zby

17 ms·

211.
by zby 4y ago
There are two types of writers - professionals and amateurs. Professionals want to earn money on their writing - so they are happy with paywalls. Amateurs have no hope to earn money but want their writing to be distributed as wide as possib
212.
by zby 4y ago
The question for now is if we can get a descriptive AI out of all those generative AIs. Intuitively it should not be too far away and we should get it by somehow running it (or the training) 'in reverse'. ChatGPT disagrees though:
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by zby 4y ago
Most probably they just died from the fall and only one or two landed in the latrine. But the latrine was the most salient part of the story - so it was what everybody was talking about and then it was recorded that way.
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by zby 4y ago
It's always politics (see also https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/meditations-on-moloch/ ). Even the first example from the blog - the busy work for the time when he needed to wait instead of rest
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by zby 4y ago
> It's impossible in general to be certain of causality for humans too, all we see are correlations in data and we invent causal theories that explain those correlations. We do experiments - we actually do them a lot and it starts v
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by zby 4y ago
I am convinced by Judea Pearl ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Book_of_Why ) that the missing part of current AI is causality reasoning. It is impossible to inference causality from raw data - that is data without any
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Why aren't wages rising in a tight labor market?(noahpinion.substack.com)
2 points by zby 4y ago|1 comments
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by zby 4y ago
Right - but it looks like an exception not the standard way: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/nonrecoursedebt.asp Would you expect the Alameda loans to be non-recourse?
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by zby 4y ago
> If the liabilities are collateralized by assets on their balance sheet, then the financial risk is not to Alameda but the lender! What does that mean? How collateralization changes Alameda risk? It reduces the lender risk a bit - but i
220.
by zby 4y ago
What frustrates me is when people argue about solutions before they clarify their language. The value of that ACX post is in the second - it clarifies the language - it shows that we can distinguish (at least in some fuzzy way) between mode
221.
by zby 4y ago
OK - it is not a sharp distinction - but can't we work with shades of gray? It becomes a no true Scotsman otherwise.
222.
by zby 4y ago
I did not read the article - but here is an idea: much of middle management is translating a higher level plan into lower level details. The ideal for the translation is to be as faithful as possible. This is like a compiler!
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by zby 4y ago
I love Galeev threads - but he is sometimes a bit slopy. In this tread the quote "Submit, Cherkes! Both West and East, May soon share your fate, When the time comes, you'll say arrogantly: Yes, I'm a slave but a sla
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by zby 4y ago
The comparison of buying $1 million house or $1 million of Microsoft stock is a bit complicated - because in nearly all of the transactions you don't formally really buy the Microsoft stock. Here is Matt Levine quote: ""&quot
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A Startup Wants to Rescue You from Browser Tab Hell(bloomberg.com)
3 points by zby 4y ago|0 comments
226.
by zby 4y ago
If they hike the rates too much then debt servicing would be costly. This is different from 1980, because back then US gov debt was about 30% of GDP and now it is 120% of GDP ( https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ1
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by zby 4y ago
Bitfinex seems like a very good business. I mean at least since 2016 - but 8 years is enough. It is possible that they still mismanaged it catastrophically - but fees are really good in crypto exchanges and margin loses are socialized - so
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by zby 4y ago
Anyone has some kinopio notes that he would like to share?
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by zby 4y ago
The problem is the same as with other bank runs: when people withdraw and there are not enough reserves (lets say temporarily - for example when the reserves are too illiquid) the ratio of reserves to obligations diminishes further - so whe
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by zby 4y ago
What is puzzling me right now: Why LUNA is now trading at $0.033 at Bitfinex - but $0.0004 at Kraken? I understand that it is probably impossible to arbitrage it now - but two orders of magnitude? Come on! Why UST is still trading at $0.16
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by zby 4y ago
OK - so who is shorting LUNA now? The yields look pale in comparison with the drops now - so I guess the only buyers of LUNA are shorters taking profits.
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by zby 5y ago
I think we need to let go the paradigm that there is a 'good health' state and that we just need to avoid stuff that leads to deviation from that state. We keep discovering that a thing is correlated with one bad symptom - but the
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by zby 5y ago
I really like that. Not just for testing - it makes the libraries much more flexible. But to make it a bit less burdensome for the most common usage patterns I like to relax it a bit with the possibility of building default object params in
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by zby 5y ago
The link as it is currently leads me to a page containing garbled characters: "SPQÙûáÔ=iµ{h¤,œ¿¿\ÿ0-Ûq=ßö™iýÿþlVùto‡íx„ÈY¢««"(Yr»Ër©". When I add www. to the front of it I get the page about S300: http://www.
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by zby 5y ago
If a behaviour is beneficial for an agent - then we don't need any moral rules to pressure him to do that. Also the set of all possible bad behaviours is very big and it would be absurd if all of that would be good politics. The title
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by zby 5y ago
I have seen it many times with my own eyes that potatoes turn green on sides exposed to light. This is mostly not related to sprouting which happens when they are in a warm place.
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by zby 5y ago
The article does not explain why bribery is the chosen analogy and not for example salary or something. Bribery for me is about paying someone to do something bad - here they talk about the reward i.e. the payment part but there is no menti
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by zby 5y ago
"The catch was that when he went to stake his NFT, they asked for an approval for spending aETH from his wallet. Approvals such as this are normal when interacting with smart contracts, since the contract has to be "delegated&quot
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by zby 5y ago
I tried to google for a list of sterilising and non-sterilising vaccines - but I could not find any. Could you provide sources for your claim that "essentially no viral vaccine prevents infection, with the possible exception of the HPV
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by zby 5y ago
I don't like his 'ranting' style - but this time he is spot on.

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