6 ms·
I kind of doubt most of these. My prediction: 1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / di
by lettergram 7y ago
I kind of doubt most of these. My prediction:
1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur.
2. we will have further centralization of the internet
3. Solar will only account for 10k Gw
4. Agree that nuclear will make a massive resurgence
5. Gas will still be the dominate power source for mobile transportation, but less so. This is because gas prices will fall.
6. Saudi Arabia will have a violent revolution
7. California housing market will collapse due to high electricity prices, lack of electricity and wildfires
10. Meat will be nearly as prevalent today, but wild caught fish will be virtually no more
11. Self driving vehicles will operate in many of the non-heavily effected weather states. Laws will be passed to regulate and exclude some states after fatalities
12. Marijuana will be legal federally
13. Government will start accessing Alexa, Google, Siri recordings and public will be made aware
14. China will start using / building power projection in states it can. Specifically to protect food
- trentnix 7y agoI'd bet the farm, all the farms, that your list turns out more correct than the one at the link. The item on your list I have the biggest issue with is 10. We'll still be catching plenty of fish in the wild (but some places that fish are plentiful today won't be that way) in another 10 years.
- graycat 7y agoBlank.
- runarberg 7y agoEven if over fishing is under control there is still an issue with climate change and everything that comes with it, including ocean acidification, ocean current disruptions, migrations of pervasive alien species, collapse of important local populations (due to the above). So even if over fishing is not a threat any more, our ocean food source is still at huge risk.
- andrepd 7y ago>China will fall >Saudi will have a violent revolution Very very unfortunately, this sounds more like wishful thinking than a reasonable prediction. The ways in which modern states can maintain power and suppress their people is overwhelming. China can and has built perhaps the most oppressive totalitarian state ever to have existed. Saudi is diversifying its absurd wealth to resist downturns in oil, and the "first world" is still hapelly grovelling and kissing the rings of that disgusting despot, selling them weapons and propping them up diplomatically. All in all, I don't have my hopes up. It's all rather depressing.
- jsmonkey 7y agoYep, and the thing is that most Chinese don't even mind the high level of control for the time being. I don't see any significant large scale instability as long as the material quality of life continues to improve for the average Chinese.
- magduf 7y agoThis is probably pretty normal historically. People start rebelling not just because of restrictions on freedom, but usually because their quality of life sucks. See what's happening in Hong Kong: they don't like the increasing Chinese oppression, sure, but they also have some serious quality-of-life complaints too, namely with housing prices. When people are fat and comfortable, they tend not to rock the boat too much for vague ideals.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- DoreenMichele 7y ago>China will fall >Saudi will have a violent revolution Very very unfortunately, this sounds more like wishful thinking than a reasonable prediction. The truly troublesome part is that predictions about social phenomenon can be self-fulfilling prophesy. If you basically want to see a bloody revolution instead of a better solution, that actively increases the odds of it happening.
- throwlaplace 7y ago>1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur. >6. Saudi Arabia will have a violent revolution why do people make these kinds of predictions. they're so uninformed it's beyond the pale. china and SA are two of the most authoritarian and simultaneously well-funded (effective and efficient) governments on the planets -- we're not talking libya here (let alone syria, venezuela which still stand in their pre-upheavel form). how do you practically imagine either of these things happening? like a superhero comes down and leads the charge? do you know what it actually takes to organize on such a massive scale as to bring down a state? here in america we can't get enough grass-roots organization for free health-care and tertiary education. and you think somewhere in china is a political mind so brilliant that they'll be able to organize some portion of 3x the population to violent revolution (since they don't have elections)?
- Aperocky 7y agoBecause they’ve never been to China but simultaneously think they knew a lot about China because the news they were fed. Particularly that Chinese people want democracy like Iraqis under Saddam (note: both are untrue).
- dehrmann 7y agoWhile I haven't been to China, I think you mean Han Chinese. Uighurs and Tibet are less excited about being part of China.
- ummonk 7y agoTrue for the Uyghurs, but less true for Tibetans. The Tibetan public is largely happy with what has happened under China - it's the deposed nobility who are less excited about it.
- magduf 7y agoThe Han Chinese are, by far, the majority. Uyghurs are a small and unliked minority. What makes you think they're going to destabilize that nation? Did the poor treatment of black people in the US cause it to collapse? It did lead to a civil war at one point, and to some turbulent times a century later, but that's only because people in the US actually cared about human rights. I don't see any evidence that most of China's population is too concerned with the treatment of Uyghurs, unfortunately.
- simonhamp 7y ago13. Wait... you think they’re _not_ already doing that?
- AnimalMuppet 7y agoWell, if they are, the public isn't aware yet, which was part of prediction 13.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- ubiopinion 7y agoIt's funny how you can predict this person (even if he doesn't think so) is a conservative that buys in right wing media propaganda. And OP is the opposite but somehow more grounded in reality. See how he believes 2 lies? 1. The trade war is working. 2. The US government isn't a puppet of the Saudi Arabia. Okay...
- empath75 7y agoI think it’s more likely that the west will collapse than that China will, to be honest. Nobody in the west believes in their institutions any more and the uk and us folded like a house of cards with just the lightest push from Russia in 2015-2016. The economy of the west is still strong for now, but if we continue blindly following this nationalist path we’re going to end up the way we ended after our last dalliance with nationalism, except this time with nuclear weapons.
- ertecturing 7y agoTime to get off the hype train lad. Whether or institutions are believed in or not they're functioning. The idea that because people and propositions you don't like were elected/passed in 2016 that it must be because of the all powerful Russia is the greatest hype hoax of the last 6 decades (only topped by McCarthyism). We are not on a truly nationalist path in the traditional sense, more a populist path. Nationalists don't tend to value other countries more than their own (Trump & Israel). Nuclear weapons didn't fire during the insanity of the 60s so they'll never fire.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- harambaebae69 7y ago> 7. California housing market will collapse due to high electricity prices, lack of electricity and wildfires Hope you're right about the CA housing market coming down, but I think more likely is just that Gavin Newsom and ilk get booted out for their failures to reign in PG&E and housing prices aren't particularly effected one way or the other. Wildfires are generally not in the densely populated areas, so I don't think they'll move the needle much.