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It is very clear that the US is no longer the top in many areas, and is slipping fast. The USA is actively rearranging the deck chairs in what is going to be a
by bsenftner 10y ago
It is very clear that the US is no longer the top in many areas, and is slipping fast. The USA is actively rearranging the deck chairs in what is going to be a monumental Titanic the rest of the world will enjoy watching sink. As a "leader nation" we've been deplorable in many of the aspects that matter. Few outside the USA will shed many tears, as we've been ruthless towards other nations not subservient to our corporations. Yeah, we do just enough good to pass, and not much more, and then only when it serves our corporate masters.
- yardie 10y agoThe US has been in decline since before I was even born, mid 30s now. Things have gotten better in other developing countries, yes. And things have gotten better here as well. The only people that truly believe the US is in decline are Trump voters, neoliberals, and survivalists.
- dba7dba 10y agoYou may not get all teary but let's remember why US has had to keep a such massive arsenal and expand so much energy globally. It was to counter Nazi Germany, Russia, and Japanese Empire. Before WW1 and WW2, US was indeed a 2nd tier nation but they were quite happy. And don't forget, corporate masters are everywhere, not just in US.
- hx87 10y agoYou can say that about every large country ever.
- bsenftner 10y agoThat is very true. The stakes seem higher now.
- sremani 10y agoUS will not sink during my life time (2050?). The odds are so decked in US's favor. As Ian Bremmer said, what makes America great is, two oceans, canada and mexico. The turmoil in Eurasian continent and Population explosion in Africa when you compared to improved peace in Americas. I will bet by shirt on Americas in general and USA in particular. No, Sir China is not going to touch US in military terms during my life time and probably have some economic benchmarks they may dominate but per-capita will suck. For all the hew and cry, China is middle-income nation with 17 neighbors, Middle East even with Petro-dollars in basket case, Europe is demographically falling and struggling with Immigration. America will remain the power to reckon for next 50 years if not more.
- Z1nfandel 10y agoYou're in for a rude awakening if you think "China is not going to touch US in military terms during my life time" Most people believe that the US will always have the better fighter planes, the better missiles, or the better tanks. In reality, we are about to be parity. They will be stronger in some aspects, we will be stronger in others. If you don't believe me, go check out the Chinese J-20, J-31 aircraft. Their DF-41 ICBM. The Type-99 tank. They have been catching, and fast. They already have some systems that are better than ours. They also have twice as many soldiers/sailors/airmen/marines. Source: Former Intelligence Analyst.
- nkassis 10y agoWell first before looking at military strength there has to be a motivation by China to want to attack the US. What in the next 50 years would make china interested in attacking the US? In what way would it benefit?
- sremani 10y ago2050 : their Navy will not be close to US. Currently their Navy is not even close to Japan. Power projection on Earth in 20th century and 21st century is about Maritime. That may change. Chinese may finally master flying saucers and make some of the previous structure irrelevant, but that is unlikely for now. But if I you were interested in countries and power, I would not focus on J-20 or J-31 but the current purges and anti-corruption drive in China. The most interesting question about China in 2035 is, how will communist party hold power now on.
- flukus 10y agoTheir navy doesn't have to get close to the US because it isn't spread so thin around the world.
- Z1nfandel 10y agoTheir Navy will be closer than you think. Take a look at the rate they are building ships. Their destroyer squadrons (Luyang II and III are amazing ships) have been rapidly growing, as well as their replinishment ships, subs, frigates, and smaller boats. These DDGs and supply ships are the foundations of a CSG. You're right they only have one carrier at the moment, and its only used for training. But this is their modus operandi: Buy something already built, reverse engineer it, tailor to our needs, mass produce. They have 30 years to manufacture 10 more carriers (and associated ships) to reach the power project with the current US Navy. If they continue at their current rate, they will easily reach that. I don't know where you're getting the notion that the Chinese navy doesn't compare to Japan, because its stronger/larger in every measurable way. Are you accounting for the 30+ ships the Chinese navy has been building every year recently? I would agree with that statement six years ago. You are absolutely correct: The most interesting question is can they sustain their current output. Will the party hold up?