zwaps

114 ms·

931.
by zwaps 7y ago
D can be binary, in which case the model predicts two alternative outcomes for the log-odds. The linear part is shifted by beta, whenever D=1. As for your second point, there is no prior reason in this case why a linear function of D would
932.
by zwaps 7y ago
In contrast, I challenge you to put five economists into a room and ask a question about, say, auction theory. Do you still think you get five opinions? > See some of the discussion around MMT for a practical example. MMT is Macro, and M
933.
by zwaps 7y ago
Yeah I think what I wrote was wrong. It's not that they haven't dealt with observational data, rather they had the advantage of being able to use experiments with good external validity to a larger degree, making both observationa
934.
by zwaps 7y ago
> ML was not necessary to recognize the yield curve inversion as a strongly predictive signal correlating to subsequent contraction. > An NN can certainly learn to predict according to the presence or magnitude of a yield curve invers
935.
by zwaps 7y ago
In contrast, econometric literature has seen a huge shift toward identifying causal relations from observational data. More than any other social science, economics has adopted this approach. Experimental fields (Psychology, Medicine) never
936.
by zwaps 7y ago
Just to reiterate the practical issue here: We, as people, are just exceedingly bad in having AND putting the right data at the right place in any model. It's really not the models fault, and the contribution of ML is marginal in that
937.
by zwaps 7y ago
Using predictive models for policy is not new, in fact it was the standard approach long before more inferential models, and the famed Lucas critique precisely targets a primitive approach similar to what you are proposing. The issue is the
938.
by zwaps 7y ago
A supply curve indicates simply what a firm is willing to produce for a given price, everything else being equal. It is purely a conceptional tool, as reality corresponds to only one point on that line. That point, jointly derived with dema
939.
by zwaps 7y ago
It is a violation, for both a) and b). They got into trouble. They didn't pay a lot of money for that, though.
940.
by zwaps 7y ago
It's a bit of an chicken-and-egg problem - or as we like to say, an equilibrium of many. Every attempt I did to use any great tagging system, in pretty much anything ever, had resulted in the system/app/infrastructure (etc.)
941.
by zwaps 7y ago
Its more that NAS members can publish some articles basically for free, so co-authoring with them is a good way to get in easier. That being said, NAS members I know do not want to erode their reputation by publishing junk.
942.
by zwaps 7y ago
Clashes a bit with the idea of happy cows grazing on alpine pastures this
943.
by zwaps 7y ago
In contrast, demand estimation is a statistical or rather econometric problem that targets exactly the areas that ML has yet to explore: Causal analysis, censoring of dgp and related to this but distinct in the literature, identification an
944.
by zwaps 7y ago
I would argue that 99% of sites sending cookies and personal information to social media do so for tracking purposes. You may be the exception. But its a privacy tradeoff that benefits the majority. And let me say: if webmasters had shown a
945.
by zwaps 7y ago
What good is blocking google tracking subdomains while neatly packaging the exact same data and sending it off to google cdn and tagmanager?
946.
by zwaps 7y ago
I don't get it. The Mozilla dev explained, as you quoted, that the API access sends the reddit cookie to reddit while not being on reddit. That's leaking private data. "In other word, Reddit will be able to see the user'
947.
by zwaps 7y ago
Webmasters should have thought of that before littering their website with hundreds of off-site scripts and packaging all data and behavior and sending it off to dozens of tracking companies. "great products". Yeah, websites used
948.
by zwaps 7y ago
Read again.
949.
by zwaps 7y ago
Not that it isn't a good university, I mean I hear decent things, but two Nobel laureates is really not that much for a top university. Many local European universities have more.
950.
by zwaps 7y ago
Afaik, without googling, they stole Cisco Ip which is even relevant here.
951.
by zwaps 7y ago
Apple has equally gotten a lot of pushback for the adblocker. Safari's approach is clearly inferior and has a lot of the same problems - compared to uBlock Origin. When Apple blocked alternative approaches, everyone here on hackernews
952.
by zwaps 7y ago
Ip theft and cirumventing sanctions. To see no relation to the trade war is, however, a tad naive.
953.
by zwaps 7y ago
To some degree this is probably wishful thinking, but I feel the growing contempt for Google's dismal stance on privacy (eg recent changes to Chrome) may eventually harm their market share. This is especially true if it turns out that
954.
by zwaps 7y ago
This should not hold. Facebook has been running huge ads all over media and streets with "your privacy choices" and "we protect your privacy" to salvage some of their reputation. If they do this, and then at the same tim
955.
by zwaps 7y ago
This is literally why the data is being collected. Granted, i do not work at Google, but i have experience in exactly this area. Apps and websites want to sell you things. Well many of them. They then need to know for how much. If they know
956.
by zwaps 7y ago
Alphabet is Google's parent company and did not exist when "Don't be evil" was put at the top of Googles preamble. Functionally, they took it out. Both by not using it in the new parent company, and deleting it out of th
957.
by zwaps 7y ago
Alright, taking it out of the important part and dropping it from Alphabet https://www.searchenginejournal.com/google-dont-be-evil/2540... http://time.com/4060575/alphabet-google-dont-be-evil/
958.
by zwaps 7y ago
As it stands, there were little (let's say at least felt) profits from trade for a large part of the US population. Their jobs went away, the additional money never came. Now it turns out that the Chinese have been profiting from this,
959.
by zwaps 7y ago
Yes, Google licenses and products are a US market, because Google sells these things as a US company. You buy these things with US dollars. Because why? Because Google isn't even allowed to sell anything in China to begin with. Everyth
960.
by zwaps 7y ago
With what we know since January, the only reason Google implements it is because it will not allow sophisticated ad-blockers and anti-tracking extensions to work. Google does this such that you can install some sort of pseudo adblock, while

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