter.com/ProfDFrancis/status/1288246926392070145?... [2] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/2770024 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/... [3] https://twitter.com/ProfDFrancis/status/1298524305945436161 https://twitter.com/ProfDFrancis/status/1298524305945436161 [4] https://www.tctmd.com/news/message-unchanged-say-researchers-criticized-covid-19-cmr-study https://www.tctmd.com/news/message-unchanged-say-researchers...
- jtbayly 6y agoIn other words, the following paragraph from Forbes is fake news: > The researchers, who performed MRI scan of their hearts an average of 2 months after they first were diagnosed with Covid-19, uncovered some concerning findings: 78% of patients had ongoing heart abnormalities and 60 percent had myocarditis, inflammation of the heart muscle. Even more concerning was that the extent of myocarditis was not related to the severity of the initial illness or overall course of the illness. This is so important. I'm so sick of people on either "side" faking data to prove their presuppositions on this.
- LetThereBeNick 6y ago>I’m so sick of people on either “side” faking data to prove their presuppositions on this. I don’t think this research is carried out with ulterior motives. Scientists make mistakes, and are prone to biases whenever they have a hypothesis. The progression of repeated studies is the final arbiter of truth. Saying that long-term heart abnormalities would be faked to push an agenda is suggesting the existence of a conspiracy. Beyond the usual “publish or perish” drive, nobody stands to benefit from reporting results either way.
- DyslexicAtheist 6y agoas someone who fits the risk-group and wasn't able to attend funerals of a close childhood friend, ... I have a job-interview next week and been pondering how will I answer the question "where do you see yourself in 5 years" ... and should they really be _this_ insensitive to ask then I'll answer "on a respirator, probably" ... I'm equally worried about the long term mental health issues people will suffer due to loss of jobs, and the domino effects that come from it (divorce, default on their debts, etc). Suicide rates will go through the roof. I think the secondary effects will in size be a lot larger than the reported number of people who have died + those who suffer from long term health-damage. Then there are those who missed cancer treatments, or who don't want to risk going in for chemo because they're equally worried about infecting themselves by leaving the house.