zaroth

190 ms·

1741.
by zaroth 7y ago
Thank you, that makes a lot more sense than some sort of “gain” (as in, increasing output levels) of “function” (as in, a mathematical calculation where each input has exactly one output). I’m thinking what the heck is a Gainof Function?
1742.
by zaroth 7y ago
> On Jan. 15, when the traveler to Wuhan who became the first known U.S. case returned to Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, ... At the time, 41 people in Wuhan had been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus . Just goes to show how mu
1743.
by zaroth 7y ago
It says story was posted March 9th. Written some number of days before that? And what is that stat in reference to; the whole US or just WA? I can only guess that someone other than the author wrote the closing paragraph, but it’s clearly w
1744.
by zaroth 7y ago
Yes but on Amazon you are buying “Classico” versus at the store you are buying Classico .
1745.
by zaroth 7y ago
10% is extremely high. Yeah, that shows that they are severely test restricted and the actual infection rate is significantly higher. That tells me that case count will grow at a rate of test rate * 10% for days to come even if the actual
1746.
by zaroth 7y ago
A useful metric is the number of tests which are coming back positive. I’d say if it’s 3% or higher then you are testing limited.
1747.
by zaroth 7y ago
It appears that it may be coming under control in South Korea actually. We need a few more days to be sure. It also appears to be under control in China as well, with less than 100 new cases reported there yesterday. Containment in an absol
1748.
by zaroth 7y ago
85 cases in Australia. And how many of those are imported? In a binary sense, yes it “is spreading”. Even an R0 of 0.1 is “spreading”. But there is hardly enough data to say it is spreading widely in Australia. The virus spread in summer&#x
1749.
by zaroth 7y ago
The CDC just "had" to make their own test probably due to a combination of regulations and NIH syndrome (no pun intended). It wouldn't have been such an issue if they didn't fail so spectacularly at designing a test.
1750.
by zaroth 7y ago
Insurance companies certainly can have formularies. I noticed that there aren't any drugs on the excluded list that don't have alternatives listed. When we change insurance plans my kids have to change the brand name of insulin th
1751.
by zaroth 7y ago
Under an ACA approved plan, that is correct.
1752.
by zaroth 7y ago
Well, you can pay for the insurance (one way or another) or you can self-insure out of your own savings. It's not magic. Paying the country to take a week off would cost something on the order of $125 billion, to say nothing of the kno
1753.
by zaroth 7y ago
Something people are misreading is that currently, the thing that is increasing exponentially is testing capacity . The thing you don't need testing capacity to detect is the serious and critical cases. So, look at the "Total N
1754.
by zaroth 7y ago
That's simply not the point of the CA SDI fund. If you want better SDI insurance, perhaps you could have bought some for yourself. Does Aflac cover time away for work due to COVID-19?
1755.
by zaroth 7y ago
It's an insurance payout that everyone is forced to pay premiums for out of every paycheck. CA SDI tax is 1% on the first $122,909 earned. Of course the payout is capped, so anyone earning more than maybe $30k is subsidizing the insu
1756.
by zaroth 7y ago
After ACA there are no lifetime maximums. If it’s an FDA approved treatment which he is eligible for (e.g. there are not other first line treatments which should be tried first) then AFAIK an insurance company cannot simply refuse to pay. A
1757.
by zaroth 7y ago
The CDC appears to have made an over complicated test with the goal of being able to identify other SARS viruses beyond just COVID and screwed up the reagents in the process. I’m not aware of evidence that the CDC designed primers are any b
1758.
by zaroth 7y ago
Except these agencies have never had so much funding as they do now. Its hard to put a finger on exactly why they seem entirely incapable of fulfilling their central mission during this crisis. Why were the test kits botched? Why was testin
1759.
by zaroth 7y ago
The CDC screwed up the tests all by themselves, even the final primers they are using are questionable. Combined with the FDA blocking local labs from testing based on bad regulations, the government screwed up the initial response just fin
1760.
by zaroth 7y ago
Actually it’s different every year. My numbers were apparently a mild year; https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-e... https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden&#x2
1761.
by zaroth 7y ago
Not to treat morning sickness in pregnant women!
1762.
by zaroth 7y ago
Great data, thanks for taking the time to format it cleanly.
1763.
by zaroth 7y ago
I can tell you that of 200,000 hospital admissions for the flu each year in the US, approximately 20,000 will die, i.e. 10%. To put it another way, if we didn’t have extremely well established flu surveillance networks or even knew what th
1764.
by zaroth 7y ago
And not surprisingly, we also have firearm permits too.
1765.
by zaroth 7y ago
You might not be aware that there’s actually no solid evidence that Bezos’s phone was ever actually hacked.
1766.
by zaroth 7y ago
This is just dark fiction, not science. If any of this were true, China would already be totally overrun. Instead they are reported fewer than 150 new cases per day and closing their temporary hospitals. My prediction is that we will see th
1767.
by zaroth 7y ago
University of Washington at least had a single positive COVID case in an employee. Stanford seems to have canceled two weeks of classes and quarter-finals without even a single presumptive case on campus? Presumably all these kids are still
1768.
by zaroth 7y ago
To be precise, the COVID-19 virus is not “viral pneumonia”. Viral pneumonia is a symptom (pneumonia caused by a virus) which results from COVID-19 in the minority of cases. Studies of the number of known cases which resulted in viral pneu
1769.
by zaroth 7y ago
And Germany has a CFR of 0%. People need to stop quoting CFR like it’s applicable to the general population. It is not.
1770.
by zaroth 7y ago
> “We estimated excess deaths of 7,027, 20,259, 15,801 and 24,981 attributable to influenza epidemics in the 2013/14, 2014/15, 2015/16 and 2016/17, respectively, using the Goldstein index. The average annual mortalit

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