zeteo

15 ms·

121.
by zeteo 6y ago
Yeah but you may not need to unload it completely. At some point as the buoyancy improves the tugs become more likely to pull it off.
122.
by zeteo 6y ago
>Some people have suggested unloading the ship. I don't think you realize the infrastructure required to unload a ship. You're basically asking to build a port in the middle of the egyptian desert. That isn't going to happ
123.
by zeteo 6y ago
I don't think it's that hard to represent. PG already has a mechanic to disagree with Hitler's decisions e.g. Kiev and Gibraltar. You can easily imagine quandaries such as: - "Hitler has asked you to detach units for coo
124.
by zeteo 6y ago
>Imagining yourself in the shoes of an evil person is a fundamental part of fiction. As long as it's fiction, and you know they're evil. While I've personally greatly enjoyed Panzer General and its sequels, on a moral leve
125.
by zeteo 6y ago
I think that's a valid point but it may not make a significant difference. Judging by the fact that the control group had a pretty decent drop-out rate it appears that the drop outs reverted to lower than average physical activity leve
126.
by zeteo 6y ago
There's also some potential for selection bias in the drop-out rates: >The numbers of drop-outs after one, three, and five years of follow-up were 76 (19%), 104 (26%), and 132 (33%) in the HIIT group, 58 (15%), 76 (20%) and 101 (26%
127.
by zeteo 8y ago
You can hold an opinion as to whether it's a sound investment for yourself. E.g. Warren Buffett was, for a long time, notoriously reluctant to invest in tech. I'm not sure I understand the counter-argument about vaccines. The cruc
128.
by zeteo 8y ago
You don't need to know a lot about something in order to reject it. If a Finance PhD calls you with a super complex investment strategy you have no obligation to put all your money into it. In fact, it's probably prudent to reject
129.
by zeteo 8y ago
> But they only test once monthly The proposed FDA rules would have them taking 5 samples a year [1]. I agree that it would be great to have regulations that made produce safer, just not sure these are the right regulations. https:&#x
130.
by zeteo 8y ago
> The cost difference is 9 fold between the consumer-end medical expenses vs the producer-end safety testing. This seems to assume that all outbreaks would be prevented by mandatory testing. However, the article says that the farm invo
131.
by zeteo 8y ago
> The failure of most Europeans to fathom the potential for devastation of the new weapons they were constantly devising owed much to their conviction that no matter how rapid the advances, Western men were in control of the machines the
132.
by zeteo 8y ago
Chemical weapons, beyond their psychological effect, were not a game changer for either side in WW1. Effective countermeasures were developed rather quickly and, in any case, a breakthrough effected by poison gas could not be easily exploit
133.
by zeteo 9y ago
Strategy A: buy one random stock per year. Strategy B: buy two random stocks. If the expected payoffs were mathematically different then you'd have an arbitrage opportunity. Then apply induction.
134.
by zeteo 9y ago
> That's if you have one trade per year. How would you model this if you have 25 monkeys throwing, say, 300 darts at the board per day, for every day that the market is open (252 days), for five years? If the data is reported on a y
135.
by zeteo 9y ago
Get 25 monkeys to throw darts at S&P 500 stock symbols on January 1st of each year. The chance that at least one monkey outperforms 5 years in a row is about 55%. (The target areas need to be proportional to market capitalization etc.)
136.
by zeteo 9y ago
Thank you, moderator.
137.
by zeteo 9y ago
Also there's a question of how many new hedge funds are using machine learning. If you have enough different attempts, one of them will beat the market by sheer game of chance. Picking out their specific quirks afterwards (algae etc.)
138.
by zeteo 9y ago
> This sort of snarky comment that dispenses with the life work of others by means of internet clichés [...] specialists who worked in a field for decades So if the work is so polished then it should be really easy to defend on its merit
139.
by zeteo 9y ago
This reads like someone consciously decided "Hey, let's build the ultimate poster boy for bad statistical studies!". 1. Sample bias : "Why just study WEIRD [1] subjects? Let's do male Harvard graduates!" (Yes,
140.
by zeteo 9y ago
> Bezos talks about a lesson imparted by his grandfather on one of the cross-country road trips they would take every summer: “Jeff, one day you’ll understand that it’s harder to be kind than clever.” Sure, that's nice rhetoric. And
141.
by zeteo 9y ago
> How did we end up with a digital economy dominated by a few big players? The simplest explanation focuses on what are called network effects The simplest explanation is that antitrust enforcement started to lag in the '80s and bec
142.
by zeteo 9y ago
> Citation? How about Bork himself in 1963 [1]: > The incipiency theory starts from the idea that it is possible to nip restraints of trade and monopolies in the bud before they blossom to Sherman Act proportions. It underlies the Cla
143.
by zeteo 9y ago
> The spectrum shifted towards consumer welfare very early on You seem unaware that Bork's Antitrust Paradox only came out in 1978 [1]. Yes, it's not surprising that its views would appear in cases from the '80s. Here&#x
144.
by zeteo 9y ago
> The United States and European Union have, at least since the Reagan Administration, differed on this point: the U.S. is primarily concerned with consumer welfare [...] The European Commission, on the other hand, is explicitly focused
145.
by zeteo 9y ago
The justice system is not just one jury.
146.
by zeteo 9y ago
> Do we want the statistical average of us to create laws that stick around for years? People are judged everyday by their "statistical average" with consequences that can stick around for many years (long jail terms) or be per
147.
by zeteo 9y ago
> [Google's site] runs on their server [...] Micosoft runs their products like Windows and Office on YOUR machine That's not a significant difference - Google's site renders on your machine too. Google's servers send
148.
by zeteo 9y ago
> this result scares me [...] I never questioned that they had a right to do that. It is their website Are you serious? By this logic Microsoft could do whatever they wanted with Windows. Yes, when you're big enough to absolutely do
149.
by zeteo 9y ago
Sure, but when the nominal increase is 18% and the selected group only shows 3% there's a big question about group selection. If you can cherry pick groups and variables then you can use phenomena like Simpson's paradox to prove p
150.
by zeteo 9y ago
> raised the minimum wage from $9.47 to $11 per hour in 2015 and to $13 per hour in 2016. > we conclude that the second wage increase to $13 reduced hours worked in low-wage jobs [...] while hourly wages in such jobs increased by arou

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