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Apple Services Shut Down in China in Startling About-Face
- 3pt14159 10y agoChina has to play fairly carefully with Apple. On the one hand it's an American company that puts microphones and cameras into the cafes, offices, and bedrooms of many of their citizenry; but on the other hand, with decreasing competitiveness due to rising wages there isn't anything specifically _stopping_ Apple or other American tech companies from moving manufacturing out of China. Foxconn alone employs about 4.3 million people, and while it would be very difficult to move operations to Tiawan, Singapore, Japan, or even the United States; it would also provide a number of benefits since any new hosting country would very incentivized to make the move happen.
- jbob2000 10y agoManufacturing is slowly moving to be "on demand". That is, a consumer purchases something, then it is built and shipped to them. It doesn't make sense any more for a company to predict market volume and then produce goods to match the prediction, especially since technology turns over so fast. With that in mind, I could see Apple having simple components being produced in a number of different countries, then shipped out to wherever their products are in demand. Then the components are assembled by robots locally and the final product is picked up or shipped down the street to the consumer. I remember reading that this is where the auto industry is heading. They want to produce interchangeable car parts which get assembled at the dealership when a person purchases the car. So to your point, China is already done. Instead of huge factories producing consumer ready goods, Apple just needs a handful of smaller factories making much simpler intermediary components. It's much easier to setup and move these smaller factories around, rather than these huge factory cities managing a massive production line.
- eulji 10y agoI predict that technology is not going to move that fast as it used to (moore's law etc). Instead we will go back to the age of "durable" / "longer lasting goods". A good software will make a difference between scoring a sale or not. Same with services. Besides most of the companies are trying to move the manufacturing to Vietnam, Indonesia, India, Africa etc or automatizing as much as possible.
- gherkin0 10y ago> Instead we will go back to the age of "durable" / "longer lasting goods". I think it's more likely that, goods will become more flimsy, cheaply made, and disposable. If true progress no longer provides motivation to buy new things, manufacturers will invent new ones.
- nsgi 10y agoHow does that fit with the advent of same-day delivery? Presumably the goods can't be assembled that quickly.
- huac 10y agofactories could be distributed around the world. you'd have to weigh the increased costs of sourcing resources, but would benefit from lack of worker unionization or mobility.
- makecheck 10y agoAnd Apple has one of the best chances to make real change here because they can afford to spend a hell of a lot of money without their short-term business being hurt. They could, for instance, speculatively set up entire facilities in new areas, hire staff, and experiment with parallel development of the same products to measure how well the new bring-up is going.
- codeisawesome 10y agoWhy will they do it? Corporate entities like Apple exist to make profits. Change is not on the agenda. It's not healthy to be that hopeful when you're setting yourself up for disappointment.
- makecheck 10y agoProfits don’t just show up one day and stay fixed. There is always risk, and always opportunity. This type of move could address both. One risk is that the company’s ability to manufacture may be seriously affected by the actions of a single government. If their current factories were suddenly impacted by a policy decision, future profits would definitely be hurt. By spending money now (that, incidentally, their competitors might not be able to), Apple can lower that risk; and, they would also be acting on their own terms instead of having to react to someone else. There is also the investment side. By spending money now, they could end up with even more capacity that will enable them to develop more products for more people and increase overall profit in the future. If they don’t spend that kind of money, their competitors could catch up. The time to invest is before you have a problem.
- codeisawesome 10y agoI agree that this sounds like something they'd get their gold plated behinds up off the ground for. But let's point that out loud & clear and then when it happens discuss the change it wrought: just a suggestion.
- Steko 10y agoI think you've got it backwards, it's Apple that needs China's market and China basicallly has them over a barrel on these secondary products. What China has to be careful of is eventually the US/EU decide to get tough on Chinese protectionism and impose significant barriers to goods manufactured in China. And that would also be bad for Apple again since they make their stuff in China.
- DannyBee 10y ago"it's Apple that needs China's market". I always hear this, but given the experience of most american companies in china, it seems little stretched.
- jonknee 10y agoApple isn't most American companies.
- soperj 10y agoYeah, most American companies don't collude to screw their workers.
- kittiepryde 10y agoAre you sure?
- philovivero 10y agoI'm with kittypryde. I'll take a cite on that. Last I heard, Google, Facebook, Yahoo, Adobe, and a huge slew of smaller tech companies (if you want to stay in the same industry as Apple) had all colluded together to suppress wages. I have a hard time believing anyone who claims this was an exception to a rule. It seems far more likely to believe it is the rule.
- soperj 10y agoTogether with Apple. Who was the one forcing the issue?
- draw_down 10y agoI dunno. Cook recently said in an interview their manufacturing is in China not due to cost but because the supply chain is simply stronger there, and they can do things there that they can't elsewhere. Of course they could make a bold move like make a big outlay to get their supply chain operating in another country/region, that strikes me as something they could do. But it would be a really big deal.
- MBCook 10y agoI imagine that would be an incredibly huge investment to try to get even a small percentage of the supply chain in another country.
- dilemma 10y ago>Of course they could make a bold move like make a big outlay to get their supply chain operating in another country/region, that strikes me as something they could do. But it would be a really big deal. The supply chain is made up of thousands of companies who in turn rely on thousands of others. You can't recreate this top down, it has to be through organic growth.
- pessimizer 10y ago> there isn't anything specifically _stopping_ Apple or other American tech companies from moving manufacturing out of China. But it's about as credible as the Saudi's dumping all of their US treasuries. Apple enjoys a very high margin at a very high price point. Any move would be margin-killing, not price-raising. They're not manufacturing in China to be charitable.
- mtgx 10y agoUnfortunately, the Chinese government has only gotten bolder since the U.S. government has publicly become an enemy of encryption itself. The damage would be far greater if the U.S. actually passed a law mandating backdoors, but even just talking about it and making a "scandal" out of it, has probably encouraged Chinese government to be more aggressive about it in its own country. Remember when the U.S. government at least pretended to care about things like privacy and human rights internationally. Now it seems to be more like "Wait, China did it? Why can't we do it then?!". Case in point, in a recent encryption hearing, law enforcement argued that if Apple showed its source code to the Chinese government (it didn't), then it should also show it to the US gov!
- icebraining 10y agoRemember when the U.S. government at least pretended to care about things like privacy and human rights internationally. No. When was that?
- educar 10y agoYou make it sound like Apple can easily move out of China. Think again. Apple's profits are largely due to the cheap labor market (just like many other companies)
- masklinn 10y agoTheir point is that chinese costs are rising fast. OTOH they're probably underestimating the difficulty of moving outside China, not because of the supply chain.
- toomuchtodo 10y ago> Apple's profits are largely due to the cheap labor market (just like many other companies) Foxconn is replacing millions of workers in China with robotics. Couldn't Apple acquire these same robotics, perform their own manufacturing in the US (remember, substantial tax breaks in the US for equipment purchases!), and then lease out any spare capacity. Seems its all coming back to US shores. As a US citizen, I don't mind.
- soperj 10y agoNot really since all the components that actually make the phone are also made in China.
- blackguardx 10y agoFoxconn is Taiwanese and has many factories around the world already.
- jdietrich 10y agoNobody else has anywhere near the capacity. Foxconn are the third largest tech company in the world, not a tinpot little outsourcing shop. Apple already use other EMS companies for reasons of cost and capacity, but they are all Chinese companies or rely on predominantly Chinese labour. Foxconn's nearest foreign competitor (Flextronics) is just a fifth of the size of Foxconn and sources most of its labour from China. China has tremendous technical expertise and vast amounts of relatively cheap labour, which is a formidable combination. Singapore, Japan and Chinese Taipei have the expertise, but they don't have enough cheap labour. Thailand and Indonesia have plenty of cheap labour, but they don't have the expertise. China also has superb logistics, which reduces cost and improves lead times. For the foreseeable future, China is simply unavoidable. Within just a few years, their position as the dominant manufacturing nation will be secondary to their position as the dominant consumer market.
- 3pt14159 10y agoChina's cheap labor is not everything it used to be. Nearly 7x more expensive over the past two decades and expertise is everywhere. Sure it would be painful, but it isn't like China doesn't stand to also lose here as well.
- xigency 10y agoIt shouldn't be too surprising with China's history of censorship that they would ban iTunes from selling books and movies to their citizens. What's surprising is that they apparently allowed it for several months.
- tekklloneer 10y agoIt would be very likely that Apple was following by "the rules".
- xigency 10y agoHow could they? The communist party would have to literally read every book and watch every movie for approval, so to really go by the rules, the only content they could offer is media in favor of the cultural revolution. I doubt Apple even tried to play it like that, so why be surprised when it's shut down?
- frankchn 10y agoThere are bookstores (both online and brick-and-mortar) with a large number of books approved for sale in China, so if Apple stuck to selling those books, it would not be a censorship issue.
- xigency 10y agoFair enough. Apple needed to put more thought and effort into their launch if they were considering becoming a mainstay in a completely different political/cultural market. Others have pointed out that China's closure to outside (software) tech. has helped them as an incubator, but really I think American companies have failed to bend their policies to the degree necessary to continue to exist (in China). Google for a while has tried to resist censorship, but it's really a question of whether a company wants the one billion Chinese citizens to have access to their products at all, or if they would like to be shutout.
- tomtang0514 10y ago
- bnolsen 10y agoand this is a reason why china with the current government can never truly be a world leader in anything: Your entire enterprise can be distroyed at the whim of a few unrestrained individuals. Sort of like apple's app store, but at a much bigger level.
- _nedR 10y agoBeing from india, i have come to the opposite conclusion. Chinese protectionism (aided by the language barrier) has served chinese entrepreneurs quite well. They have their own google. Their own fb. Their own twitter. Basically all services that India doesnt have. The list goes on. These services may or may not be inferior to the original but from an economic standpoint, its good since the money and data flows within the economy instead of going abroad. India has its own taxi service but they are getting severe competition from uber (with rumours floating of a possible buyout by uber). We have flipkart but they are getting pummelled by amazon (which just walked in late to the indian ecommerce market after flipkart laid all the groundwork) and was recently down-valued by investors. China is also successfully exporting to india- chinese smartphones are doing very well, much better than Apple.
- educar 10y agoTotally agree with this. India is not an exception here though. In europe, we have the problem that all the main software is owned in US companies and much of the data resides there. Given US companies desire to mine user data at will, this is very much frowned upon. But sadly, there is no competition (whatever there was has already been killed). The US companies (slack being perfect example) have the typical approach of: 1. Take capital and give out free stuff 2. Be everywhere 3. Now either show ads and mine user data and build user profiles. Alternately, they shutdown. All this churn causes a tremendous amount of loss in the local economy.
- WWKong 10y agoThe issue is that Trade agreements don't allow such a move. You either partake in global trade or not. Can't have it both way. For example India will export beef, clothes etc. but block Uber and Amazon. Doesn't work that way.
- bjshepard 10y agoA key sentence from the BBC article on the topic: " The strict rules are also seen as a way to foster the success of indigenous net Chinese firms such as Huawei, Alibaba and Tencent."
- lukasb 10y agoas if Tencent needs the help!
- coldcode 10y agoApparently there was a movie that China didn't approve available on iTunes that might have triggered the stoppage.
- williwu 10y agoIt's the Ten Years movie
- codecamper 10y agoI think as the technical part of the population, we have the opportunity now to greatly change the structure of the world. Government can be largely replaced by software. (just thinking long term here) Democracy can be more pure. Corruption can be controlled. Economies can be stabilized and better planned. Environmental resources can be better managed. We've got a lot more work to do past sharing images & allowing chats (though look at the massive affect of just those things)
- pi-err 10y agoPrinting press changed the scale, idea and goal of government. Very slowly though because it changed _societies_, not actual rulers. It may be that it takes 1-2 centuries to software-ize our govs. And are we so sure it would be more efficient? GitHub as a constitution would be a blessing and a curse.
- inimino 10y agoWhich functions of government can be replaced by software specifically? Making laws? Interpreting them? Diplomacy?? I think as the technical part of the population we tend to be overoptimistic about technical solutions, which then get steamrolled by the real world's existing power structures.
- sievebrain 10y agoOne obvious one is the gathering of feedback and debate about decisions. Governments barely encourage that today, except when they have dumb petition sites and the like, but there's no real reason why they couldn't.
- sachinag 10y agoThere's a huge difference between iCloud not working and the content sale restrictions that this is. This is irritating but not key for Apple - but if iCloud and activation for iPhones and iPads stopped working, that would really be a big deal. China doesn't want to be a dumping ground for western media, and they're rightfully concerned about not being able to build a content export industry.
- bickfordb 10y agoI'm curious how China is able to do this and belong to the WTO?
- xbmcuser 10y agoWill they put the same restrictions on Ios apps. No one has been able to make Apple open its hardware to non appstore apps. Would be interesting if in the future they ask for that as well.
- Spooky23 10y agoThis almost certainly a consequence of pissing off the USG. It's a pretty rare event to create a situation where the interests of the PRC are directly aligned with the US government's interests.
- rospaya 10y agoAre you referring to the FBI decrypting situation? If so, I very much doubt that decrypting phones is even remotely important as billions in taxes.
- vadym909 10y agoI can't imagine ibooks and imovies was making in money in China given how easy it is to get content without paying. Apple's probably OK with just the hardware profits from iphones. Developing countries aren't great markets for IP/copyrighted products.
- studentrob 10y ago> Last week, Apple’s iBooks Store and iTunes Movies were shut down in China, just six months after they were started there... then a regulator, the State Administration of Press, Publication, Radio, Film and Television, asserted its authority and demanded the closings Unsurprising. China has a habit of allowing foreign services to operate for a bit. Then they come out with their own version.