9 ms·
People who make $250,000 or more a year can afford a tax hike.
- Mz 17y ago"Soak the rich" doesn't work. I recall seeing an interview with Ronald Reagan when he was a movie star. He stopped working after a certain point each year because he was taxed so high that he would rather have the free time than more income. Whenever they create luxury taxes, such as on yachts, the rich just put off getting a new yacht. Who really suffers? The working stiffs who build boats. They get laid off. I don't know what the answer is. But, as I understand it, punishing people who have the most leeway to make other choices pretty consistently fails to get the desired result.
- gnosis 17y agoBetter to just take their money away rather than tax them on their income or even their consumption.
- drewcrawford 17y agoThe question is not "Can they afford a tax hike?" The question is, "Will they continue to gross $250,000 and take home less of it, or will they find a lower-stressed job and make less?" The answer is probably the latter, for a lot of folks.
- modoc 17y agoI'm right there on that line. Honestly I pay a TON of taxes already. Very high rate, lots of taxable income. Cutting back to be under 250k would probably make more sense than making 255k and paying a lot more in taxes. I don't mind taxes and social programs. I do mind paying for unending wars in the Middle East (not making a political statement, just a budgetary one). Cut some of the crazy expenses, and I'll be happier paying my taxes, and you probably won't even have to jack them up.
- Eliezer 17y ago> Cutting back to be under 250k would probably make more sense than making 255k and paying a lot more What kind of job do you have that makes >$250K and doesn't require you to understand how income taxes work? I'm skeptical.
- modoc 17y agoMy bad. I was confused. Actually I have my companies accountants handle all the taxes, so I don't have to keep much awareness of how income taxes work. I probably should, but I don't need to, since I pay them to do it:)
- gnaritas 17y agoSeriously man, that's not how taxes work at all. You can't take home more by making less. 255k will have more take home than 250k even if the marginal tax rate was 99%.
- maximilian 17y agoIf you make $255K, you only get a higher tax rate on the extra $5K. You'll still have more money than someone making $249K. No matter how you slice it, more money = more money. The gov't just will tax you a bit extra on the 5K.
- modoc 17y agoThat makes sense, sorry, I wasn't keeping in mind the progressive bracket system:(
- encoderer 17y agoIf you make nearly $250k and do not understand even the basic progressive income tax system in this country, then I just don't know where to begin...
- lbrandy 17y agoUh. No. The answer is the former, for the absolutely overwhelming and unspeakably vast majority of them. And for the rest, there are a dozen equally qualified people ready to do that job for them.
- drewcrawford 17y agoSo you're saying that a person intelligent enough to make $250k per year wouldn't sit down and re-evaluate their job choice when they get an (effective) pay cut?
- natemartin 17y agoReally? That doesn't make any sense to me. "Oh my, I'm making marginally less take-home money. I should completely change my career and get even less money!" Remember it's a marginal tax system. They would only get taxed more on the amount they are making over 250k. No matter what the tax rate goes to, you'll still be bringing home more money by having a higher paying job.
- drewcrawford 17y ago> Will people create wealth if they can't get paid for it? Only if it's fun. People will write operating systems for free. But they won't install them, or take support calls, or train customers to use them. And at least 90% of the work that even the highest tech companies do is of this second, unedifying kind. http://paulgraham.com/gap.html http://paulgraham.com/gap.html
- dkokelley 17y agoOr they might mask their income, or elect to receive it in other forms like stock options. I think capital gains get taxed at 15%, soon to be reverted to 20% (still less than 39%).
- rbranson 17y agoThis would make sense if income level actually truly scaled with job difficulty or discomfort. Even if they doubled my taxes, I wouldn't quit my job to go work some minimum-wage drudgery. Higher salary ends up also meaning your job is actually more comfortable. The kind of bullshit people have to put up with in their $7/hr jobs is amazing to me sometimes.
- ryanwaggoner 17y agoOf course they can "afford" it. But so what? Every single billionaire can "afford" to be taxed at a 99% rate. The bigger question: is it in any way fair, just, or moral to tax society's most successful more heavily just for being more successful? EDIT: The other salient question that I forgot to mention is: "why do we need more taxes?" Our government already can't manage what they have with any sort of reasonable efficiency. Are we really supposed to believe that they'll do better if we give them more money?
- jfager 17y agoWhy shouldn't the people who benefit the most from how society is structured be expected to pay the most for its maintenance?
- ryanwaggoner 17y agoAside from the larger question of why the government has the right to take people's income by force to begin with, I can think of four practical reasons off the top of my head: 1) It is a disincentive to others who might try to reach that level 2) It's hardly clear that the success of the wealthy is due to how society is structured, and not their own effort. Undoubtably some is, but is it 90/10 or 10/90? 3) It encourages relocation of talent, business, and capital to states or countries where the tax situation is more favorable. 4) It's not clear to me that more tax revenue results in a net benefit to society. My opinion is that the rich are better at investing their money for optimum yield than the government, and the end result is more benefit for society.
- encoderer 17y agoDo you truly believe there's anybody out there who wouldn't work to attain wealth merely because the gov't takes a higher percentage of it? I mean, seriously?
- SamAtt 17y agoThe issue isn't "wealth" as much as it's "more wealth". There's a classic example of a secretary who did her job really well so she got a raise only to find it bumped her into a higher tax bracket and she actually made less money. So from that point on Secretaries didn't bother to excel. This applies equally to the engineer who makes $225,000 and who might be willing to put in extra effort but won't if the reward isn't worth it. So the issue is shifting the cost/benefit equation over to where there isn't enough benefit for people to put in the effort
- eplanit 17y agoWhy is Politics such a predominant topic on HN?
- steveplace 17y agoThe US federal income tax exists to raise revenue for the federal government. It does not exist to level the playing field, make things fair, or to hinder high-producers. This whole debate is framed wrong, on both sides.
- uptown 17y agoWhy does a married couple still have the same 250k threshold? Does marriage immediately cancel out all the expenses one person in a relationship might encounter?
- rbranson 17y agoI make what I consider a middle class salary (around double the household income in my area), and I'm pretty sure I can afford a tax hike. While I would not be terribly happy about it, it's not going to hurt me. I'd say for most of the real middle class, who haven't mortgaged themselves to the hilt, a tax hike of a few percent will cut into their discretionary income, not anything truly needed. I'll have to wait another two weeks to get my 52" big screen television. Oh no.
- elsewhen 17y agois affordability really the unit-of-analysis that you want to use to design (or make tweaks to) a tax system? lets assume that $50k per year gives a comfortable lifestyle to a person. anyone earning less than 50k per year cant afford to pay taxes and therefore doesnt have to. anyone earning more than 50k can certainly afford it, so they pay the amount needed to get there income to 50k. so a guy who makes 60k pays 10k per year, and a guy who earns 1MM pays 950k. do you think entrepreneurs would start businesses in this environment? sure, some would because they are doing what they love... but what about all those boring businesses. do you think the dry cleaner LOVES to wash other people's clothes? do you think the guy who started 1-800-GOT-JUNK loves other people's trash? among other things, you need to think about incentives (and the killing of those incentives) when you devise a tax system.
- garethm 17y agoThis reminds me of the article a few years ago that indicated that Warren Buffett had a lower effective tax rate than his secretary, even though he made heaps more. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/tax/article1996735.ece http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/tax/article1996735.ec...
- byrneseyeview 17y agoThat was because he's counting capital gains. Capital gains are the tax you pay based on the price of a stock, which is based on the net present value of the company's dividends (taxed at 15%), which are paid out of its profits after taxes (35%). So it looks like the taxes he's paying on the extra earnings of Coca-Cola are about 53%. At least he doesn't pay FICA taxes on that. On the other hand, the capital he invests does allow companies to hire more people, who do pay taxes. The utility-maximizing way to tax Mr. Buffett is at 0%. He'll invest it effectively, it will grow the economy, more jobs will be created, and we'll end up with more wealth to squander through silly redistributive schemes.
- rbranson 17y agoNice try Ronnie, but I highly doubt Mr. Buffet is ignorant enough to take profits he intends to re-invest as income. These likely stay within a holding corporation that re-invests this money and does not pay taxes on the gains. This is the way the system exists now and the way it should work.
- grandalf 17y agoMost people in the US pay no taxes at all. The $250K threshold hits lots of hard working professionals and entrepreneurs who are by no means "rich" and who work extremely hard. I'd argue that people earning $250K who are paying off loans and working 60+ hour weeks cannot afford it... and that taxing them is a horrible policy idea, no matter how well it resonates with voters who themselves pay no taxes (or people like the author who live in Westport CT).
- gnosis 17y ago"Most people in the US pay no taxes at all. The $250K threshold hits lots of hard working professionals and entrepreneurs who are by no means "rich" and who work extremely hard." Let's see now... when the median family income in the US is $40,000 per year, an individual making $250,000 per year is undoubtedly rich. They might not be super rich, or even very rich. But they're rich.
- grandalf 17y agoWhat about differences in cost of living? Is a maid in San Fran who earns $80K per year rich?
- grandalf 17y agoAlso, a family (two adults, 2 children) earning $40K per year will pay next to nothing in taxes. This is why such people tend to support our oil wars, they are costless to them. Both political parties like to keep it this way.
- kyro 17y agoThis is one thing that never fails to irritate me: the stigma against the wealthy. It's almost as if all the energy, effort, time, sacrifice, and risk usually taken by many who are now wealthy are completely overlooked, making them look undeserving of their money as if they were born with golden spoons in their mouths. My father immigrated to America from Egypt in the mid-80s shortly after he graduated medical school in Cairo to find a better living. When he got here, he went to school, took a graveyard shift as a security guard and worked at a gas station to make ends meet. He moved to four or so different states to join various medical programs, etc, and finally settled here in southern California as a fairly successful physician who makes $250,000+ a year. Knowing all the work that he's put into creating this life, my blood boils when I read headlines like these as if someone like my father doesn't/didn't work as hard as others to make a living. He is one example, and there are myriad of foreigners who have done the same, not to mention startuppers who literally put EVERYTHING on the line to increase their chances at success. To say that these types of people can just afford it as if it were some obligation is idiotic and infuriating.
- charlesju 17y agoHere is what this author doesn't understand. People who make much more than $250,000 a year rarely let that money touch income taxes. The tax game is all about creating trusts, funneling through shelter companies, long-term capital gains, expensing the heck out of everything, etc.
- 25kplus 17y agoWell, fuck you too.
- bwh2 17y agoDoctors, lawyers, and other paycheck people making $250k pay around the 35% rate. They get hit hard. Meanwhile, professional investors earning the same amount pay the capital gains rate of 15%, which is less than a paycheck family earning $80k. I don't want paycheck people to pay more taxes, I want the capital gains rate to go up.
- ryanwaggoner 17y agoYeah, let's disincentive the wealthy to invest in new companies that create jobs during a recession. Excellent. I much prefer the idea floated to ditch capital gains altogether for small companies.
- bwh2 17y agoSo you should be in favor of dropping capital gains to 0% then for everyone, right? Probably income tax too for that matter, because that discourages people from working, and unemployment is the last thing we want to have.
- ryanwaggoner 17y agoActually, yes. I prefer a flat tax on consumption.
- bwh2 17y agoFair enough. I also prefer a consumption tax, not flat though. But if we're going to have an income-based tax, I'd rather have all types of income treated/taxed equally.
- pdxgene 17y agoSomewhat counterintuitively, raising the capital gains rate actually tends to decrease overall capital gains receipts. This is mostly due to the fact that capital gains realizations are some of the easiest to time, and if advantageous, defer. This is a natural consequence of a convoluted system with complicated rules that encourage schemes. Another sad consequence of this system is that, as with our managed health care system, it creates a massive amount of regulatory and managerial overhead. The engineer in me would love to see a flat tax, and the resultant elimination of layers of bureaucracy, like the chopping out of so many lines of unnecessary code. Dare to dream...
- hexis 17y agoIn the words of Betty Draper, Daniel Gross should stop counting other people's money.
- rms 17y agohttp://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Politics_is_the_Mind-Killer http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Politics_is_the_Mind-Killer
- rglullis 17y agoBack-of-the-envelope-calculation. Given: - USA population: 300 million - percentage of households that make 250k+ in a year (according to the article): 2.1% If we assume that we have 2 people per household, that's 150 million * 0.021 = 3.15 million "households" making US$250k+. Assuming that the average income of the US$ 250k+ group is much larger than the bottom, something close to US$ 1 million, and assuming that there is a tax increase will take 5% of your income from your pocket. In practice, we are saying that we are taking 50 thousand dollars of each household that makes more than US$250k. Using these values, the government would get 3.15 million times US$ 50 thousand = 157.5 billion dollars from this tax increase. According to wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_United_States_federal_budget_ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_United_States_federal_budg... : the net deficit for the 2009 budget was 407 billion dollars. I know that are tons of other things in a serious model: flow of money and such. But even so, I wonder if there is any kind of tax increase that would actually be able to fix the deficit.
- ajross 17y agoThe 2009 deficit is an outlier, because it's being sampled immediately after a sharp fall in revenue. In fact the budget was (briefly, before tax cuts and two wars threw it out of whack again) balanced as recently as 2001. There's no reason to expect that it's an impossibility. But no, you can't enact a sudden tax increase (or spending cut) in a down year and expect it to close the gap. Budget planning is done over decade-scale timeframes. Also note that the deficit is bad not because its immediate cost is unbearable but because its current scale is unsustainable. The marginal cost of any extra borrowing is actually quite low; the US Federal Government pays very low interest rates on its debt (check the federal bond rates for current numbers), and no one is suggesting an inability to pay this year's debt -- it's a drop in the bucket. So the goal is a steady reduction of deficit spending to a sustainable level.
- gyardley 17y agoPeople who make $250,000 or more a year can afford to pay more for a lot of things. But if you tried to charge one person more for an identical candy bar or television or movie ticket just because they make more money, everyone would instantly see this as unjust. Why should government services be any different? I'd be a lot more content with differential tax rates if the money I'm saving to start my next business - and create jobs for Americans - was exempt. Every dollar I give the government is a dollar they're going to spent a whole lot less efficiently than I will.
- SamAtt 17y agoYour example is bad because people making over $250,000 generally don't use most Government services. A better example would be if the person came in to buy a TV and you forced him to buy a TV, DVR and surround sound system for the guy standing behind him in line.
- rbranson 17y agoThis assumes that the only way in which you benefit from Government services is by directly using rarely-used entitlement programs (welfare, etc). The rich certainly benefit from an educated workforce that the government bankrolls, roads to drive their cars on, police & fire protection (which is often significantly better in more affluent areas), homeland security, etc.
- idoh 17y agoThat's called a consumption tax, which has a lot of intellectual advantages over the current regime. Income = Consumption + Savings. Right now we tax income, but it's possible to tax consumption instead. That would encourage more saving and less consumption, which is probably a good thing for the country (but probably won't happen any time soon because in the short run businesses wouldn't stand for it).
- Poiesis 17y agoWould more saving and less consumption be good for the country? I'm not saying it's a bad idea for individuals--it's what we do personally--but it seems like the economy as a whole would stagnate based on my completely unqualified armchair economist opinion.
- deleted 17y ago[deleted]